Can Someone Please Explain Who The Heck Wagner/Casey Voters Were?

[Co-Chair Bagel23]

Ok, Wolf/Barletta voters are super easy to explain, Republican people in the suburbs mostly for Trump disgusted by Wagner and his campaign, and willing to vote for somebody palatable to them like Wolf, also a lot of NEPA Luzerne blue collar dem Trump voters who backed the hometown boy, but returned to the dems (or at least partially and substantially) for many of the other races, etc etc. But who the actual f#ck are the Wagner/Casey voters? Like uhh what? And it is not just like a few of Wagner’s family members who may be dems or whatever, but like there are entire f#cking counties in PA where Casey outran Wolf, and even some areas like Elk and Cameron counties where the math would be hard for Casey to not have received several hundred Wagner votes as well. Who are these people? Are they ancestrally GOP or Dem? Did they vote for Trump or Hillary? etc.

[Co-Chair Bagel23]

Catholics who vote primarily based on abortion

But Wagner and Barletta are much more pro life than both Casey and Wolf by miles.

[Co-Chair Bagel23]

Longtime GOP voters who didn't like Trump but automatically voted Republican at the state level?

Yeah, that sounds possible.

[Co-Chair Bagel23]

He's somewhat pro-life, he's been a long term incumbent, and it helps that a lot of people thought his dad was a good governor.  I don't understand why this is surprising.

Because Wolf was more popular and facing a worse opponent in a less partisan race