Wisconsin Megathread v3: GOP in MASSIVE DISARRAY
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Author Topic: Wisconsin Megathread v3: GOP in MASSIVE DISARRAY  (Read 172760 times)
Gracile
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« Reply #675 on: April 13, 2020, 04:47:00 PM »
Quote from: redjohn on April 13, 2020, 04:44:55 PM
Kenosha results with 67% in are horrific for Karofsky. Is DDHQ correct?

I think there's something wrong with their numbers. The number of votes is lower than what the Journal Sentinel is reporting despite DDHQ having a higher % in.
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Sestak
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« Reply #676 on: April 13, 2020, 04:47:02 PM »
Quote from: redjohn on April 13, 2020, 04:44:55 PM
Kenosha results with 67% in are horrific for Karofsky. Is DDHQ correct?

If that's somehow accurate, then Karofsky is only losing 100 votes from Kenosha with 2/3 in, which is pretty much nothing?
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Bidenworth2020
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« Reply #677 on: April 13, 2020, 04:47:10 PM »
Some of these rural counties aren't even looking that good for Kelly...
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Hindsight was 2020
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« Reply #678 on: April 13, 2020, 04:47:40 PM »
Kelly is now ahead with 11% in
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Dr Oz Lost Party!
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« Reply #679 on: April 13, 2020, 04:48:16 PM »
Kelly is underperforming in WOW by a noticeable margin...
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Sestak
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« Reply #680 on: April 13, 2020, 04:48:27 PM »
the Racine numbers on the other hand genuinely do not look so hot for Karofsky.
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Wiz in Wis
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« Reply #681 on: April 13, 2020, 04:48:50 PM »
Dodge is around 66% in, and Kelley doing net 7-8 points worse than Hagedorn, fwiw.
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Dr Oz Lost Party!
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« Reply #682 on: April 13, 2020, 04:49:25 PM »
Things look pretty good for Kary atm.
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Oryxslayer
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« Reply #683 on: April 13, 2020, 04:49:31 PM »
Quote from: gracile on April 13, 2020, 04:47:00 PM
Quote from: redjohn on April 13, 2020, 04:44:55 PM
Kenosha results with 67% in are horrific for Karofsky. Is DDHQ correct?

I think there's something wrong with their numbers. The number of votes is lower than what the Journal Sentinel is reporting despite DDHQ having a higher % in.

Reminder that DDHQ trades speed for accuracy, and that they often have data entry errors like this that are corrected in the next main update.
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redjohn
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« Reply #684 on: April 13, 2020, 04:49:49 PM »
Quote from: Wiz in Wis on April 13, 2020, 04:48:50 PM
Dodge is around 66% in, and Kelley doing net 7-8 points worse than Hagedorn, fwiw.

Good sign I guess. Some counties looking bad for both candidates, it's hard to make a conclusion yet
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Gracile
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« Reply #685 on: April 13, 2020, 04:50:13 PM »
The Journal Sentinel is showing Karofsky barely ahead in Kenosha now (2870-2868 or 50%-50%) with 66% reporting, so yeah DDHQ is off.
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walleye26
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« Reply #686 on: April 13, 2020, 04:51:49 PM »
Quote from: Ses on April 13, 2020, 04:48:27 PM
the Racine numbers on the other hand genuinely do not look so hot for Karofsky.
Racine is super polarized. The western 2/3 of the county are similar to WOW and vote 75% R whole the city of Racine is heavily black and votes 70% D.
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Wiz in Wis
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« Reply #687 on: April 13, 2020, 04:52:44 PM »
Some of these initial rural results look absolutely terrible for Kelley. Obviously depends where they come from, but wow.
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Sestak
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« Reply #688 on: April 13, 2020, 04:53:09 PM »
Kenosha updated; Karofsky leads by the slimmest of margins. 72% in.
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redjohn
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« Reply #689 on: April 13, 2020, 04:53:55 PM »
Quote from: Wiz in Wis on April 13, 2020, 04:52:44 PM
Some of these initial rural results look absolutely terrible for Kelley. Obviously depends where they come from, but wow.

Oh how amazing it would be if Kelly absolutely bombed up north. Fingers are crossed!
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Oryxslayer
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« Reply #690 on: April 13, 2020, 04:54:09 PM »
Quote from: Oryxslayer on April 13, 2020, 04:49:31 PM
Quote from: gracile on April 13, 2020, 04:47:00 PM
Quote from: redjohn on April 13, 2020, 04:44:55 PM
Kenosha results with 67% in are horrific for Karofsky. Is DDHQ correct?

I think there's something wrong with their numbers. The number of votes is lower than what the Journal Sentinel is reporting despite DDHQ having a higher % in.

Reminder that DDHQ trades speed for accuracy, and that they often have data entry errors like this that are corrected in the next main update.

And this error reemerges in Marathon.
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Wiz in Wis
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« Reply #691 on: April 13, 2020, 04:56:10 PM »
Quote from: Oryxslayer on April 13, 2020, 04:54:09 PM
Quote from: Oryxslayer on April 13, 2020, 04:49:31 PM
Quote from: gracile on April 13, 2020, 04:47:00 PM
Quote from: redjohn on April 13, 2020, 04:44:55 PM
Kenosha results with 67% in are horrific for Karofsky. Is DDHQ correct?

I think there's something wrong with their numbers. The number of votes is lower than what the Journal Sentinel is reporting despite DDHQ having a higher % in.

Reminder that DDHQ trades speed for accuracy, and that they often have data entry errors like this that are corrected in the next main update.

And this error reemerges in Marathon.

They fixed Kenosha tho... effectively tied with 72% in.
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Bidenworth2020
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« Reply #692 on: April 13, 2020, 04:56:53 PM »
Where are yall seeing 72% of results?
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Dr. Arch
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« Reply #693 on: April 13, 2020, 04:58:19 PM »
Anemic numbers for Kelly in Marathon.
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Sestak
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« Reply #694 on: April 13, 2020, 04:58:44 PM »
Marathon numbers corrected - 74% in, Kelly only leads by 900 votes/2.5%!
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Bidenworth2020
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« Reply #695 on: April 13, 2020, 04:59:03 PM »
hot damn those marathon numbers are doodoo for kelly, worse than Leah ing Vukmir.
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Mr.Phips
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« Reply #696 on: April 13, 2020, 04:59:20 PM »
Eh this is following the same pattern as the Hagedorn race.  Looked good for Dems until the end when Hagedorn pulled ahead.
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anthonyjg
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« Reply #697 on: April 13, 2020, 04:59:43 PM »
What's up with Ashland? Kelly seems to be doing way better than he ought to
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Dr. Arch
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« Reply #698 on: April 13, 2020, 05:00:40 PM »
Quote from: anthony1691 on April 13, 2020, 04:59:43 PM
What's up with Ashland? Kelly seems to be doing way better than he ought to

Just a couple of precincts.
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Umengus
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« Reply #699 on: April 13, 2020, 05:01:02 PM »
Decision Desk HQ
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23s
WI State Supreme Court Results - 17% of precincts reporting

Kelly (R): 51% (153,625 votes)
Karofsky (D): 49% (149,295 votes)

Total Votes Cast So Far: 302,920
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