ME Sen I can't really be Collins it yet

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

ME, CO, AZ and KS are likely pickups so the Senate is a foregone conclusion and Ernst is following in the footsteps of Collins

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

In a wave Jones will win, though, but it's unlikely, since minimum wage is making it's way thru NH, that Collins, Scott or Sununu can survive, 3 moderates

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

yeah its kind of the reverse of AL.

No, it’s not. I’m one of the most cautious posters here when it comes to predicting R pick-ups in red states, but this comparison is ridiculous. Gideon is nowhere near as likely to win as Tuberville/Sessions.

The Northeast has the lowest minimum wage, stuck at 7.25 an hour and the Dems in NH are raising the minimum wage. Pelosi has put a minimum wage bill on Mcconnell's desk and he wont sign it. Gideon like Volinsky and Zuckerman will raise the minimum wage and win. Likely D

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Collins and Ernst will lose on impeachment

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Collins is done on impeachment

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Likely D AZ, CO, KS, ME and NC
Tilt R but competetive AK, TX, KY GA 1 and 2, SC IA
Everything else is safe
Wildcard is AL, Dems are set to take Senate majority

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Collins reasoning doesn't square with how the law works, criminals should be let off and even OJ, due to learning their lesson.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Dems do have alternative paths to winning the Senate, let's all remember that AZ is not a blue state just yet and McSally is within the margin of error. It's too early to call AZ yet as well that's why www.electionprojection.com has AZ as still favored towards McSally

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

If we apply that rationale then all criminals would be free

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

If AZ is turning blue, the red wall of 259 is cracked due to Kelly winning a red state in AZ. SUSAN Collins is part of the 279 blue wall in Maine is gonna lose; consequently,  SMC is the only female R that's in a safe state. Ernst can lose due to Dems having Congressional Districts to defend in IA

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

I expect Collins to lose

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Snowe was the saving grace for Collins. Ernst and SMC have pulled Collins into a conservative now, with votes on Kavanaugh and tax cut and on acquittal of Trump. She cant win as a conservative

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Ernst, if Franken is the nominee and Collins are toast in Nov

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Very "disappointing" numbers for Collins in a new poll:

https://twitter.com/nathanTbernard/status/1249778630114381835?s=20

She's toast.

Not yet, but I don't think it's a stretch to declare Maine a Tossup at this point. It is not Lean R right now.

Sabato changed ratings to Leans D


mod note: Citation needed

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Susan Collins will lose minimum wage in the NE is below 10 and it's the last progressive region that have a low minimum wage. It will cost Collins her reelection

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Collins is DOA

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

The Rs if they fall in the minority with 50 seats the Senate will go back to the power sharing agreement in 2000 and McConnell will still have sway until 2022 over appointments.

Rs are gonna lose AZ, CO, ME and NC and prepared for a 50/50 Senate

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

You know I could be wrong but this thread really reminds me of the Iowa Senate thread from 2016 when everyone thought Grassley was DOA until he wasn't. Yeah granted Maine isn't Iowa and I doubt Trump will carry Maine statewide but until I see consistent polls showing Gideon with a solid lead I'm gonna assume a bunch of Democrats outside of Portland are gonna vote for Collins like they always do. And Maine isn't as Democratic as it used to be.

Also Collins voting for Ratcliffe isn't gonna make any inpact lmao

Not at 20 percent unemployment

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Rs like Rick Scott in FL made it harder for workers to collect unemployment,  20 percent of workers have to live off their relatives and move out of independent living due to fact they arent getting their unemployment checks. 

Latinos and African Americans cant afford to do this due to affordable housing,  but other races which have money can afford relatives to move in their homes

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Due to fact ME has hardly been polled. The Senate race was only polled in early March due to ST primary. But, Gideo should be fine.
Justin Amash is out, 3rd party candidates can tilt races in ME, MI, AZ and MT

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Trump is down by 6 pts in a natl poll, in a poll like that, Collins or even Ernst wont survive

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

If some dont believe Collins is DOA and Ernst and Gardner whom voted to acquit Trump, arent looking at the 6 point spread, with Amash out of race, that Biden is leading Trump

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

If some dont believe Collins is DOA and Ernst and Gardner whom voted to acquit Trump, arent looking at the 6 point spread, with Amash out of race, that Biden is leading Trump

I think Gardner is close to DOA, I just need to know who the Dem nominee and the usual house keeping stuff first. Ernst might be toxic, but she will win off Trump's coattails in Iowa. Amash is out, but that doesn't have any impact on the Senate races does it? Collins is in a tougher fight than before but Maine is light blue state, so she can hang on, although I think the race is tossup.

Ernst is tied in the PPP polls against Greenfield 43 to 42.and Dems are targeting IA due to our Congressional districts need protection

MT has a Libertarian on ballot, with Amash out, Cooney and Bullock stand a better chance. Just like Tester narrowly won with a Libertarian on ballot in 2018

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Bush W lobbied her due to fact Kavanaugh was his judge and Barbara Bush had died. The Bushes were very close to Collins they had a home in ME.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Lots of time, but its Gideon wins by 1 to 3 points. It's very difficult to poll ME 2, Golden is winning reelection but Collins does well in ME2