ME Sen I can't really be Collins it yet
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  ME Sen I can't really be Collins it yet
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Author Topic: ME Sen I can't really be Collins it yet  (Read 76103 times)
Intell
Junior Chimp
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« Reply #325 on: March 22, 2020, 10:34:47 PM »

Collins could win in Maine she just has to hope that she exceeds Trump's margins in Rural/Industrial Maine and is the #populist Trumpist Candidate who challenges him on some economic matters.
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Former Dean Phillips Supporters for Haley (I guess???!?) 👁️
The Impartial Spectator
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« Reply #326 on: March 23, 2020, 04:13:17 PM »



Good thing we had reasonable moderate Susan Collins there to make sure that pandemic flu preparations were not funded. It is not like a little bit of planning and preparation could have come in handy some day. Thanks, Susan!
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here2view
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« Reply #327 on: March 23, 2020, 04:18:54 PM »

Collins is now predicted to lose based on the aggregate of user predictions.
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Tintrlvr
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« Reply #328 on: March 23, 2020, 04:35:11 PM »

Maine is the weirdest state in the country

As Maine goes, so goes the nation.

As Maine goes, so goes Vermont.
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ProgressiveModerate
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« Reply #329 on: April 10, 2020, 08:42:42 PM »

Collins is now predicted to lose based on the aggregate of user predictions.

I still don't think Collins will lose her seat, and people are just putting it as D becuase they want to see it go D since originally it looked to be likely if not Safe R. Like really, a 4 term moderate R incumbent who won her last eelection by 40 points in a barely blue tinged state, with a lot of independent and swing voters is just gonna lose because of 1 vote?
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brucejoel99
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« Reply #330 on: April 10, 2020, 09:18:07 PM »

Collins is now predicted to lose based on the aggregate of user predictions.

I still don't think Collins will lose her seat, and people are just putting it as D becuase they want to see it go D since originally it looked to be likely if not Safe R. Like really, a 4 term moderate R incumbent who won her last eelection by 40 points in a barely blue tinged state, with a lot of independent and swing voters is just gonna lose because of 1 vote?

Yes, because it's more than "just 1 vote."
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MarkD
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« Reply #331 on: April 11, 2020, 05:55:25 AM »

Collins is now predicted to lose based on the aggregate of user predictions.

I pay more attention to predictors like Cook, Inside Elections, Sabato, Daily Kos, and Politico.

Cook, Inside Elections, and Sabato currently predict the Maine race as a toss-up. Daily Kos and Politico predict it as lean R. I think their predictions make more sense than the biased opinions of the Atlas users.
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It's not just that you are a crook senator
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« Reply #332 on: April 11, 2020, 08:34:42 AM »

Collins is now predicted to lose based on the aggregate of user predictions.

I pay more attention to predictors like Cook, Inside Elections, Sabato, Daily Kos, and Politico.

Cook, Inside Elections, and Sabato currently predict the Maine race as a toss-up. Daily Kos and Politico predict it as lean R. I think their predictions make more sense than the biased opinions of the Atlas users.
If you are following them closely then you know these predictions keep leaning more and more democratic.

Her approval ratings, polling numbers keep dropping out and the heat on her gets bigger and bigger. We still have half a year before the election and she already dropped massively.

I consider her gone.
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ProgressiveModerate
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« Reply #333 on: April 11, 2020, 09:11:51 AM »

Collins is now predicted to lose based on the aggregate of user predictions.

I pay more attention to predictors like Cook, Inside Elections, Sabato, Daily Kos, and Politico.

Cook, Inside Elections, and Sabato currently predict the Maine race as a toss-up. Daily Kos and Politico predict it as lean R. I think their predictions make more sense than the biased opinions of the Atlas users.
If you are following them closely then you know these predictions keep leaning more and more democratic.

Her approval ratings, polling numbers keep dropping out and the heat on her gets bigger and bigger. We still have half a year before the election and she already dropped massively.

I consider her gone.

Then how come you have Collins inning in your senate prediction. Also, the fcat that we are still months away from th election eans that people will have time to forget about the Kavanaugh vote, and this coronavirus will keep her from getting more negative press for a bit.
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It's not just that you are a crook senator
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« Reply #334 on: April 12, 2020, 11:15:28 AM »

Collins is now predicted to lose based on the aggregate of user predictions.

I pay more attention to predictors like Cook, Inside Elections, Sabato, Daily Kos, and Politico.

Cook, Inside Elections, and Sabato currently predict the Maine race as a toss-up. Daily Kos and Politico predict it as lean R. I think their predictions make more sense than the biased opinions of the Atlas users.
If you are following them closely then you know these predictions keep leaning more and more democratic.

Her approval ratings, polling numbers keep dropping out and the heat on her gets bigger and bigger. We still have half a year before the election and she already dropped massively.

