Wisconsin Megathread v3: GOP in MASSIVE DISARRAY

[wbrocks67]

Any way you spin it, this is a serious issue for Ds. They won last year by double digits and now we lost this one. I'm sure it has a lot to do with the typical "we won last year, we're not engaged" but this can't be repeated in 2020.

[wbrocks67]

Supreme Court
NAME   VOTES   PCT.   
 
Daniel Kelly (I)   201,246   48%   
 
Jill Karofsky   161,116   38%   

Ed Fallone   57,017   14%   
50% reporting (1811 of 3624 precincts)

The race has been called for Karofsky and Kelly to advance.  About 71% of Waukesha in, 86% of Dane in, 93% of Milwaukee in.

This looks like a good sign for Karofsky then, since Fallone was favored by Dems as well.

[wbrocks67]

Elections back on, 4-2 Supreme court decision by the Republican majority.

Disgusting

[wbrocks67]

LOL at any Republican coming in here trying to "both sides" this. I can't

[wbrocks67]

It doesn't really make sense why results are being withheld till next week if this election is basically just a CA or AZ type one where ballots continue to trickle in after being postmarked by election day

[wbrocks67]

Is Dane the only county that has numerous polling stations open? And by numerous, I mean the largest %?

[wbrocks67]

^Encouraging, but Karofsky will probably need Dane turnout to be very high to offset high turnout in WOW, even if rural WI turnout is low.

There were more polling stations open in Dane, right?

[wbrocks67]

So can someone tl;dr the latest findings for all of us? Does it appear, from everything we know, that turnout seemed better then in the cities/suburbs than the more R-areas? or no?

[wbrocks67]

This seems... good for the Dems?

https://twitter.com/WisVoter/status/1248270178951073792

[wbrocks67]

It would truly be poetic if Karofsky gets this win after all the ery that the Rs tried to pull this week

[wbrocks67]

Do we know what time they will start announcing results on Monday?

[wbrocks67]

It would be very interesting if the backlash to the Republicans fiasco created a last minute opening for Dems to win

[wbrocks67]

DDHQ said they'd start reporting results at 5pm EST, not sure if its a trickle or all at once

[wbrocks67]

Truly stunned she won by 11%. But amazing considering GOP trying to ratf**k it

[wbrocks67]

Republicans really bombed in SD-13,  only winning by ~7% or so in a district Trump carried by 19%

Looks like GOP has a turnout problem right now... who couldve thunk.

Of course this could totally not be indicative of anything. But will be interesting to see in the post-Trump era.

[wbrocks67]

Am hearing through the grapevine that Ron Kind has been polling the Lt Gov race.

That would be really weird. Why would he run statewide and not run for Senate?

Maybe he finds the Lt Gov to be less polarized? Like people more willing to vote for opposing part for Lt Gov instead of Sen/Gov?

[wbrocks67]

Plenty of reasons for Kind to go for Lt Gov:

1) Barnes will be tough to beat in the Senate primary and his being on the GE ticket can take care of Milwaukee turnout.

2) The Lt Gov race is wide open - Kind would clear the primary field and add regional and ideological balance to the ticket. He can be deployed to cover the driftless/Eau Claire area during the campaign and would be a strong, well-connected fundraiser.

3) Running on a statewide ticket with Evers (who is popular) probably easier than holding down his district post-redraw.

4) Well-positioned for gubernatorial run in 2026 if Evers retires if he wants it.

Plus, Barnes/Kind is a very well balanced ticket as well.

[wbrocks67]

I doubt Evers will win. He's not especially popular and in this red wave environment, you need to be visibly popular to win, not just not especially unpopular.

I'd say a +9 approval for him right now is a pretty big deal, especially when the WIGOP is imploding b/c of their obsession with 2020.

[wbrocks67]

https://twitter.com/DanODonnellShow/status/1516594341820735492

Kids in the Milwaukee public schools finally got a choice of masking for the first time in two years... For a day, before they decided to reverse it back today because of rising cases.

Great job guys.

I saw an interview segment on the news this evening in which the new Mayor of Milwaukee justified this decision, claiming that we may be done with the virus, but the virus "isn't done with us", a statement which I've heard many others make. It certainly is a frustrating move, and I doubt this will help the Democrats in Wisconsin, just like the renewal of the Philadelphia mask mandate will probably hurt them in Pennsylvania.

As a Democrat, stuff like this makes me very upset. While I don’t think masking children is the evil some Republicans make it out to be, it should be lifted at this point, and the overcaution for really no good reason is a bad look. It makes them look incompetent and people question if we can ever return to normal. Dems should stop focusing on wedge issues like masks which ultimately play in to Republicans hands, that is over, and both the science and American people are not on our side on it right now.

Not true in either sense.

[wbrocks67]

Differing ratings right now..

Morning Consult has Evers at -3 approval
https://morningconsult.com/2022/04/28/governor-approval-ratings-2022-election/

But new MULaw poll has him at +6
https://twitter.com/MULawPoll/status/1519369639909863424

[wbrocks67]

Meanwhile the WIGOP is one of the messiest in the country:

https://twitter.com/MollyBeck/status/1519686174016741377

[wbrocks67]

https://twitter.com/MadelinePawlak/status/1522632270498213891

Is the GOP trying to lose?

They have absolute trash candidates in MI, PA, AZ and are looking to add Wisconsin. That clip is gold for Evers.

Jesus, this is almost the level of that guy who lost in Michigan this past week. She may be one of the GOPs absolute worst recruits across the country

[wbrocks67]

https://twitter.com/MadelinePawlak/status/1522632270498213891

Is the GOP trying to lose?

They have absolute trash candidates in MI, PA, AZ and are looking to add Wisconsin. That clip is gold for Evers.

Jesus, this is almost the level of that guy who lost in Michigan this past week. She may be one of the GOPs absolute worst recruits across the country

Kleefisch, Mastriano, Kari Lake and whatever comes from Michigan aren't exactly Glenn Youngkin's in the making.

It's also not surprising since Youngkin didn't even have a primary. Wouldn't be surprised if he didn't end up winning if that were the case.

[wbrocks67]

Does Trump have something against Kleefisch? She appears to be the obvious frontrunner, so if he just endorsed her it would almost certainly add to his “win record.” First, he tried to get Sean Duffy to run. And now that he declined, he’s endorsed Michels. Why?

I don't get it either.

She is the type of candidate that could appeal to both the establishment and the MAGA base.

I was thinking she'd even be a good VP nominee for a second Trump run, for the reasons mentioned above + being from a swing state.

But he obviously does not like her.

Which is pretty hilarious because she's been going full MAGA, especially with 2020 lies.

[wbrocks67]

Rebecca Kleefisch is among the most impressive Republican Governor Candidates not only in Wisconsin but also in the Country. Pretty close between her and Mark Ronchetti in New Mexico.

If she would become Governor of Wisconsin this year she would be instantly on every Republican Presidential Nominees Running Mate List and she might even run for POTUS herself in 2028.

is this a parody account