If 2016/18 trends continue towards their natural conclusion...

[bagelman]

Horror upon horrors...

[Some of My Best Friends Are Gay]

The answer is obviously yes, but I find it highly unlikely that 2016 trends will continue for that long.

[DaWN]

It will more than likely swing R over the next few cycles, but given how far it has to swing, it's a solid bet it won't go far enough before the next set of trends take over.

[DPKdebator]

The 2000 presidential election in Vermont was kind of a "last hurrah" for the old Yankee Republicans, being the only presidential election in the last 20 years where the GOP cracked 40% there. Much like how generational turnover in the South further pushed it to the Republicans, generational turnover in Vermont pushed it more to the Democrats. I could see a similar trend occurring in the future but in reverse, where the generation of liberal "flatlanders" passing away pushes Vermont back towards the GOP.

[lfromnj]

You must have a really low opinion of Vermonters if you think the situation there is at all analogous to the rest of rural America. First off, Sanders got a huge amount of write-in votes that skews the swing (7% or something). And Trump got about the same percent Romney got. And Vermont is a highly educated state for the most part.

I mean its possible that Vermont could just have a medium term anger against the Democrats if Sanders loses again in 2020 and it becomes closer to something like RI

[RINO Tom]

Option 3 is the only semi-sensible response.