Wisconsin Megathread v3: GOP in MASSIVE DISARRAY

[RussFeingoldWasRobbed]

Have to laugh in a sick way when Vos/Fitzgerald try to hit Evers on taking a unilateral approach to COVID. Coming from the two guys who have refused to have the legislature meet since March and are using public money to fight a court case to overturn the mask mandate when they could do it in a day through their day jobs (of course while their base areas are in deep red trouble from it).

Vos in particular seems like an especially odious individual.

He's an evil man, he's for sure running against Evers in 2022.

What about Rojo? Does he run for senate, governor or just retire?

[walleye26]

In response to Evers handling of the Kenosha aftermath and handling of Covid, opponents launched a recall effort on Aug 27. Today they said they have the signatures to force a recall.
https://www.wsaw.com/2020/10/20/group-looking-to-recall-evers-says-theyve-met-the-minimum-number-of-required-petition-signatures/

[Spark]

In response to Evers handling of the Kenosha aftermath and handling of Covid, opponents launched a recall effort on Aug 27. Today they said they have the signatures to force a recall.
https://www.wsaw.com/2020/10/20/group-looking-to-recall-evers-says-theyve-met-the-minimum-number-of-required-petition-signatures/

How likely is it that the recall will be successful? As we saw before with Scott Walker it is hard to do.

[walleye26]

In response to Evers handling of the Kenosha aftermath and handling of Covid, opponents launched a recall effort on Aug 27. Today they said they have the signatures to force a recall.
https://www.wsaw.com/2020/10/20/group-looking-to-recall-evers-says-theyve-met-the-minimum-number-of-required-petition-signatures/

How likely is it that the recall will be successful? As we saw before with Scott Walker it is hard to do.

Successful as in removing him from office? Probably not. Successful as in “showing how awful the WI GOP is?” Extremely.

[Drew]

In response to Evers handling of the Kenosha aftermath and handling of Covid, opponents launched a recall effort on Aug 27. Today they said they have the signatures to force a recall.
https://www.wsaw.com/2020/10/20/group-looking-to-recall-evers-says-theyve-met-the-minimum-number-of-required-petition-signatures/

How likely is it that the recall will be successful? As we saw before with Scott Walker it is hard to do.

Successful as in removing him from office? Probably not. Successful as in “showing how awful the WI GOP is?” Extremely.

Take those signature numbers with a grain of salt, as the organizer said on social media that she was going to “make up some crap” to mislead media.
https://www.jsonline.com/story/news/politics/2020/10/19/recall-organizer-suggests-facebook-posts-shes-misleading-media/5985360002/?fbclid=IwAR3DKyVY0gC7F_JQB2FnCUlQEjkVGG0jo1W-tQ3h7f2_pA4-Q_sL_w-MrQQ

That said, if this ends up going through and forcing a recall, it will be another chapter in the horror show that is Wisconsin politics.

[Tintrlvr]

In response to Evers handling of the Kenosha aftermath and handling of Covid, opponents launched a recall effort on Aug 27. Today they said they have the signatures to force a recall.
https://www.wsaw.com/2020/10/20/group-looking-to-recall-evers-says-theyve-met-the-minimum-number-of-required-petition-signatures/

How likely is it that the recall will be successful? As we saw before with Scott Walker it is hard to do.

If they actually hold a recall election, Evers will obviously win in a landslide, which makes the whole exercise look particularly self-defeating.

[Mr. Matt]

In response to Evers handling of the Kenosha aftermath and handling of Covid, opponents launched a recall effort on Aug 27. Today they said they have the signatures to force a recall.
https://www.wsaw.com/2020/10/20/group-looking-to-recall-evers-says-theyve-met-the-minimum-number-of-required-petition-signatures/

How likely is it that the recall will be successful? As we saw before with Scott Walker it is hard to do.

If they actually hold a recall election, Evers will obviously win in a landslide, which makes the whole exercise look particularly self-defeating.

"I've won three elections in four years"
(via Wikimedia Commons)

[walleye26]

Don’t underestimate the WI GOP.....

[Gass3268]

Vos won’t lose, but he’s acting a bit freaked out:

https://twitter.com/sam_wunderle/status/1319786776303722497?s=21

[MasterJedi]

Can't post a source right now but the recall effort has failed, they're suspending their operations.

[Pollster]

Vos won’t lose, but he’s acting a bit freaked out:

https://twitter.com/sam_wunderle/status/1319786776303722497?s=21

What are the voting patterns in his district like?

[MasterJedi]

Vos won’t lose, but he’s acting a bit freaked out:

https://twitter.com/sam_wunderle/status/1319786776303722497?s=21

What are the voting patterns in his district like?

It's a rural and small town deep red district and has been for a long time. It won't flip, he could probably rape someone or eat a baby and they'd still re-elect him with an R next to the name.

[Crucial Waukesha]

Are there any Senate or Assembly districts that have a chance of flipping this year?  I know the seats are all pretty gerrymandered in but I'd be shocked if at least a few didn't change party hands.

