State Legislature Special Election Megathread v3

[Duke of York]

https://twitter.com/MichaelLangeNYC/status/1757604206817534026?t=9Rq1Y3R3j-tQ-Mc...

Also in NY, the Bronx vote has stalled at 1.4k total votes with some precincts not in. Looking like a Dem underperformance - but still a overall landslide - seemingly cause of this hyperfixation by the Republican on one neighborhood block.

For context, this is actually a single housing development, and the R candidate is the president of the residents association of this development (and also lives there).

They say all politics is local. Could explain the result.

[Oryxslayer]

Two Specials today, both in states up for Super Tuesday.  But neither are interesting 

Maine HD122: Seat immediately adjacent to Portland by the southern Bridge. Often goes uncontested D. The special doesn't even have a Republican,  just 2 Indies and a Dem.

Massachusetts House Worcester 6: South Central MA, a very rural seat between Springfield and Worcester.  This is as close to Safe R as you get in MA, and past incumbent Peter Durant often went without Dem opponents. There isn't anyone other than the Republican on the ballot this time,  at least according to ballotpedia.

[I spent the winter writing songs about getting better]

I just learned of this via the Minnesota Secretary of State site looking up election results for the primary, but there is a special election in the Minnesota House for seat 27B. The special primary was held a week ago and the general is March 12.

It's a Safe R seat and was previously held by former House Speaker Kurt Daudt. What's odd is Daudt announced his resignation in January but I can't find any specific reasons why, he made no mention of taking a private sector job or even "spend more time with his family" (he's unmarried and has no children.) He just stepped down abruptly. And Daudt has been suspected of corruption in the past, he once had $50k of debt wiped out for seemingly no reason.

But again, absurdly Safe R seat regardless. If you still want to compare numbers Trump won it 70.9 to 27 for Biden, and Daudt won 73.23-26.61 in 2022. Scott Jensen won it over Walz 68.43-27.81.

[I spent the winter writing songs about getting better]

Three tonight. The one in Minnesota I mentioned above and two in Kentucky, House districts 24 and 26. The two Kentucky seats are also very Safe R.

Dull night with nothing interesting in the presidential primaries either.

[Duke of York]

Three tonight. The one in Minnesota I mentioned above and two in Kentucky, House districts 24 and 26. The two Kentucky seats are also very Safe R.

Dull night with nothing interesting in the presidential primaries either.

The Minnesota and Kentucky elections are next week

[I spent the winter writing songs about getting better]

Minnesota results:
R   Bryan Lawrence   1,752   84.52%
DFL   Brad Brown   319   15.39%
WI   WRITE-IN   2   0.10%

Turnout was less than 10% though and the DFL didn't even really bother with a campaign or GOTV (no reason to) so this is about as useful as reading entrails after eating a plate of lasagna.

[Duke of York]

Minnesota results:
R   Bryan Lawrence   1,752   84.52%
DFL   Brad Brown   319   15.39%
WI   WRITE-IN   2   0.10%

Turnout was less than 10% though and the DFL didn't even really bother with a campaign or GOTV (no reason to) so this is about as useful as reading entrails after eating a plate of lasagna.

'

at least it wasn't uncontested.

[I spent the winter writing songs about getting better]

Minnesota results:
R Bryan Lawrence 1,752 84.52%
DFL Brad Brown 319 15.39%
WI WRITE-IN 2 0.10%

Turnout was less than 10% though and the DFL didn't even really bother with a campaign or GOTV (no reason to) so this is about as useful as reading entrails after eating a plate of lasagna.

'

at least it wasn't uncontested.

Same guy who ran in 2022.

Also in 2022 despite receiving only 26.61%, he still got almost three times as many votes (4815) as the winning Republican did this time.

[I spent the winter writing songs about getting better]

Kentucky results: https://criticalreport.substack.com/p/ky-state-house-districts-24-26-specials

KY-HD 24:
Courtney Gilbert (R) 62.5% 1,025
Johnny Pennington (D)  22.7% 372
Craig Astor (Independent) (Write-in) 14.9% 244

Was Trump 78.5-20.2. Biden still received more votes (4,332) than were cast in the entire special.

KY-HD 26:
...actually Republican Peyton Griffee won unopposed. He received 100% of the vote...and a total of 75 votes. LMAO.

