Wisconsin Megathread v3: GOP in MASSIVE DISARRAY

[Landslide Lyndon]

How the  can you have FIVE polling stations open in a city of 600,000 and call that a fair election?

They have one polling station in Waukesha which has more than 70 thousand people, even though it's a Republican stronghold.
They simply don't give a f**k.

[Dr. Arch]

How the  can you have FIVE polling stations open in a city of 600,000 and call that a fair election?

They have one polling station in Waukesha which has more than 70 thousand people, even though it's a Republican stronghold.
They simply don't give a f**k.

I truly hope that the hubris of this whole situation ends up backfiring on them, and Kelly ends up losing the seat regardless. Give us something!

[Bidenworth2020]

The absentees still look worse than 2019, though it looks like Dane, since it has so many more polling places, might save democrats.

https://twitter.com/B_M_Finnigan/status/1247508356316749824

[MT Treasurer]

Republicans are very reliant on Waukesha in Supreme Court elections, even more so than in other elections.

[Gass3268]

Green Bay, population 104,879, two polling stations:

https://twitter.com/meganmariehart/status/1247545392155279360?s=20

[Gass3268]

Republicans are very reliant on Waukesha in Supreme Court elections, even more so than in other elections.

Yeah, Democrats do better in all 4 of the Milwaukee metro counties than liberal Supreme Court candidates. Interesting enough, liberal Supreme Court candidates have tended to do better than Democrats in the Southwest part of the state.

[Dr. Arch]

The absentees still look worse than 2019, though it looks like Dane, since it has so many more polling places, might save democrats.

https://twitter.com/B_M_Finnigan/status/1247508356316749824

Looks like WOW is losing more out of this than Dane+MKE (probably due to Dane staying afloat in this whole mess).

Proportionally speaking, WOW was at 53% of Dane+MKE. Currently, WOW is at 60% of Dane+MKE right now. However, Dane has more than 10 times the polling places open today, and curbside voting, which means that we're likely to end up reducing that difference to under 50% by the end of the day.

[MT Treasurer]

Republicans are very reliant on Waukesha in Supreme Court elections, even more so than in other elections.

Yeah, Democrats do better in all 4 of the Milwaukee metro counties than liberal Supreme Court candidates. Interesting enough, liberal Supreme Court candidates have tended to do better than Democrats in the Southwest part of the state.

I’ve always thought of Brown as a pretty good bellwether, but I could be wrong.

[Dr. Arch]

Republicans are very reliant on Waukesha in Supreme Court elections, even more so than in other elections.

Yeah, Democrats do better in all 4 of the Milwaukee metro counties than liberal Supreme Court candidates. Interesting enough, liberal Supreme Court candidates have tended to do better than Democrats in the Southwest part of the state.

I’ve always thought of Brown as a pretty good bellwether, but I could be wrong.

Door county tends to be more bellweather-ish, but nothing about this election is typical in any way. So, who knows what will happen?

P.S. Congrats on your 10,000th post!

[Bidenworth2020]

Republicans are very reliant on Waukesha in Supreme Court elections, even more so than in other elections.

Yeah, Democrats do better in all 4 of the Milwaukee metro counties than liberal Supreme Court candidates. Interesting enough, liberal Supreme Court candidates have tended to do better than Democrats in the Southwest part of the state.

I’ve always thought of Brown as a pretty good bellwether, but I could be wrong.

Brown is generally republican leaning in close statewide elections. I think Scott won it by 9 in 2018.

[Virginiá]

How the  can you have FIVE polling stations open in a city of 600,000 and call that a fair election?

They have one polling station in Waukesha which has more than 70 thousand people, even though it's a Republican stronghold.
They simply don't give a f**k.

I truly hope that the hubris of this whole situation ends up backfiring on them, and Kelly ends up losing the seat regardless. Give us something!

We'll see!

https://twitter.com/PoliticsWolf/status/1247555220348883052

[ajc0918]

The absentees still look worse than 2019, though it looks like Dane, since it has so many more polling places, might save democrats.

https://twitter.com/B_M_Finnigan/status/1247508356316749824

Looks like WOW is losing more out of this than Dane+MKE (probably due to Dane staying afloat in this whole mess).

Proportionally speaking, WOW was at 53% of Dane+MKE. Currently, WOW is at 60% of Dane+MKE right now. However, Dane has more than 10 times the polling places open today, and curbside voting, which means that we're likely to end up reducing that difference to under 50% by the end of the day.

What margin does Jill Karofsky need to win? Is sub-50% good enough?

[voice_of_resistance]

If she gets Neubauer's numbers in western Wisconsin, then yes it should be just enough I think. Neubauer lost mainly on not enough people showing up in Milwaukee.

[Holmes]

Are we getting results tonight or on the 13th?

[Gass3268]

Are we getting results tonight or on the 13th?

13th, might get total votes tonight however which could give us a range of potential results.

[Gass3268]

https://twitter.com/MadisonWIClerk/status/1247566877230055424?s=20

Was ~22% at the same time in 2016. Really hard to compare given the massive amounts of absentee ballots which are being processed throughout the day.

[Bidenworth2020]

https://twitter.com/MadisonWIClerk/status/1247566877230055424?s=20

Was ~22% at the same time in 2016. Really hard to compare given the massive amounts of absentee ballots which are being processed throughout the day.

Comparison to 2019?

[Gass3268]

https://twitter.com/MadisonWIClerk/status/1247566877230055424?s=20

Was ~22% at the same time in 2016. Really hard to compare given the massive amounts of absentee ballots which are being processed throughout the day.

Comparison to 2019?

Was 6.72% in the February Primary. 13.65% in the 2019 election, 7.99% in 2015 and was 17% in 2011.

[IceSpear]

Considering how insane and chaotic this election is, can we agree to autoban anyone who tries to use the Supreme Court results to extrapolate to anything?

[Bidenworth2020]

Any indications as to how rural turnout is looking?

[redjohn]

Considering how insane and chaotic this election is, can we agree to autoban anyone who tries to use the Supreme Court results to extrapolate to anything?

Except for extrapolating that Republicans are going to do everything they can to disenfranchise voters this November

[Gass3268]

Any indications as to how rural turnout is looking?

Only word is that there aren't any massive lines or anything, but then again most of those places didn't have to shut down polling places. On the other hand, rural northern Wisconsin had really weak absentee turnout compared to the Milwaukee and Madison areas.

[Dr Oz Lost Party!]

https://twitter.com/EoinHiggins_/status/1247354993142837249

Huh...

https://twitter.com/fliedgaff/status/1247583871106875393?s=21

[Gass3268]

https://twitter.com/jcarlislelarsen/status/1247546304944836611?s=20

[Dr. Arch]

https://twitter.com/jcarlislelarsen/status/1247546304944836611?s=20

Good stuff