State Legislature Special Election Megathread v3 (user search)
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  State Legislature Special Election Megathread v3 (search mode)
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Author Topic: State Legislature Special Election Megathread v3  (Read 134156 times)
ElectionsGuy
Atlas Star
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Posts: 21,106
United States


Political Matrix
E: 7.10, S: -7.65

P P
« on: March 30, 2022, 12:21:25 AM »

Wtf



Welp that's it then. Uniform swing means Republicans will have around 400 seats in the House and sweep the Senate & Governor races.

Yikes. I see the whole "R's aren't improving in special elections" talking point based on a few cherry-picked races implying that an R wave is unlikely just crashed and burned tonight.
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ElectionsGuy
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 21,106
United States


Political Matrix
E: 7.10, S: -7.65

P P
« Reply #1 on: March 30, 2022, 10:49:31 AM »

Wtf



Welp that's it then. Uniform swing means Republicans will have around 400 seats in the House and sweep the Senate & Governor races.

Yikes. I see the whole "R's aren't improving in special elections" talking point based on a few cherry-picked races implying that an R wave is unlikely just crashed and burned tonight.
I think extrapolating from any state legislature special election is a little silly. There have been wildly different results in seemingly every race.

Yep. The aggregated trend is what matters most. That is on the Republican's side this cycle, even with lots of sporadic results. A 90% win is pretty insane though especially for a district like that, would love to know how that happened. Obviously, that's not going to be replicated in any major races for November.
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