State Legislature Special Election Megathread v3

[VAR]

Really doesn’t bode well for Hassan IMO, but we’ll see I guess.

[VAR]

Really doesn’t bode well for Hassan, but we’ll see I guess.

this result is in line with the 2016 result, which was a hillary win statewide.

So? Hassan needs to do well in places like this to have a prayer statewide because the working-class areas could swing harder against her.

Anyway, let’s not extrapolate too much from this

[VAR]

Here's some info about the four state legislative special elections in Pennsylvania today.

HD 59 (rural Western PA)
Trump +44 -- Barletta +22 -- Wagner +18 -- Trump +41
Watch the margins here.

HD 60 (rural Western PA)
Trump +49 -- Barletta +27 -- Wagner +24 -- Trump +48
Watch the margins here as well.

SD 22 (primarily Lackawanna County)
Clinton +4 -- McGinty +13 -- Casey +23 -- Wolf +30 -- Biden +9
Lackawanna County Commissioner Chris Chermak (R) is running against State Rep. Martin Flynn (D-Scranton) in this district that has shifted toward Republicans over the last decade. Chermak faces an uphill battle not only because of the district's partisan lean, but also because this area is heavily Democratic downballot. Democrats should be concerned if Chermak outruns Trump, and if he wins, it would be a devastating sign for them in the Rust Belt.

SD 48 (Lebanon & southern Dauphin)
Trump +25 -- Barletta +13 -- Wagner +4 -- Trump +20
Neutral-trending district with a few urban/suburban pockets--watch the margins here, too, I suppose.

[VAR]

HD-34 is 100% in. Seabaugh (R) and Smith (D) advance to a runoff. The two Republicans in the race won 59% of the vote, which is an improvement over Trump and Reeves' performance.