[Duke of York]

Kentucky results: https://criticalreport.substack.com/p/ky-state-house-districts-24-26-specials

KY-HD 24:
Courtney Gilbert (R) 62.5% 1,025
Johnny Pennington (D)  22.7% 372
Craig Astor (Independent) (Write-in) 14.9% 244

Was Trump 78.5-20.2. Biden still received more votes (4,332) than were cast in the entire special.

KY-HD 26:
...actually Republican Peyton Griffee won unopposed. He received 100% of the vote...and a total of 75 votes. LMAO.

I would like to have seen him get zero votes. That would have been even funnier. I hate when people run unopposed in a special or general election. I always leave it blank in that case.

[I spent the winter writing songs about getting better]

Kentucky results: https://criticalreport.substack.com/p/ky-state-house-districts-24-26-specials

KY-HD 24:
Courtney Gilbert (R) 62.5% 1,025
Johnny Pennington (D)  22.7% 372
Craig Astor (Independent) (Write-in) 14.9% 244

Was Trump 78.5-20.2. Biden still received more votes (4,332) than were cast in the entire special.

KY-HD 26:
...actually Republican Peyton Griffee won unopposed. He received 100% of the vote...and a total of 75 votes. LMAO.

I would like to have seen him get zero votes. That would have been even funnier. I hate when people run unopposed in a special or general election. I always leave it blank in that case.

I mean in theory at least he would've definitely voted for himself, so that means he was guaranteed one vote. Now THAT would've been hilarious.

[Duke of York]

Kentucky results: https://criticalreport.substack.com/p/ky-state-house-districts-24-26-specials

KY-HD 24:
Courtney Gilbert (R) 62.5% 1,025
Johnny Pennington (D)  22.7% 372
Craig Astor (Independent) (Write-in) 14.9% 244

Was Trump 78.5-20.2. Biden still received more votes (4,332) than were cast in the entire special.

KY-HD 26:
...actually Republican Peyton Griffee won unopposed. He received 100% of the vote...and a total of 75 votes. LMAO.

I would like to have seen him get zero votes. That would have been even funnier. I hate when people run unopposed in a special or general election. I always leave it blank in that case.

I mean in theory at least he would've definitely voted for himself, so that means he was guaranteed one vote. Now THAT would've been hilarious.

He should have not even voted for himself.

[DrScholl]

In California local races that go uncontested don't even go on the ballot.

[GeorgiaModerate]

Anyone seen results yet from the competitive Alabama HD-10 special?

[GeorgiaModerate]

56% reporting:

Marilyn Lands   DEM   1,812   
64.1%

Teddy Powell   GOP   1,014   
35.9%

The seat is vacant after Republican state rep. David Cole resigned following a guilty plea to voter fraud back in August. The 10th District lies in southwest Madison County including parts of Huntsville.

[Landslide Lyndon]

https://twitter.com/DLCC/status/1772797473360072848

[Dr Oz Lost Party!]

Trump +1 district, by the way, so the flip isn’t a huge surprise, but the margin is sure to be eye popping.

[ajc0918]

Trump +1 district, by the way. So the flip isn’t a huge surprise, but the margin is sure to be eye popping.

IVF and abortion issues are so toxic for republicans. They want to ban IVF and outlaw contraception which doesn't sit well with most (sane) voters.

[Boobs]

Lands is doing better than Doug Jones in 2017; the only logical conclusion is that Alabama loves abortion even more than it hate pedophiles.

[Secretary of State Liberal Hack]

Apparently it's the only white majority seat the democrats hold in Alabama now.

[Roll Roons]

What's crazy is that for the most part, Dobbs actually helped Republicans in religious areas like the Deep South and Utah.

[Landslide Lyndon]

https://twitter.com/JMilesColeman/status/1772807746749927711

[Atlas Force]

https://twitter.com/lyman_brian/status/1772796734298587200

[Dr Oz Lost Party!]

Trump +1 district, by the way. So the flip isn’t a huge surprise, but the margin is sure to be eye popping.

IVF and abortion issues are so toxic for republicans. They want to ban IVF and outlaw contraception which doesn't sit well with most (sane) voters.

Yeah, it's going to be another potent issue for the Democrats. Alabama and federal Republicans both immediately denounced the ALSC's ruling and apparently that wasn't enough.

It also doesn't help their case that the Life at Conception Act, which is a policy priority of the national GOP, explicitly bans IVF in all 50 states. Can't really blame the voters for not trusting them.

[Lief 🗽]

SOTU Bump is now manifesting down-ballot too…