Most surprising single county of 2012?
       |           

Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.
Did you miss your activation email?
March 28, 2024, 04:00:48 AM
News: Election Simulator 2.0 Released. Senate/Gubernatorial maps, proportional electoral votes, and more - Read more

  Talk Elections
  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion
  U.S. Presidential Election Results
  2012 U.S. Presidential Election Results (Moderator: Dereich)
  Most surprising single county of 2012?
« previous next »
Pages: [1]
Author Topic: Most surprising single county of 2012?  (Read 3991 times)
bagelman
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,602
United States


Political Matrix
E: -4.90, S: -4.17

P P P
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« on: April 07, 2019, 06:35:47 AM »

Were there any surprising county results in 2012?
Logged
Bidenworth2020
politicalmasta73
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 7,407
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #1 on: June 19, 2019, 07:45:58 PM »

In hindsight, it is pretty surprising that Elliott stuck with Obama even as the rest of Appalachia fell to Romney.
Logged
MT Treasurer
IndyRep
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 15,284
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #2 on: June 19, 2019, 08:27:49 PM »

Lake and Peninsula Borough, AK (and the number of McCain 2008/Obama 2012 boroughs in AK in general)
Logged
Gracile
gracile
Moderators
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 7,043


Political Matrix
E: -8.00, S: -7.65

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #3 on: June 19, 2019, 08:40:30 PM »

At the time I remember being surprised that Obama managed to carry several of the big suburban Bush - Obama '08 counties against Romney (Loudoun, DuPage, Ventura, Jefferson, CO).

In hindsight though, it is a bit shocking that Obama did so well in Ohio given what happened in 2016. So because of that, I'll say Trumbull, OH because it swung toward Obama and then promptly shifted heavily toward Trump.
Logged
Matty
boshembechle
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,901


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #4 on: June 20, 2019, 10:44:14 PM »

Not a single county, but Obama's performance in southern and south east ohio. He improved on his 2008 margins all over the region.
Logged
Skye
yeah_93
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 4,579
Venezuela


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #5 on: June 21, 2019, 06:29:09 AM »

Miami-Dade, how it swung so heavily towards Obama.
Logged
Politician
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,986
United States


Political Matrix
E: -0.13, S: -0.87

P P P
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #6 on: June 21, 2019, 03:39:52 PM »

Not a single county, but Obama's performance in southern and south east ohio. He improved on his 2008 margins all over the region.
Given how strongly Appalachia swung against him, why did this particular region swing towards him? Ross County swung 6 points towards him.
Logged
brucejoel99
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 19,447
Ukraine


Political Matrix
E: -3.48, S: -3.30

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #7 on: July 30, 2019, 03:37:02 AM »

Miami-Dade, how it swung so heavily towards Obama.

This. I remember MDC turnout was surprisingly massive in 2012.
Logged
America Needs a 13-6 Progressive SCOTUS
Solid4096
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,730


Political Matrix
E: -8.88, S: -8.51

P P P
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #8 on: July 30, 2019, 07:35:41 PM »

The general fact that Ohio had a huge cluster of D trending Counties in the South-Central area of the state that just entirely stopped at the Kentucky border, and then Kentucky also had a huge cluster of D trending Counties in the North-Central area of the state that just entirely stopped at the Indiana border.
Logged
annecortez
Rookie
**
Posts: 20
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #9 on: April 18, 2020, 09:25:18 PM »

Well, I know that it has been days. But I guess 2012 election remains to be one of the best! Some may not agree with me, but that's according to my own perception.
Logged
Sol
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,051
Bosnia and Herzegovina


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #10 on: May 14, 2020, 03:27:56 PM »

In hindsight though, it is a bit shocking that Obama did so well in Ohio given what happened in 2016.

If I remember correctly, Obama actually underperformed his polling in Ohio, where he had a fairly narrow but consistent lead.

Obama's strong performance in a lot of declining ex-industrial communities isn't too surprising if you remember that Obama's 2012 campaign ran to the left on economic issues, smearing Mitt Romney's record at Bain Capital, opposition to the auto bailout, etc.
Logged
El Betico
Rookie
**
Posts: 69
Spain


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #11 on: May 30, 2020, 06:35:38 PM »

Maybe I was gullible, but I thought Romney would have narrowly won Hamilton County, OH.
Logged
SaneDemocrat
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,339


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #12 on: June 15, 2020, 09:00:00 AM »

In hindsight though, it is a bit shocking that Obama did so well in Ohio given what happened in 2016.

If I remember correctly, Obama actually underperformed his polling in Ohio, where he had a fairly narrow but consistent lead.

Obama's strong performance in a lot of declining ex-industrial communities isn't too surprising if you remember that Obama's 2012 campaign ran to the left on economic issues, smearing Mitt Romney's record at Bain Capital, opposition to the auto bailout, etc.

 think he underperformed expectations in Oho but not polling
Logged
Oregon Eagle Politics
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 2,198
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #13 on: December 10, 2020, 11:27:36 AM »

The weird county in Louisiana that swung towards Obama strongly.
Logged
Chips
Those Chips
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,245
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #14 on: February 03, 2021, 10:43:37 PM »
« Edited: February 03, 2021, 10:52:35 PM by Chips »

Probably Chester, PA. It was only 529 votes though.
Logged
Pages: [1]  
« previous next »
Jump to:  


Login with username, password and session length

Terms of Service - DMCA Agent and Policy - Privacy Policy and Cookies

Powered by SMF 1.1.21 | SMF © 2015, Simple Machines

Page created in 0.04 seconds with 14 queries.