NJ-GOV 2021 megathread (user search)
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April 26, 2024, 03:04:32 PM
News: Election Simulator 2.0 Released. Senate/Gubernatorial maps, proportional electoral votes, and more - Read more

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  NJ-GOV 2021 megathread (search mode)
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Author Topic: NJ-GOV 2021 megathread  (Read 50215 times)
Dr Oz Lost Party!
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« on: June 20, 2021, 07:07:53 PM »
« edited: June 20, 2021, 07:31:33 PM by Josh Shapiro for Governor »

Here's my prediction as of now:


Governor Phillip D. Murphy / Lt. Governor Shelia Oliver (D) - 1,214,900 votes, 55.86%
Former Rep. Jack M. Ciattarelli / TBD (R) - 960,100 votes, 44.14%

Why would Murphy lose Somerset? Even Menendez carried it in 2018.
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Dr Oz Lost Party!
PittsburghSteel
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« Reply #1 on: August 16, 2021, 09:23:30 PM »

He might due to the fact that the situation in Afghanistan is likely to cause Republican support to skyrocket in the 2021 and 2022 elections.

Lmfao
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Dr Oz Lost Party!
PittsburghSteel
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P P
« Reply #2 on: November 02, 2021, 10:32:23 PM »

The Essex drop narrowed the Italian's lead to 18K.
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Dr Oz Lost Party!
PittsburghSteel
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P P
« Reply #3 on: November 02, 2021, 11:01:08 PM »

According to ABC, there are over 500K absentees that are left to be counted.
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Dr Oz Lost Party!
PittsburghSteel
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P P
« Reply #4 on: November 02, 2021, 11:12:54 PM »

Tortellini's lead is down to 6K... yeah, so this one is over.
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Dr Oz Lost Party!
PittsburghSteel
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P P
« Reply #5 on: November 03, 2021, 12:04:46 PM »

Murphy’s lead is now up to 25K.
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Dr Oz Lost Party!
PittsburghSteel
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P P
« Reply #6 on: November 03, 2021, 02:38:19 PM »

I'm sorry, but he looks like he raided the capitol.
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Dr Oz Lost Party!
PittsburghSteel
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P P
« Reply #7 on: November 03, 2021, 03:42:36 PM »

NBC shows a lot of election day ballots still need to be counted in several counties, and that early/mail  ins were counted first.  While the remaining ballots are in heavily Dem areas, the margin is still super close and the election day ballots skew Republican.  That probably explains why this race still hasn't been called by any major networks..

Eh, they can pretty much just go ahead and call it.
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Dr Oz Lost Party!
PittsburghSteel
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P P
« Reply #8 on: November 25, 2021, 12:10:50 PM »
« Edited: November 26, 2021, 05:04:56 PM by Josh Shapiro for Governor »

It's pretty remarkable how Somerset still managed to swing D from 2017 despite what happened statewide.

Those suburban trends are sticking.
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