State Legislature Special Election Megathread v3

[NewYorkExpress]

Special election tonight in NY 43rd Assembly District. 95% in.

1 Brian A. Cunningham Democratic         1848          62.18%
 
2 Mesidor Azor Republican                     63 2.12%
 
3 Mesidor Azor Conservative                     25 0.84%
 
4 Jelanie Deshong Working Families 1028 34.59%
 
5 WRITE-IN                                                8 0.27%

Extremely blue district and very low turnout but no sign of of improvement Republican/Conservative candidate over past elections, Trump got 8% in 2016.

I'm curious as to what's so objectionable about Cunningham for Deshong to do so well. The Working Families nominee doesn't usually do this well in New York Elections (when they aren't also the Democratic nominee), without some real issues related to the Democratic nominee.

[NewYorkExpress]

We will have a special election in Connecticut HD-100 after State Representative Quentin Williams died in a traffic accident.

A Connecticut state representative was killed overnight in a wrong-way highway crash after having attended the governor’s inaugural ball and his own swearing-in ceremony for a third term, House Democratic leaders said Thursday.

Quentin Williams, a Democrat from Middletown known as “Q,” died in the crash on Route 9 in Cromwell.

He was 39.

State police said both drivers were killed and one of the vehicles became fully engulfed in flames. State police have not yet released the names of the victims.

[NewYorkExpress]

Possible Special Election in Connecticut as State Representative Robin Comey (HD-102) was arrested for DUI and has already been stripped of all committee assignments.

State Rep. Robin Comey was removed from all committee assignments Friday after being arrested on drunken driving charges following a car crash near the state Capitol in Hartford, officials said.

Comey had been driving her Honda with legislative plates with the number “102” that shows that she represents her hometown of Branford. The car flipped over and landed upside down on its roof Thursday night on Capitol Avenue between Lawrence and Babcock streets. She was handcuffed at the scene by Hartford police following a field sobriety test.

House Speaker Matt Ritter of Hartford said Friday that Comey, an assistant majority whip, had been removed from all leadership assignments until further notice.

“This was an extremely dangerous situation, and somebody could have been seriously injured, including Rep. Comey,” Ritter said. “My immediate reaction is to think about Rep. Comey’s next steps. I hope she focuses on her health and wellbeing, and I know that her friends and colleagues will support her in any way we can.”

[NewYorkExpress]

Special election in New Hampshire upcoming, with Benjamin Bartlett's resignation.

The district, Rockingham 1, was one the closest in New Hampshire and in the entire country.

[NewYorkExpress]

It looks like we will have an imminent special election in Texas HD-2, after a subcommittee recommended expelling State Rep. Bryan Slaton.

[NewYorkExpress]

There will be a special election in Kentucky HD-93 after the incumbent, Lamin Swann died.

This is a suburban Lexington District. Swann won 53.8-46.2 in 2022.

[NewYorkExpress]

This Tuesday (7/18) will feature a special election in WI assembly district 24 (Grafton, portions of Mequon, the village of Germantown, and parts of Menominee Falls). Trump won this district by 16 in 2020, but Evers narrowed that a few points and Janet only lost it by low double digits.

While the Republican candidate is heavily favored, this is a district trending left. The margin will be interesting to see.

https://decisiondeskhq.com/election-results-wisconsin-state-assembly-24-special-election/

Trump +16, looks like another major GOP underperformance in the suburbs. Dems continue to make gains in the WOW.

It also looks like the Democratic candidate outright won the Menominee Falls portion of the district. I was expecting him to do better in the Ozaukee County portion, but he only lost it by 5 to the GOP candidate. The fact that he got nearly 42% in Germantown is nuts for a Dem. I know it’s only one special election, but yeah, Trump won this by 16 and the GOP candidate winning by 7 is absolutely awful for the WISGOP.

This is a good sign for Tammy Baldwin. If Democrats are doing this well in specials a year out, it's hard to see how she isn't favored next fall.

[NewYorkExpress]

https://twitter.com/DKElections/status/1686544753406492672

Safe D

[NewYorkExpress]

There will be a special election in SC-SD 19, following the death of John Scott.

State Sen. John Scott, a longtime South Carolina lawmaker who served for more than three decades, died Sunday after a stint in the hospital, according to Democrats across the state. He was 69.

Scott had been at the Medical University of South Carolina in Charleston, since Friday, when he was hospitalized for an undisclosed medical issue, according to Senate officials.

[NewYorkExpress]

https://twitter.com/ECaliberSeven/status/1694138207116390666?t=OzJfq38DttjrbVw7Y...
NH special election,  for a very blue seat. The special which could tie/flip the chamber, depending on how on tabulates the Independents, is next month.

But I read that Democrats are PANICKED in Virginia and that Republicans will easily win the trifecta.

I don't think either party gets a trifecta in Virginia. I think both Houses filp, and Democrats pick up the Governor's Mansion in 2025.

[NewYorkExpress]

There could be a special election upcoming in AL HD-10, following David Cole's indictment for voter fraud.

Cole only won here 51.6-45 last year, so this could be a possible Democratic gain, either in a special election or in 2024 when the seat is normally up.