[Mr.Phips]

Are there any Senate or Assembly districts that have a chance of flipping this year?  I know the seats are all pretty gerrymandered in but I'd be shocked if at least a few didn't change party hands.

A couple of suburban and driftless area seats that a Republicans hold.

[Mr.Phips]

Are there any Senate or Assembly districts that have a chance of flipping this year?  I know the seats are all pretty gerrymandered in but I'd be shocked if at least a few didn't change party hands.

A couple of suburban and driftless area seats that a Republicans hold.

[Drew]

Can't post a source right now but the recall effort has failed, they're suspending their operations.

Here’s a link.  The organizer indeed says that she doesn’t have enough signatures and will destroy petition documents.

https://www.nbc15.com/2020/10/26/organizer-petition-to-recall-gov-tony-evers-falls-short-on-signatures/

[GALeftist]

You know what they say, can't bone-y the Tony.

[Drew]

State Rep. John Nygren (R) of AD-89 resigning to take a job in the private sector.

http://fox47.com/news/local/rep-john-nygren-to-resign-from-assembly-weeks-after-winning-reelection

R’s should have no problem holding it.  He won with nearly 70% of the vote, and the district has only gotten more R over the past several years.

[Gass3268]

State Rep. John Nygren (R) of AD-89 resigning to take a job in the private sector.

http://fox47.com/news/local/rep-john-nygren-to-resign-from-assembly-weeks-after-winning-reelection

R’s should have no problem holding it.  He won with nearly 70% of the vote, and the district has only gotten more R over the past several years.

Earlier in the decade this might have been competative, not any more.

[Drew]

State Rep. John Nygren (R) of AD-89 resigning to take a job in the private sector.

http://fox47.com/news/local/rep-john-nygren-to-resign-from-assembly-weeks-after-winning-reelection

R’s should have no problem holding it.  He won with nearly 70% of the vote, and the district has only gotten more R over the past several years.

The special election has been scheduled for 4/6/21, the same day as the spring elections in the state.  The primary would be 2/16/21 in alignment with the statewide primary.  Safe R.

https://content.govdelivery.com/attachments/WIGOV/2020/12/18/file_attachments/1630860/EO099-SpecialElection89th.pdf

[walleye26]

In case anybody was curious, the Dems flipped two assembly districts, Jim Ott’s district from southern Ozaukee County into northern Milwaukee county, and the Dems flipped Rob Hutton’s district that straddled northeastern Waukesha County into Wauwatosa.

[Drew]

Wisconsin’s filing deadline for the Spring elections was yesterday. 

-There are 7 filed candidates for the open Superintendent of Public Instruction, if they are all approved. https://www.jsonline.com/story/news/education/2021/01/05/7-candidates-file-wisconsin-superintendent-public-instruction/4142081001/

-There is no Supreme Court race this year, but 2 of the 4 appeals court circuits have contested elections.  District 2 has a conservative running against an Evers appointee.  This could be an flip, as this district contains much of eastern Wisconsin sans Milwaukee County.  District 3, much of northern WI, appears to have 4 candidates that filed for an open seat.

-There are two special elections in the state legislature, one for SD-13 (Fitzgerald) and one for AD-89 (Nygren).  Republicans are likely to retain both.  Assemblyman John Jagler seems most likely to win the Senate seat, as one of 3 republicans that filed, along with one Democrat.  The Dems have one candidate, who previously ran for an assembly seat.  4 republicans and one Democrat filed for AD-89.

Source: https://elections.wi.gov/sites/elections.wi.gov/files/2021-01/Candidates%20Tracking%20By%20Office%20as%20of%201.5.2021%20at%205pm.pdf

[Drew]

The Mayor of Waukesha is leaving the GOP, presumably due to recent events.  He’s a never-Trumper, but still notable considering it’s Waukesha.

https://twitter.com/billmiston/status/1347220803780280322?s=21

[walleye26]

I’m in SD-13, and after the events of last week will surely be voting Dem if one fields (although they have almost no chance of winning).
The St. Croix County GOP posted today to prepare for war: https://www.stcroixrepublican.org/

[Drew]

Some numbers about diversity in the state Legislature.  There are now 10 Black legislators between the senate and assembly, including one Republican.  The first Asian American Representative took office this year as well.

https://madison.com/ct/news/local/govt-and-politics/new-session-brings-historic-level-of-black-representation-to-wisconsin-legislature/article_c7181e87-aef5-5a79-9e16-5d323482230a.html

There are now 41 female legislators, or about 31%, up from 34 in the last cycle.  About 2/3 are Dem, but GOP women had the most gains.

https://www.wpr.org/more-women-are-serving-wisconsin-state-lawmakers-ever?fbclid=IwAR2Hftucrq6019SfpcB1ihTmagZZ3KY47szZ_ZMJJ0M-ukJUEZZNQjU758U