Could you explain your reasoning?
The answer is Doug Jones is within 3 pts in an internal and SC changed its flag during the Nikki Hakey years from Confederate and Tim Scott has the same skin color as Jamie Harrison.
SC, GA, VA, TX, FL are multi racial states. NC still have Confederates, that's why Tillis is still holding on in NC
As far as ME is concerned, Sununu, Phil Scott, Baker and Hogan won in D states, and Sununu and Scott are likely to hold on. If they can win so can Collins, whom is just as moderate as those R Govs
But everyone you listed is a governor not a senators. Senators are more tied to presidents than governors are. Also you failed to factor in that Trump failed to build the wall despite running against entitlements. Meaning agnostic Asains are gonna deliver Maine for Sara like they almost did for Dukakis before the tank ad 🤩🤩🤩