What does it take for Trump (or another Republican) to win Colorado?
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  What does it take for Trump (or another Republican) to win Colorado?
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Author Topic: What does it take for Trump (or another Republican) to win Colorado?  (Read 1785 times)
pantsaregood
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« on: March 29, 2019, 11:48:47 AM »

2018 made Colorado look like a blue state, but maybe it was a fluke. Can Trump do anything to win it in 2020? What about after that - can Republicans still compete?
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Bernie Derangement Syndrome Haver
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« Reply #1 on: March 29, 2019, 01:10:12 PM »

No. Colorado is gone for the GOP.
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RussFeingoldWasRobbed
Progress96
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« Reply #2 on: March 29, 2019, 01:17:55 PM »

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cvparty
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« Reply #3 on: March 29, 2019, 01:18:40 PM »

2018 made Colorado look like a blue state, but maybe it was a fluke. Can Trump do anything to win it in 2020? What about after that - can Republicans still compete?
:0
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Politician
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« Reply #4 on: March 29, 2019, 01:36:14 PM »

Trump 2016 + Alamosa, Clear Creek, Gilpin, Jefferson, Larimer, La Plata
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pantsaregood
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« Reply #5 on: March 29, 2019, 01:43:10 PM »

Trump 2016 + Alamosa, Clear Creek, Gilpin, Jefferson, Larimer, La Plata

I don't think that's enough unless margins in Denver and Boulder drop with those.
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Agonized-Statism
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« Reply #6 on: March 29, 2019, 10:28:44 PM »

GOP pushes hard on libertarianism. Shouldn't actually be that tough post-Trump, or even next year under favorable circumstances now that Trump looks more moderate.
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morgankingsley
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« Reply #7 on: March 30, 2019, 03:30:33 AM »

A landslide in which Trump wins 35 or more states
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
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« Reply #8 on: March 30, 2019, 12:36:37 PM »

A Rubio type of GOPer, as he could of won it against Hilary.
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QAnonKelly
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« Reply #9 on: March 30, 2019, 08:25:13 PM »

Have all the woke white educated people move to California
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Wazza [INACTIVE]
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« Reply #10 on: April 01, 2019, 08:43:04 AM »

Signing the STATES Act + Bush 04 tier victory.
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S019
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« Reply #11 on: April 06, 2019, 01:22:43 PM »

A R+4 PV victory
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Tekken_Guy
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« Reply #12 on: April 06, 2019, 03:51:19 PM »

Have the Denver metro secede.
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
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« Reply #13 on: April 06, 2019, 06:32:40 PM »

The only way Trump wins in 2020, is if he puts Marco Rubio on ticket and blunts the CASTRO-Putin attack and wins CO, NV or Va.

Otherwise he wont crack MI, WI or Pa
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Smash255
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« Reply #14 on: April 06, 2019, 11:20:32 PM »

Trump has absolutely no chance of winning the state and it is gone for the GOP on the Presidential level.  A wave year the GOP might be able to pick off a Governor's race or a Senate race with a sleep at the wheel candidate (Udall in 2014), but even that will be quite difficult.  It isn't all on Trump, the GOP was likely headed there in the state anyway, but Trump certainly did speed up the process.
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TML
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« Reply #15 on: April 07, 2019, 01:51:12 AM »

Not sure how relevant this is, but I noticed that based on exit polls, the last time Republicans won CO at the presidential level, their candidate won the female vote in the state overall, which hasn't happened since.
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UWS
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« Reply #16 on: April 15, 2019, 04:49:07 PM »

Support immigration reform. That's why Trump was doing the weakest performance against Hillary Clinton among the 2016 Republicans in Colorado. And that's why George W. Bush won Colorado in 2004 because he pledged to reform the immigration system in his second term, which must have reinforced his appeal among Hispanic voters in Colorado like it did in Florida, Nevada and New Mexico.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Pre-2016_statewide_opinion_polling_for_the_2016_United_States_presidential_election#Colorado
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UWS
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« Reply #17 on: April 15, 2019, 04:51:47 PM »

A Rubio type of GOPer, as he could of won it against Hilary.

Exactly because Rubio was doing the best against Hillary Clinton in Colorado as he was leading her by 16 and also due to his appeal among Hispanic voters.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Pre-2016_statewide_opinion_polling_for_the_2016_United_States_presidential_election#Colorado
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Some of My Best Friends Are Gay
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« Reply #18 on: April 15, 2019, 06:10:56 PM »

A Rubio type of GOPer, as he could of won it against Hilary.

Exactly because Rubio was doing the best against Hillary Clinton in Colorado as he was leading her by 16 and also due to his appeal among Hispanic voters.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Pre-2016_statewide_opinion_polling_for_the_2016_United_States_presidential_election#Colorado

I don't think a strong social conservative like Rubio has that much more appeal in Colorado than a Trumpian candidate.

It would have been a little closer, but I think Rubio would have lost Colorado to Clinton by 2-3% still.
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Del Tachi
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« Reply #19 on: April 16, 2019, 02:58:05 PM »


or a strong Green Party/Far Left third party candidate wrecking the Democrat vote
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AN63093
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« Reply #20 on: May 08, 2019, 08:10:30 AM »

I don't understand why people think CO is gone for the GOP.  Now don't get me wrong, obviously Trump is a particularly bad fit for the state and the long term trends are very unfavorable for the GOP.

But of the Bush 04 states that flipped D, CO is arguably the most elastic.  Contrast to, say, VA.  Now it may take near landslide conditions to flip CO back, and it would probably be the last state to do so (after MN, ME, NH, and NV), but the point is.. I can conceive of a future GOP coalition that would competitive in CO, even if I have to squint to see it, whereas I cannot even imagine any conditions that would flip back VA absent a complete realignment.

That's the difference, even though they're both D +5 states on paper.
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President of the civil service full of trans activists
Peebs
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« Reply #21 on: May 08, 2019, 08:12:13 AM »

Denver disappears off the face of the earth.
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Spark
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« Reply #22 on: May 08, 2019, 08:34:49 PM »

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