LA-JMC: Edwards leads, tons of undecideds

[LoneStarDem]

But muh-incumbency

Muh-elastic south

JBE will follow the path of Mary Landrieu, be competitive up until the jungle primary and then have nearly all the undecideds break against him during the runoff

56-44 Abraham over Edwards in Runoff (FLIP)

LA is NOT voting out a popular Governor.

[LoneStarDem]

I'm confident in JBE getting reelected by double digits. Louisianans aren't that DUMB getting rid of a popular Governor with a budget surplus.

[LoneStarDem]

It's hilarious that things have to be catastrophically bad in red states for Democrats to win gubernatorial races, but if blue state voters don't like when a Democrat won't shake hands outside of Fenway Park in 10 degree weather they'll happily elect a Republican.

Yeah, these are horrible numbers for supposedly favored JBE. Looks like my prediction of a Republican sweep this year is coming into clear focus. What a shame.

You might want to include the possibility of Houston, TX electing the first GOP Mayor since 1979 this fall with either Buzbee or King.

I think Turner is finished.

[LoneStarDem]

It's hilarious that things have to be catastrophically bad in red states for Democrats to win gubernatorial races, but if blue state voters don't like when a Democrat won't shake hands outside of Fenway Park in 10 degree weather they'll happily elect a Republican.

Yeah, these are horrible numbers for supposedly favored JBE. Looks like my prediction of a Republican sweep this year is coming into clear focus. What a shame.

You might want to include the possibility of Houston, TX electing the first GOP Mayor since 1979 this fall with either Buzbee or King.

I think Turner is finished.

Houston seems pretty democratic.
Why would Turner would be so vulnerable ?

The HFD Firefighters Union is pissed off at him for trying to undermine the will of the voters, who overwhelmingly passed Proposition B last fall.

[LoneStarDem]

The runoff is in November NOT December to the idiot who mentioned that.

[LoneStarDem]

JBE has enough juice to overcome Abraham.

[LoneStarDem]

Not all of the Deep South will stay Red forever.

[LoneStarDem]

POTUS Trump campaigning in LA today.

It seems that everyone is ganging up on JBE.

[LoneStarDem]

POTUS Trump campaigning in LA today.

It seems that everyone is ganging up on JBE.

Well, Trump isn't "everyone". For him it's a natural thing...

My cousin thinks JBE is the Dem version of David Treen: nice guy, but faced hostile opposition-controlled LA State Legislature.

[LoneStarDem]

POTUS Trump campaigning in LA today.

It seems that everyone is ganging up on JBE.

Well, Trump isn't "everyone". For him it's a natural thing...

My cousin thinks JBE is the Dem version of David Treen: nice guy, but faced hostile opposition-controlled LA State Legislature.

Quite possible. The politics became mostly scoundrel's business now. Time of "nice guys" is gone (at least - temporarily, may be - forever).

My cousin also told me that when Treen became LA's 51st Governor on March 10th, 1980, staunch allies of EWE began plotting to undermine his governorship. It didn't help that LA was facing an economic downturn on Treen's watch as well as massive unemployment despite his efforts to stop the economic downturn, etc.,

On JBE: I think he'll try to avoid ending up like Treen & win reelection.

[LoneStarDem]

Edwards, Hood, Beshear win in November, teaching Democrats how to win in the South.

This would be the worst kick-off possible for the Trump 2020 campaign lol

We're going to find out in a few months.

[LoneStarDem]

He'll squeak it out by 2-4% after signing the heartbeat bill.

JBE by double digits.

[LoneStarDem]

We're going to find out soon enough.

[LoneStarDem]

Edwards would of won whether or not he signed this heartbeat bill. The vast majority of LA voters could care less about his position on anything

Not sure. Even more - absolutely convinced, that it's not so. He would instantly become excellent target for Republicans as "baby killers apprentice" had he not signed. And most people in Louisiana would tend to agree - outside of majority Black areas (and frequently - there, too, except on pure economic issues) state is VERY conservative. That's why i believe Louisiana legislature will see some more Republican gains in this year elections..

Kathleen Blanco signed anti-abortion legislation as governor and still lost to Jindal

You do realize that Blanco did NOT seek reelection in 2007 right ?

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Kathleen_Blanco

[LoneStarDem]

The LA Dems haven't been the same since Hurricane Katrina or the fallout of EWE's 4th term, which was hampered by corruption scandals either.

[LoneStarDem]

I still think LA Dems need to

1.) Recruit stronger candidates to seek statewide office (Big City Mayors, State lawmakers, etc.,)

2.) Plan a 20-30+ year strategy & stay with it.

[LoneStarDem]

I still think LA Dems need to

1.) Recruit stronger candidates to seek statewide office (Big City Mayors, State lawmakers, etc.,)

2.) Plan a 20-30+ year strategy & stay with it.

Essentially - that's true for Democrats in almost all red states...

NC Dems appear to be taking pages out of the VA Dems playbook in making a comeback (pre-Northam, Fairfax & Herring).