ME Sen I can't really be Collins it yet (user search)
       |           

Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.
Did you miss your activation email?
April 28, 2024, 10:53:25 AM
News: Election Simulator 2.0 Released. Senate/Gubernatorial maps, proportional electoral votes, and more - Read more

  Talk Elections
  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion
  Congressional Elections (Moderators: Brittain33, GeorgiaModerate, Gass3268, Virginiá, Gracile)
  ME Sen I can't really be Collins it yet (search mode)
Pages: [1]
Author Topic: ME Sen I can't really be Collins it yet  (Read 76141 times)
YE
Modadmin
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 15,737


Political Matrix
E: -4.90, S: -0.52
« on: July 25, 2019, 04:04:23 PM »
Don’t get your hopes up guys.
Logged
YE
Modadmin
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 15,737


Political Matrix
E: -4.90, S: -0.52
« Reply #1 on: July 03, 2020, 01:54:57 AM »
Quote from: MR. CORY BOOKER on July 02, 2020, 11:48:15 PM
I am starting to like Collins now, I support her reelected

Welp, time to change this race from Lean Gideon to Safe Collins.
Logged
YE
Modadmin
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 15,737


Political Matrix
E: -4.90, S: -0.52
« Reply #2 on: July 03, 2020, 01:23:04 PM »
Why are people unironically replying to OC?
Logged
YE
Modadmin
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 15,737


Political Matrix
E: -4.90, S: -0.52
« Reply #3 on: July 03, 2020, 02:04:02 PM »
Quote from: swf541 on July 03, 2020, 01:37:07 PM
Quote from: Senator YE on July 03, 2020, 01:23:04 PM
Why are people unironically replying to OC?

Because his responses are often entertaining by how badly nonsensical they are


That’s called ironically replying to OC.

Anyway,
Logged
YE
Modadmin
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 15,737


Political Matrix
E: -4.90, S: -0.52
« Reply #4 on: July 03, 2020, 02:30:05 PM »
Quote from: lfromnj on July 03, 2020, 02:10:01 PM
Quote from: Senator YE on July 03, 2020, 01:23:04 PM
Why are people unironically replying to OC?

Why isn't he being moderated for derailing the thread?

Not necessarily opposed at least in this instance but it’s not my board.
Logged
YE
Modadmin
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 15,737


Political Matrix
E: -4.90, S: -0.52
« Reply #5 on: July 04, 2020, 02:27:51 PM »
« Edited: July 04, 2020, 02:31:18 PM by Senator YE »
I no longer think this was much in the bag as I thought it was and I worry that Gideon’s out of state fundraising will be counterproductive and could define her as an insider. But Collins also appears to be suffering the same fate as Dean Heller 2 years ago in a similar relatively blue state. My guess is Collins outruns Trump by 5-6 though more so in ME 02. Still, I’m more bullish on Biden than many in general so I’ll say Gideon narrowly wins.
Logged
YE
Modadmin
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 15,737


Political Matrix
E: -4.90, S: -0.52
« Reply #6 on: July 04, 2020, 06:59:06 PM »
RCV is no guarantee to save Collins given how third party candidates usually benefit the right in this state. See ME 2010 Gov and ME 2014 Gov as well as ME-02 last year. Also I have reservations that undecides will break towards Collins given her declining popularity over the last few years. It’s possible Gideon blows it due to overnationalizing the race (though this is a place Clinton of all people won) and/or an unexpected gaffe but this is also the classic case of a once entrenched and moderate incumbent rapidly losing her appeal. We saw this in many Senate races in the Obama and even Bush years in at least fairly hostile territory. To a lesser extent (though his election was never regarded as a shoe in unlike Collins) we saw a similar dip in approval 2 years ago with Dean Heller. As I posted elsewhere, my guess is Gideon edges it out, though it likely won’t be by the 7-10+ points Biden wins by.
Logged
YE
Modadmin
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 15,737


Political Matrix
E: -4.90, S: -0.52
« Reply #7 on: July 07, 2020, 10:42:34 AM »
Logged
Pages: [1]  
Jump to:  


Login with username, password and session length

Terms of Service - DMCA Agent and Policy - Privacy Policy and Cookies

Powered by SMF 1.1.21 | SMF © 2015, Simple Machines

Page created in 0.033 seconds with 12 queries.