Likelier to Lose: Joni Ernst or John Bel Edwards

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Likelier to Lose: Joni Ernst or John Bel Edwards

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Poll

Question:

Who is Likelier to lose reelection: Sen. Joni Ernst (R-IA) or Governor John Bel Edwards

#1 Joni Ernst (R-IA)		26 (29.5%)
#2 John Bel Edwards (D-LA)		62 (70.5%)

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Partisan results

Total Voters: 88

Author

Topic: Likelier to Lose: Joni Ernst or John Bel Edwards (Read 1635 times)

Politician
Junior Chimp

Posts: 8,986

Political Matrix
E: -0.13, S: -0.87

« Reply #25 on: November 26, 2019, 09:55:38 AM »

#Bold Prediction: Ernst is 100% more likely to lose then Edwards.

I wouldn't say so yet. If Ernst wins by more than 2.6% than Edwards was more likely to lose.

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Xing
xingkerui
Atlas Superstar

Posts: 30,303

Political Matrix
E: -6.52, S: -3.91

« Reply #26 on: November 26, 2019, 11:38:32 AM »

Well, yes, at this moment in time Ernst is more technically more likely to lose than Edwards, but then again, so is every Senator up in 2020.

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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution

Posts: 88,489

Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17

	Re: Likelier to Lose: Joni Ernst or John Bel Edwards « Reply #27 on: November 26, 2019, 04:07:55 PM »
	« Edited: November 26, 2019, 04:16:08 PM by Cory Booker »

Folksy populists dont lose, they win close elections

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