ME Sen I can't really be Collins it yet (user search)
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  ME Sen I can't really be Collins it yet (search mode)
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Author Topic: ME Sen I can't really be Collins it yet  (Read 75300 times)
Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 87,805
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17


« on: April 17, 2019, 07:17:55 PM »

Ernst and Collins are safe: KY, TX, CO, AL and AZ are the keys to a 51/49 Senate
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 87,805
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17


« Reply #1 on: May 20, 2019, 05:18:39 PM »

Collins running up the score in ME, isn't gonna do much for Trump, and the GOP candidate in ME-02, she is a maverick and ME voters have voted for Obama and Susan Collins and Olympia Snowe, and they are such voters.
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 87,805
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17


« Reply #2 on: May 21, 2019, 02:30:38 PM »

Dems know that if: 2020 isn't a Senate wave year, 2022, is their year, and once the trifecta happens, they can vote without the a GOP filibuster for 2 additional senators in PR and/or DC statehood status. That was blocked inn 2009, by a GOP filibuster.
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 87,805
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17


« Reply #3 on: May 25, 2019, 03:37:05 PM »

Collins is probably gonna win, Dems need Bullock to run against Daines. Due to fact Daines is vulnerable. And get Biden to pick Tim Ryan as his running mate. To take Bullock out of the presidential race.
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 87,805
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17


« Reply #4 on: June 14, 2019, 02:01:16 PM »

Still yearning for Troy Jackson. So far the only dem I would vote for over ff Collins.


Collins isnt a FF she voted for Samuel Alito and Neil Gorsuch,  both of them are Scalias
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 87,805
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17


« Reply #5 on: June 15, 2019, 08:00:22 AM »

Lean R, but Collins is overrated; IIRC her approval rating is in the mid-40s.

But the one poll taken (after the Kavanaugh debacle mind you) also has her beating Gideon by 21. Her approval's definitely recovered a fair bit. I'll have it as Likely R for now barring major shifts.


Sununu, a moderate, had positive ratings going into 2018, and Molly Kelly knock his lead down  from 15 to 7. Believe me, IA, ME, AZ, CO, NC and GA are the Democrats keys to Senate. When Dems lead on generic ballot by 12. Collins will lose.

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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 87,805
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17


« Reply #6 on: June 16, 2019, 07:40:59 AM »

Polls in Senate are meaningless now, the Senate is in play, due McConnell and his graveyard of legislation
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 87,805
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17


« Reply #7 on: June 18, 2019, 12:28:30 PM »

ME is a Democrat state now, the worst judge Collins voted for was Neil Gorsuch whom is against McCain moderation of environmental,  immigration and feminism. Collins will lose
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 87,805
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17


« Reply #8 on: June 24, 2019, 03:33:31 PM »

All of the races are tilt R except for AZ and Co, but Gideon is much better than Teresa Greenfield and MJ Hegar
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 87,805
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17


« Reply #9 on: June 25, 2019, 02:07:55 AM »

All of the races are tilt R except for AZ and Co, but Gideon is much better than Teresa Greenfield and MJ Hegar

I will not stand for this, MJ Hegar is a far better candidate.

Last poll had her at 12%
Cornyn polling well ahead of her
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 87,805
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17


« Reply #10 on: June 25, 2019, 04:01:36 PM »

I expect Collins to easily win, but then again I expect most Republicans to win in 2020, including the best one.

Collins is no-shoe and neither is Tillis, McSally or Gardner, Dems path to majority
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 87,805
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17


« Reply #11 on: June 29, 2019, 02:32:31 AM »

It looks like there might be a red wave happening right now, with polls coming out in ME and IA, key states that are needed to take back Senate.

We cant be sure, but at least in Senate, the Dems are down in TX, AL, IA and ME. The House is another story
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 87,805
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17


« Reply #12 on: July 03, 2019, 02:59:01 PM »
« Edited: July 03, 2019, 03:40:12 PM by Anthony Davis is Awesome »

The only reason why King won ME, was due to Snowe was getting a primary challenger and was gonna lose anyways. Collins has always been tough to beat.
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 87,805
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17


« Reply #13 on: July 07, 2019, 07:27:17 PM »

Collins not running would be a godsend to Schumer and the rest of the Senate Ds, but a danger for Gideon. Without Collins, we would probably see every D and their mother running for what would appear to be a safe and easy pickup.

The election is 14 mnths away, and Collins in below 50%, this race isnt over, yet. The only, ones not vulnerable are: Ernst & SMC
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 87,805
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17


« Reply #14 on: July 07, 2019, 07:54:25 PM »

SMC is in a coal mining state, whereas, Collins is in a Democratic leaning state.
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 87,805
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17


« Reply #15 on: July 08, 2019, 12:43:18 AM »

Capito is whom I was referring to
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 87,805
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17


« Reply #16 on: July 26, 2019, 06:14:08 PM »

To this day, I still do not understand why Collins decided to commit the biggest political suicide in recent history by voting for Kavanaugh. She could have fully and completely ensured herself a successful re-election by voting against Kavanaugh, but instead, she decided to fully and completely ensure herself a failed re-election.

She did it as a favor to the Bushes, as a sympathetic vote, due to their deaths. Dubya called Collins to shore up her support right before the vote.

But, Trump has made Palin like mistakes throughout this election to endanger more GOPers
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 87,805
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17


« Reply #17 on: August 01, 2019, 07:17:52 PM »

To this day, I still do not understand why Collins decided to commit the biggest political suicide in recent history by voting for Kavanaugh. She could have fully and completely ensured herself a successful re-election by voting against Kavanaugh, but instead, she decided to fully and completely ensure herself a failed re-election.

...except Collins isn't going to lose re-election. Remember that a relatively high amount of Republicans still disapprove of her (the Morning Consult poll that has her at -3 approval has her at 61-34 approve-disapprove among Republicans), and I imagine the vast majority of Republicans in Maine will vote for her over her Democratic opponent.

Yeah. I think a lot of Democrats are underestimating Collins.

Biden is the one Dem that can decisively beat Trump in OH. If its a wave election, the Senate will flip
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 87,805
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17


« Reply #18 on: August 03, 2019, 08:53:34 PM »

The taint of having Jeff Sessions around in moderate states like KS, CO, AZ and ME, has a direct effect on Senate GOP, with 22 GOPers up and only 10 Dems.
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 87,805
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17


« Reply #19 on: August 17, 2019, 10:31:25 PM »
« Edited: August 18, 2019, 12:50:44 AM by Cory Booker »

Collins is in trouble, Dems will do better in ME-2 than in 2016, due to fact Democrat holds the seat
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 87,805
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17


« Reply #20 on: August 25, 2019, 02:52:29 PM »

Collins can definitely lose with Cook changing ratings to tossup and Dem majority would be at hand if Michael Franken runs against Ernst
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 87,805
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17


« Reply #21 on: August 25, 2019, 11:44:21 PM »

The taking of ME-2 was prior to 2018 Dem sweep
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 87,805
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17


« Reply #22 on: November 23, 2019, 03:09:00 PM »

Collins is moderate enough, as well as Ernst to withstand a Dem wave.
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 87,805
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17


« Reply #23 on: November 24, 2019, 06:51:29 PM »

Collins is moderate enough, as well as Ernst to withstand a Dem wave.

I doubt she would be able to survive if she votes to acquit Trump of bribery.

She's moderate and her approvals are stable, I am looking at other states like NC
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 87,805
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17


« Reply #24 on: December 10, 2019, 01:27:14 PM »

ME is part of the Dem math to take over Senate but Dems have KS, NC and AZ to take over Senate as well as CO
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