Will Republicans sweep the rust belt trio of governorships?

[ElectionsGuy]

The idea that Pennsylvania is going to defy political gravity and that Dems have some special sauce there compared to other like-minded states is getting real old. I remember after 2018 the idea was that PA was supposed to be the strongest of the rust belt battlegrounds for Dems after their landslide wins for Senate and Governor, yet that ended up being Michigan, and Pennsylvania was very close. I would actually think the state with the strongest Dem showing in 2020 and an incumbent is the best bet for Democrats (Michigan), but I think Republicans are favored at least slightly in all of them.

[Flyersfan232]

Shapiro will win in Pennsylvania, so no

Pa is a swing state in a dem white midterm with a history of voting against the incumbent party

[Bismarck]

What’s the deal with Shapiro? Is he really that strong of a candidate? If so, why?

[Sir Mohamed]

I tend to say No for the moment. Josh Shapiro appears to be a very strong candidate in PA and has already proven his electability on previous statewide races. In the meantime, Lou Barletta strikes me as weak challenger who already lost, albeit in a much tougher environment.

Unsure about WI and MI, as for now I think these will flip. Particularly WI.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Rs aren't netting 50 H seats and 35 Govs and 60 seats on or before 2026 forget it, in a Neutral Cycle Rs win 10 H seats and D's win 50 plus seats in the Senate and we win without GOVS KS, AZ, GA but keep Rust belt and net MD and MA

[Senator-elect Spark]

I think it's quite possible, even likely, that they do. PA will be difficult as Shapiro is such a great communicator, fundraiser, and I have a deep lack of faith in the GOP bench in my state. However, Evers and Whitmer are underwater in their approvals so they probably lose right now.