NJ-GOV 2021 megathread
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Senator Incitatus
AMB1996
Junior Chimp
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« Reply #325 on: November 02, 2021, 02:21:18 PM »
I think the race will be surprisingly close; Murphy +6-8.
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President Punxsutawney Phil
TimTurner
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« Reply #326 on: November 02, 2021, 02:32:46 PM »
Gonna predict Murphy+7.
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Vaccinated Russian Bear
Russian Bear
Junior Chimp
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« Reply #327 on: November 02, 2021, 02:33:59 PM »
When will we get any results?
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Roll Roons
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« Reply #328 on: November 02, 2021, 02:44:10 PM »

Polls close at 8, but results might take a bit longer than that.
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LabourJersey
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« Reply #329 on: November 02, 2021, 02:59:02 PM »
Murphy will win by 11 or 12.
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kyc0705
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« Reply #330 on: November 02, 2021, 04:11:18 PM »
For those who like to extrapolate way too much from the weather, I can verify that it's been a dreadful day in my pocket of South Jersey (Gloucester).

I voted about two hours ago. The poll workers said turnout has been high there.
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CookieDamage
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« Reply #331 on: November 02, 2021, 04:15:16 PM »
Quote from: kyc0705 on November 02, 2021, 04:11:18 PM
For those who like to extrapolate way too much from the weather, I can verify that it's been a dreadful day in my pocket of South Jersey (Gloucester).

I voted about two hours ago. The poll workers said turnout has been high there.

Yeah the weather sucks rn, but it's certainly not prohibitive to voting.
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S019
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« Reply #332 on: November 02, 2021, 04:18:49 PM »
I just voted, voted straight D and no on Q1 and yes on Q2.
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LAB-LIB
Dale Bumpers
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« Reply #333 on: November 02, 2021, 05:01:07 PM »
I'm watching the State Senate and State Assembly races more than the Governor's race.
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President Punxsutawney Phil
TimTurner
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« Reply #334 on: November 02, 2021, 05:27:00 PM »
Quote from: Dale Bumpers on November 02, 2021, 05:01:07 PM
I'm watching the State Senate and State Assembly races more than the Governor's race.
What are you seeing?
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Senator Incitatus
AMB1996
Junior Chimp
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« Reply #335 on: November 02, 2021, 05:44:38 PM »
« Edited: November 02, 2021, 06:02:03 PM by RoboWop »
Quote from: Dale Bumpers on November 02, 2021, 05:01:07 PM
I'm watching the State Senate and State Assembly races more than the Governor's race.

Me too; predicting the 2nd and 8th (flip) go R while the 16th (flip) goes D. Surprise of the night could be Republicans picking up some Assembly or Commissioner seats in Gloucester to signal the beginning of the end for Sweeney.

All in all, a static night (per usual) with marginal positives for Republicans.
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Biden his time
Abdullah
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« Reply #336 on: November 02, 2021, 06:25:47 PM »
Ah, my fellow men of culture!


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wbrocks67
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« Reply #337 on: November 02, 2021, 07:03:22 PM »
Is there no exit poll for NJ?
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Thunder98 🇮🇱 🤝 🇵🇸
Thunder98
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« Reply #338 on: November 02, 2021, 07:50:40 PM »
NJ is counting painfully slow...
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wbrocks67
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« Reply #339 on: November 02, 2021, 07:51:26 PM »

Its 2020 allover again, ugh
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LAB-LIB
Dale Bumpers
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« Reply #340 on: November 02, 2021, 07:58:47 PM »
Quote from: Southern Delegate Punxsutawney Phil on November 02, 2021, 05:27:00 PM
Quote from: Dale Bumpers on November 02, 2021, 05:01:07 PM
I'm watching the State Senate and State Assembly races more than the Governor's race.
What are you seeing?

I'm watching Districts 2, 8, and 16 for State Senate. I'm also watching District 21 because Biden won it but I'm not feeling too optimistic there. Sorry I didn't see this earlier.
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President Punxsutawney Phil
TimTurner
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« Reply #341 on: November 02, 2021, 07:59:59 PM »
Quote from: Dale Bumpers on November 02, 2021, 07:58:47 PM
Quote from: Southern Delegate Punxsutawney Phil on November 02, 2021, 05:27:00 PM
Quote from: Dale Bumpers on November 02, 2021, 05:01:07 PM
I'm watching the State Senate and State Assembly races more than the Governor's race.
What are you seeing?

I'm watching Districts 2, 8, and 16 for State Senate. I'm also watching District 21 because Biden won it but I'm not feeling too optimistic there. Sorry I didn't see this earlier.
Ah. Thanks for the reply anyway! Best of luck.
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Chips
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« Reply #342 on: November 02, 2021, 08:00:42 PM »
Murphy win seems likely but not certain.
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Alben Barkley
KYWildman
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« Reply #343 on: November 02, 2021, 08:29:02 PM »
Quote from: Chips on November 02, 2021, 08:00:42 PM
Murphy win seems likely but not certain.

Everyone's been sleeping on this one but if Murphy somehow loses too, that would be 10 times worse than Youngkin winning in VA.

I don't think it's at all likely however.
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CookieDamage
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« Reply #344 on: November 02, 2021, 08:30:44 PM »
Quote from: Alben Barkley on November 02, 2021, 08:29:02 PM
Quote from: Chips on November 02, 2021, 08:00:42 PM
Murphy win seems likely but not certain.

Everyone's been sleeping on this one but if Murphy somehow loses too, that would be 10 times worse than Youngkin winning in VA.

I don't think it's at all likely however.

That has like a 2% chance of happening. There's been ZERO momentum behind Ciatarelli.
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PSOL
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« Reply #345 on: November 02, 2021, 08:32:32 PM »
Murphy will get a Pyrrhic victory here
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LimoLiberal
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« Reply #346 on: November 02, 2021, 08:34:36 PM »
Murphy is doing ~18 points worse in Gloucester county than in 2017.

If repeated statewide, he loses.
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kwabbit
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« Reply #347 on: November 02, 2021, 08:34:55 PM »
It's looking like Murphy +4 or something based on county shifts. If Murphy didn't have his period of massive popularity a year ago this might've gone Ciatarelli's way. Biden is clearly quite unpopular. No one wants to vote for Dems right now.
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CookieDamage
cookiedamage
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« Reply #348 on: November 02, 2021, 08:36:30 PM »
The vote is barely in and yall are drawing conclusions. Atlas, never change.
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Vaccinated Russian Bear
Russian Bear
Junior Chimp
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« Reply #349 on: November 02, 2021, 08:36:45 PM »
Is there any projection of eventual margin?
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