2020 Montana Statewide Elections Megathread
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  2020 Montana Statewide Elections Megathread
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Author Topic: 2020 Montana Statewide Elections Megathread  (Read 12849 times)
MT Treasurer
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« Reply #50 on: June 02, 2020, 09:24:37 PM »

With 66% in, Cooney is leading in Yellowstone County 52.5% to 47.5%. Could be a long night, especially when Missoula comes in.
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KaiserDave
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« Reply #51 on: June 02, 2020, 09:27:09 PM »

With 66% in, Cooney is leading in Yellowstone County 52.5% to 47.5%. Could be a long night, especially when Missoula comes in.

If enough Atlas posters pledge to the Cooney Cruiser it will cause seismic changes in the count! Atlas posts are almost as powerful as Gary Peter's motorcycle.
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WD
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« Reply #52 on: June 02, 2020, 09:29:23 PM »

With 66% in, Cooney is leading in Yellowstone County 52.5% to 47.5%. Could be a long night, especially when Missoula comes in.

If enough Atlas posters pledge to the Cooney Cruiser it will cause seismic changes in the count! Atlas posts are almost as powerful as Gary Peter's motorcycle.

lmao
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MT Treasurer
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« Reply #53 on: June 02, 2020, 09:30:14 PM »

Roosevelt County currently tied in MT-GOV (D) and (!) MT-GOV (R).
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KaiserDave
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« Reply #54 on: June 02, 2020, 09:32:25 PM »

Big new vote dump, Williams narrowly ahead in Missoula but Cooney massacred her in Lewis and Clark.
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MT Treasurer
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« Reply #55 on: June 02, 2020, 09:37:41 PM »

Big new vote dump, Williams narrowly ahead in Missoula but Cooney massacred her in Lewis and Clark.

Well, Cooney lives in Helena and has represented the area for decades. It’s his base where he really needed to run up the score.

Williams needs to win Missoula by more than just 5 points.
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KaiserDave
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« Reply #56 on: June 02, 2020, 09:43:35 PM »

Big new vote dump, Williams narrowly ahead in Missoula but Cooney massacred her in Lewis and Clark.

Well, Cooney lives in Helena and has represented the area for decades. It’s his base where he really needed to run up the score.

Williams needs to win Missoula by more than just 5 points.

What do you anticipate from Gallatin? (beautiful county btw)
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KaiserDave
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« Reply #57 on: June 02, 2020, 09:54:05 PM »

Petroleum county votes for Cooney! This is everything!
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MT Treasurer
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« Reply #58 on: June 02, 2020, 09:55:59 PM »

Gallatin? Probably Williams if I had to guess.

Also, where’s HeirofCamelot? Gianforte is beating both Olszewski and Fox (who’s in third place) in Flathead (Olszewski's home turf, which he even carried in the 2018 R primary) despite all those non-existent Gianforte yard signs and foxy Fox retail politics. Tongue
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KaiserDave
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« Reply #59 on: June 02, 2020, 09:58:54 PM »

Gallatin? Probably Williams if I had to guess.

Also, where’s HeirofCamelot? Gianforte is beating both Olszewski and Fox (who’s in third place) in Flathead (Olszewski's home turf, which he even carried in the 2018 R primary) despite all those non-existent Gianforte yard signs and foxy Fox retail politics. Tongue

You were right! Gallatin comes in narrowly for Williams, making the race closer. Race looks quite close, remaining Billings ballots will be key.
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MT Treasurer
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« Reply #60 on: June 02, 2020, 09:59:27 PM »

Looks like MT-AG is going to be Knudsen (R) vs. Graybill (D), i.e. the Democrats' best-case scenario.
 
Scott Sales is getting embarrassed in MT-SoS lol.
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Xing
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« Reply #61 on: June 02, 2020, 09:59:47 PM »

Looks like this will be quite tight, maybe a very slight advantage for Cooney.
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KaiserDave
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« Reply #62 on: June 02, 2020, 10:00:57 PM »

Could we get a east-west split here?
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Oryxslayer
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« Reply #63 on: June 02, 2020, 10:01:42 PM »

Oh and Gianforte defeated Foxx on the GOP side.
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« Reply #64 on: June 02, 2020, 10:06:29 PM »

Oh and Gianforte defeated Foxx on the GOP side.

Not a surprise, but the margin arguably is. His chief deputy Bennion is losing badly as well, so really not a good night for Team Fox.

