Which GOP Governor elected in 2018 will lose in 2022 ? (user search)
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  Which GOP Governor elected in 2018 will lose in 2022 ? (search mode)
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Poll
Question: GOP Governor elected in 2018 likely to lose in 2022
#1
GA Governor Brian Kemp (R)
 
#2
IA Governor Kim Reynolds (R)
 
#3
AK Governor Mike Dunleavy (R)
 
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Partisan results

Total Voters: 81

Author Topic: Which GOP Governor elected in 2018 will lose in 2022 ?  (Read 2859 times)
LoneStarDem
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Posts: 945
United States
« on: May 10, 2019, 09:05:23 PM »

Which one of the GOP Governor's will likely lose in 2022 ?
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LoneStarDem
Jr. Member
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Posts: 945
United States
« Reply #1 on: May 11, 2019, 01:01:33 PM »

Dunleavy is the likeliest just by virtue of Alaska being ungovernable.

Guessing there's a reason why Tony Knowles (D) was the last AK Governor to serve 2 full terms.

Since then:
Daddy Murkowski (R), 2002-2006: lost BIGLY in GOP Primary in 2006.

Sarah Palin (R), 2006-2009: resigned for some weird reason. We still don't know why she upped & quit.

Sean Parnell (R), 2009-2014: served out the remainder of Palin's term & won election to full term in 2010 landslide; lost reelection in 2014.

Bill Walker (Ind), 2014-2018: didn't seek reelection in 2018.

Mike Dunleavy (R), 2018-
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LoneStarDem
Jr. Member
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Posts: 945
United States
« Reply #2 on: May 12, 2019, 05:29:42 PM »

I think if a Dem is elected GA 2022 may be like VA 2009.

Computer: "GA is inelastic, there are zero persuadable voters there, Democrats have a hard ceiling of 44% 45% 46% 47% 48% 48.8%"

Also Computer: "Kemp could easily win by 18 points in a R-friendly midterm."

Pick one.

Ok I didn’t mean a landslide  but the analogy is a dem trending state that trends back temporarily like one or a second to last time to its old patterns 
The black people who live here aren't going away. Georgia is done for the GOP. No wishing that it will trend backwards one more time will change that.

Let's not forget about the Latino & Asian/Pacific Islander populations as well.
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