State Legislature Special Election Megathread v3 (user search)
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Author Topic: State Legislature Special Election Megathread v3  (Read 134852 times)
BoiseBoy
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 959
United States


Political Matrix
E: -2.05, S: -1.13

P P
« on: October 12, 2021, 03:42:45 PM »
Quote from: Matty on October 12, 2021, 03:33:28 PM
There is an iowa special election today

Hd29
This seat went to Breckenridge (D) by 3.1 in 2020, after a 17.6 DEM win in 2018. I would not expect them to hold onto this seat. It went Trump +12.3 to Trump +15.9.
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BoiseBoy
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 959
United States


Political Matrix
E: -2.05, S: -1.13

P P
« Reply #1 on: December 15, 2021, 12:13:24 PM »
Quote from: BigSerg on December 15, 2021, 10:05:01 AM

Total turnout for this district was 1,088 people. In 2020, turnout was at 5,622 people despite there being no opposition in the race. In 2018, turnout was at 5,088 people.

This is only 19.4% of last year's showing. I'd chalk the result up to that, first and foremost.
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BoiseBoy
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 959
United States


Political Matrix
E: -2.05, S: -1.13

P P
« Reply #2 on: February 22, 2022, 07:57:17 PM »
Quote from: Matty on February 22, 2022, 07:44:40 PM

Based on what I've read it's primarily because of decreased black turnout.
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