Ain’t Marc Racicot's GOP anymore.
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KaiserDave
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« Reply #65 on: June 02, 2020, 10:07:17 PM »

Cooney surges back into a more comfortable lead with Great Falls and western montana coming in.
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WD
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« Reply #66 on: June 02, 2020, 10:07:42 PM »

Oh and Gianforte defeated Foxx on the GOP side.

Not a surprise, but the margin arguably is. His chief deputy Bennion is losing badly as well, so really not a good night for Team Fox.

Ain’t Marc Racicot's GOP anymore.
Who would you say is favored in the dem primary right now?
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Senate Minority Leader Lord Voldemort
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« Reply #67 on: June 02, 2020, 10:09:31 PM »

Why is Montana politics the same five Republican men running for statewide office over and over and over again?

Bring back Denny Rehberg!
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MT Treasurer
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« Reply #68 on: June 02, 2020, 10:11:34 PM »

Who would you say is favored in the dem primary right now?

Definitely Cooney. She’s not getting the margins she needs out of her strongest counties, and as long as they split Missoula/Billings/Bozeman and Cooney dominates in Helena/Great Falls and wins most of the rural areas, he will be fine.

Probably 54% Cooney, 46% Williams if I had to guess.
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KaiserDave
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« Reply #69 on: June 02, 2020, 10:13:18 PM »

Who would you say is favored in the dem primary right now?

Definitely Cooney. She’s not getting the margins she needs out of her strongest counties, and as long as they split Missoula/Billings/Bozeman and Cooney dominates in Helena/Great Falls and wins most of the rural areas, he will be fine.

Probably 54% Cooney, 46% Williams if I had to guess.

Looks so

Your preliminary rating of MT-GOV Cooney vs Gianforte is Tilt D I would guess?
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MT Treasurer
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« Reply #70 on: June 02, 2020, 10:15:55 PM »

Your preliminary rating of MT-GOV Cooney vs Gianforte is Tilt D I would guess?

It’s going to be a really close one. I don’t feel comfortable tilting it one way or another, it’s a pure Tossup (and I certainly wouldn’t underestimate Gianforte; he’s not a "weaker candidate" than Daines).
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KaiserDave
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« Reply #71 on: June 02, 2020, 10:18:01 PM »

Your preliminary rating of MT-GOV Cooney vs Gianforte is Tilt D I would guess?

It’s going to be a really close one. I don’t feel comfortable tilting it one way or another, it’s a pure Tossup (and I certainly wouldn’t underestimate Gianforte; he’s not a "weaker candidate" than Daines).

But you would agree Fox would've been stronger?
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WD
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« Reply #72 on: June 02, 2020, 10:18:52 PM »

Your preliminary rating of MT-GOV Cooney vs Gianforte is Tilt D I would guess?

It’s going to be a really close one. I don’t feel comfortable tilting it one way or another, it’s a pure Tossup (and I certainly wouldn’t underestimate Gianforte; he’s not a "weaker candidate" than Daines).
Personally for me its Safe R. Gianforte will be helped by Daines giga coatails. Daines wins by 40 pts and Gianforte by 35 pts
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KaiserDave
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« Reply #73 on: June 02, 2020, 10:20:11 PM »

Your preliminary rating of MT-GOV Cooney vs Gianforte is Tilt D I would guess?

It’s going to be a really close one. I don’t feel comfortable tilting it one way or another, it’s a pure Tossup (and I certainly wouldn’t underestimate Gianforte; he’s not a "weaker candidate" than Daines).
Personally for me its Safe R. Gianforte will be helped by Daines giga coatails. Daines wins by 40 pts and Gianforte by 35 pts

Daines is truly unbeatable. The greatest titan of our time.
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President Punxsutawney Phil
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« Reply #74 on: June 02, 2020, 10:29:38 PM »

Your preliminary rating of MT-GOV Cooney vs Gianforte is Tilt D I would guess?

It’s going to be a really close one. I don’t feel comfortable tilting it one way or another, it’s a pure Tossup (and I certainly wouldn’t underestimate Gianforte; he’s not a "weaker candidate" than Daines).
Personally for me its Safe R. Gianforte will be helped by Daines giga coatails. Daines wins by 40 pts and Gianforte by 35 pts

Daines is truly unbeatable. The greatest titan of our time.
With the support of Great Daines dog owners, Bullock will lose by 70 points on election day.
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