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  Talk Elections
  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion
  Gubernatorial/State Elections (Moderators: Brittain33, Gass3268, VirginiŠ)
  Morning Consult Governor Ratings - Q1 2019
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Author Topic: Morning Consult Governor Ratings - Q1 2019  (Read 2049 times)
Zaybay
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« on: April 25, 2019, 08:56:41 am »

https://morningconsult.com/governor-rankings/
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DaWN
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« Reply #1 on: April 25, 2019, 08:58:41 am »

It's hilarious how unpopular Bevin is yet he's still going to get re-elected easily. Otherwise good numbers for all governors up in 2019 and 2020. Oh, and Bullock is an idiot if he passes on a senate run with those numbers.

On the other hand, Morning Consult, so maybe best not to analyse too deeply.
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Sir Mohamed
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« Reply #2 on: April 25, 2019, 09:01:51 am »

Too bad no Dem governors rank higher. It's still so hilarious a GOP governor of the deepest blue state ranks first.
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Gass3268
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« Reply #3 on: April 25, 2019, 09:25:36 am »

Ralph Northam is back in the positive range, lol. Also he'll probably still win, but Bevin's not in the best spot to start out his reelection campaign.
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ElectionsGuy
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« Reply #4 on: April 25, 2019, 09:54:54 am »

It seems like new governors tend to get the benefit of the doubt for their first few months and nobody except hardcore partisans tend to disapprove of non-controversial governors. So I don't think this is too meaningful. I am starting to think Bevin is a little vulnerable though. If Republicans don't take the race seriously I actually think he could lose.
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DANNT
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« Reply #5 on: April 25, 2019, 10:02:18 am »

How is Northam even remotely popular?
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lfromnj
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« Reply #6 on: April 25, 2019, 10:10:04 am »


Its Virginia and he has the D next to his name.
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Make PA Blue Again!
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« Reply #7 on: April 25, 2019, 10:12:58 am »

53-32% for my man Wolf!
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Gass3268
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« Reply #8 on: April 25, 2019, 10:29:56 am »


He kept his head down and name out of the news. People forget.
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LoneStarDem
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« Reply #9 on: April 25, 2019, 10:35:19 am »


He kept his head down and name out of the news. People forget.

The VA Dems will still pressure McAuliffe to run for Governor in 2021.
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RINO Tom
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« Reply #10 on: April 25, 2019, 10:40:52 am »

10/10 most popular are Republicans

7/10 most unpopular are Democrats (and 4 of the bottom 5)

Looks like the Dems need to run Generic Democrat in more races.

It also seems that a lot of voters who wanted a check on Trump/are genuinely put off by the National GOP still are perfectly fine with their LOCAL Republicans running the show in many places.
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henster
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« Reply #11 on: April 25, 2019, 02:34:51 pm »

Teflon Ralph!
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President Johnson
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« Reply #12 on: April 25, 2019, 02:58:04 pm »

Unbeatable Titan Charlie Baker! Purple heart This guy is so impressive. Also notable that Steve Bullock ranks on top of Democratic governors.

Lol at Ned Lamont, he's already unpopular.
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MT Treasurer
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« Reply #13 on: April 25, 2019, 03:46:29 pm »

Itís Morning Consult, but people are kidding themselves if they think Bullock wouldnít make MT-SEN at least a Toss-up.
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Pro-Life Single Issue Voter
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« Reply #14 on: April 25, 2019, 10:06:44 pm »

Bill Lee has a pretty incredible split, with simultaneously having the name recognition for a top 10 approval rating while also having only a 14% disapproval rating.

It wouldn't surprise me if he only gets token opposition in 2022, especially if Trump loses.  It's probably possible that he could match Haslam's 2014 county sweep.
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Xing
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« Reply #15 on: April 25, 2019, 10:25:24 pm »

Bevin may be unpopular, but that doesn't mean Republicans won't vote for him. Just ask Senator Grimes how easy it is to beat an unpopular Republican in Kentucky.
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We Live in Black and White
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« Reply #16 on: April 26, 2019, 12:02:40 am »

What absolutely gobsmacks me is Laura Kelly's approvals. As someone mentioned before me, it's Morning Consult, but hot damn.
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PSOL
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« Reply #17 on: April 26, 2019, 12:04:34 am »

Why is Kate Brown in the net negative?
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MT Treasurer
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« Reply #18 on: April 26, 2019, 10:40:33 am »

Again, not a very good pollster, but no way KY-GOV is Safe R if Bevinís approval is at 33/52. Heís even less popular than McConnell.
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TML
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« Reply #19 on: April 26, 2019, 10:54:35 am »

Bevin may be unpopular, but that doesn't mean Republicans won't vote for him. Just ask Senator Grimes how easy it is to beat an unpopular Republican in Kentucky.

To be fair, exit polls on Election Day 2014 had Grimes as even more unpopular than McConnell (-17 vs. even). Grimes also made several tactical blunders during her campaign which contributed to the magnitude of the defeat.
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« Reply #20 on: April 26, 2019, 11:03:16 am »

Again, not a very good pollster, but no way KY-GOV is Safe R if Bevinís approval is at 33/52. Heís even less popular than McConnell.

McConnell was polling like -30 at this point in 2014 and he won by double digits

McConnell was also running for Senate against an unpopular opponent in a Republican wave year.
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President Johnson
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« Reply #21 on: April 28, 2019, 11:54:29 am »

Itís Morning Consult, but people are kidding themselves if they think Bullock wouldnít make MT-SEN at least a Toss-up.

I think you're right. I'd still prefer him to be the presidential nominee, but let's not kid ourselfes, this won't happen sadly. He should run for senate and help Democrats to gain the chamber back (in addition to Colorado, Arizona and North Carolina at least). Hope Chuck Schumer makes a call.
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President Johnson
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« Reply #22 on: April 28, 2019, 12:05:11 pm »

Itís Morning Consult, but people are kidding themselves if they think Bullock wouldnít make MT-SEN at least a Toss-up.

I think you're right. I'd still prefer him to be the presidential nominee, but let's not kid ourselfes, this won't happen sadly. He should run for senate and help Democrats to gain the chamber back (in addition to Colorado, Arizona and North Carolina at least). Hope Chuck Schumer makes a call.

Unfortunately it seems heís more eager to get 1% of the vote in the Iowa caucuses than a decent shot at winnning a Senate seat

Maybe he changes his mind after that? I don't know what Montana filing deadlines for senate races are. Chuck Schumer and Jon Tester should convince him to do it.
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RoboWop
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« Reply #23 on: April 28, 2019, 12:30:59 pm »

Starting to wonder if unbeatable unstoppable Chucky Baker runs for a third term.
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Speaker of the Lincoln Council S019
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« Reply #24 on: April 28, 2019, 12:38:09 pm »

He will, the real question is if he wants to challenge Markey or Warren, Markey is very old and Baker os much stronger than Scott Brown, but polarization is a lot higher. If he did successfully pull it off, he would be DOA in 6 years, I could see him staying as Governor, moving to Nantucket and running for that district in a red wave, especially after Keating retires. I doubt, that he wants to be Governor for 30 years, but he can, if he wants, if he wants higher office, is really the real question
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