I consider her gone.

Then how come you have Collins inning in your senate prediction. Also, the fcat that we are still months away from th election eans that people will have time to forget about the Kavanaugh vote, and this coronavirus will keep her from getting more negative press for a bit.
I forgot to update my predictions, I was waiting on some polls that had collins trailing.

Kavanaugh vote happened 1.5 years ago but yet her hate level keeps growing and growing, I just think her chance of winning keeps slipping.
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
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« Reply #335 on: April 12, 2020, 11:43:22 AM »

Ernst, if Franken is the nominee and Collins are toast in Nov
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Lognog
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« Reply #336 on: April 12, 2020, 02:28:22 PM »

Ernst, if Franken is the nominee and Collins are toast in Nov

how is Ernst toast?
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SnowLabrador
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« Reply #337 on: April 12, 2020, 03:19:16 PM »

Ernst, if Franken is the nominee and Collins are toast in Nov

how is Ernst toast?

Her opponent is. Ernst will win by 20 points in November, mark my words.
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Lognog
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« Reply #338 on: April 12, 2020, 03:31:51 PM »

Ernst, if Franken is the nominee and Collins are toast in Nov

how is Ernst toast?

Her opponent is. Ernst will win by 20 points in November, mark my words.

yeah I bet she'll way preform him by a lot. Not as much as Grassley over preformed him, but by a very significant margin.
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Gass3268
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« Reply #339 on: April 13, 2020, 02:34:14 PM »

Very "disappointing" numbers for Collins in a new poll:

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Frozen Sky Ever Why
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« Reply #340 on: April 13, 2020, 04:36:59 PM »

Her Kavanaugh defense speech was so idiotic. ME women will not forgive her.
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Lambsbread
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« Reply #341 on: April 14, 2020, 07:37:58 AM »

Very "disappointing" numbers for Collins in a new poll:



She's toast.
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Calthrina950
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« Reply #342 on: April 14, 2020, 09:12:14 AM »

Very "disappointing" numbers for Collins in a new poll:



She's toast.

Not yet, but I don't think it's a stretch to declare Maine a Tossup at this point. It is not Lean R right now.
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Sir Mohamed
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« Reply #343 on: April 14, 2020, 09:20:28 AM »

Very "disappointing" numbers for Collins in a new poll:



Hard to imagine she was reelected with 68% of the vote in 2014. That was actually the reason I didn't write her off this time and still don't completely. But this doesn't look all too rosy for Collins, who hopefully pays the price for SCOTUS and impeachment votes. She's an annoying fake moderate.
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
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« Reply #344 on: April 14, 2020, 09:41:28 AM »
« Edited: April 14, 2020, 02:39:19 PM by Virginiá »

Very "disappointing" numbers for Collins in a new poll:



She's toast.

Not yet, but I don't think it's a stretch to declare Maine a Tossup at this point. It is not Lean R right now.

Sabato changed ratings to Leans D


mod note: Citation needed
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Calthrina950
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« Reply #345 on: April 14, 2020, 09:47:57 AM »

Very "disappointing" numbers for Collins in a new poll:



She's toast.

Not yet, but I don't think it's a stretch to declare Maine a Tossup at this point. It is not Lean R right now.

Sabato changed ratings to Leans D

Lean D is also a stretch, particularly since we haven't seen any recent polls showing Gideon leading Collins by a significant margin-and by "significant", I mean a margin comparable to that of Mark Kelly in Arizona, a state that I do consider to be leaning Democratic at this time. But it is clear at this point that Collins is probably the third or fourth most vulnerable Republican incumbent, after Gardner, McSally, and (possibly) Tillis.
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« Reply #346 on: April 14, 2020, 09:53:11 AM »

I can see why people consider ME-SEN Lean D at this stage. Personally I don't buy it yet, not enough polls are in showing Gideon with big enough leads.
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Senate Minority Leader Lord Voldemort
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« Reply #347 on: April 14, 2020, 01:01:12 PM »

I can see why people consider ME-SEN Lean D at this stage. Personally I don't buy it yet, not enough polls are in showing Gideon with big enough leads.

If I had to come up with a rationale for why this is Leans D, it's is RCV. I feel like that's something that has not been discussed much in the context of this race. It propped up Jared Golden in 2018, and in 2020 there is a Green Party candidate here as well as a handful of independents.
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QAnonKelly
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« Reply #348 on: April 14, 2020, 01:49:56 PM »

Very "disappointing" numbers for Collins in a new poll:



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President Johnson
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« Reply #349 on: April 14, 2020, 02:00:41 PM »

Very "disappointing" numbers for Collins in a new poll:



She has surpassed Cocaine Mitch on this? Well done, madam. Well done.
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