The “Who is running in 2020?” tea leaves thread, Part 4

[Mr. Morden]

Bloomberg “expected” to file paperwork for at least one state ballot, but has not yet firmly made a decision regarding whether to run:

https://www.nytimes.com/2019/11/07/us/politics/michael-bloomberg-president-2020.html

Michael R. Bloomberg is actively preparing to enter the Democratic presidential primary and is expected to file paperwork this week designating himself as a candidate in at least one state with an early filing deadline, people briefed on Mr. Bloomberg’s plans said.

Mr. Bloomberg, the former New York City mayor and billionaire businessman, has been privately weighing a bid for the White House for weeks and has not yet made a final decision on whether to run, an adviser said. But in the first sign that he is seriously moving toward a campaign, Mr. Bloomberg has dispatched staffers to Alabama to gather signatures to qualify for the primary there. Though Alabama does not hold an early primary, it has a Friday deadline for candidates to formally enter the race.

Mr. Bloomberg called a number of prominent Democrats on Thursday to tell them he was seriously considering the race, including former Senator Harry Reid of Nevada, the retired majority leader who remains a dominant power broker in the early caucus state.
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Advisers to Mr. Bloomberg said he would likely make up his mind about the race within days, rather than weeks.

[Mr. Morden]

Eugene Robinson says Eric Holder is weighing a run:

https://twitter.com/Eugene_Robinson/status/1192575677658206208

[Former Crackhead Mike Lindell]

Bloomberg I get, but who is hankering for an Eric Holder candidacy??

[Mr. Morden]

So to clarify, Bloomberg’s spokesman suggests that Bloomberg will (likely) file the paperwork for the ballot in Alabama, despite not being decided on whether he’s running.  I’m not sure if it’s possible to get on the ballot without also declaring your candidacy with the FEC:

https://www.cnn.com/2019/11/07/politics/michael-bloomberg-alabama-2020-primary/index.html

Bloomberg is expected to file the necessary paperwork to get on the Democratic primary ballot in Alabama this week, the spokesman said, the clearest sign to date that the former mayor is seriously considering following through with something he has been weighing for weeks.

Despite preparing to file the necessary paperwork in Alabama, Bloomberg has yet to make a final decision on a run, the spokesman added.

Meanwhile, Kasich in New Hampshire:

https://www.wmur.com/article/kasich-visiting-nh-says-he-has-no-plans-to-run-in-2020/29730494

Former Ohio Gov. John Kasich raised eyebrows with his visit to New Hampshire during the primary filing period. But he was in the state to promote his new book and discuss politics with his friend, former state Attorney General Tom Rath.

"What it looks like for me at this point in time is there is no path (to the presidency)," Kasich said. "We're only eight days away from the filing deadline here, and I don't intend to file because I don't see a path."
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While asserting that he won't be in the 2020 race, Kasich didn't rule out a future run for president.

[Mr. Morden]

Clinton asked if she's going to run, and jokes about being a "slow runner":

https://twitter.com/HillaryClinton/status/1192466767014244352

[Mr. Morden]

Bloomberg:

https://www.axios.com/michael-bloomberg-2020-presidential-race-decision-8d6f720f-5b7e-467f-abca-2d64a81bfab3.html

I'm told there's no way he'll later run as a third-party or independent candidate, partly because of ballot-access hurdles.
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Bloomberg, who will make a final decision "soon," isn't expected to seek or accept campaign contributions, according to a second source.
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I'm told he'll quickly ramp up in other states with deadlines approaching, including Arkansas, New Hampshire, Florida, California and Texas.

I guess if he's not going to accept campaign contributions, then he's not going to participate in any of the debates, even if he were to well.

[I'm a prince to the grifters, I turn apostles to pimps]

Then he's running just to steal votes from Biden on Super Tuesday. Amazing.

[jimrtex]

So to clarify, Bloomberg’s spokesman suggests that Bloomberg will (likely) file the paperwork for the ballot in Alabama, despite not being decided on whether he’s running.  I’m not sure if it’s possible to get on the ballot without also declaring your candidacy with the FEC:

Filing must be within 15 days of when more than $5000 is raised or spent.

Alabama requires a petition with 500 signatures (or 50 in each congressional district) and $2500.

[Mr. Morden]

So to clarify, Bloomberg’s spokesman suggests that Bloomberg will (likely) file the paperwork for the ballot in Alabama, despite not being decided on whether he’s running.  I’m not sure if it’s possible to get on the ballot without also declaring your candidacy with the FEC:

Filing must be within 15 days of when more than $5000 is raised or spent.

Alabama requires a petition with 500 signatures (or 50 in each congressional district) and $2500.

OK, so he could get on the Alabama ballot without filing with the FEC.  Still, it seems like if you file to put your name on the ballot, and the state accepts your application, then by any reasonable dictionary definition of candidate, you've become a candidate for that office, whether or not the FEC recognizes you as such.  So Bloomberg's hairsplitting of "I'm going to put my name on the ballot in these states but I'm not sure if I'm running for this office or not" seems a little strange.

[AltWorlder]

Deval Patrick is considering a run as per NYT:  https://www.nytimes.com/2019/11/11/us/politics/deval-patrick-2020-president.html

Please sticky this thread again

[Mr. Morden]

https://www.nbcnews.com/politics/2020-election/former-mass-governor-deval-patrick-considering-presidential-run-n1080316

Former Massachusetts Gov. Deval Patrick is considering making a late run for the Democratic presidential nomination.

That's according to people with knowledge of Patrick's deliberations, who spoke on condition of anonymity because they were not authorized to discuss the matter publicly.

Patrick ruled out a run earlier this year but has since been talking with Democratic operatives and donors about launching a campaign. His deliberations come as some Democrats express uncertainty about the party's current crop of contenders.

[Proud Independent]

Thoughts? Opinion?

My opinion is.... Why now, why not wait until 2024? Honestly and I don't like the dems at all. It's not gonna look good if you need someone to save your party last minute. That says ALOT about the current field..... seems like a nice guy though.

[Zaybay]

It boggles my mind how these people turned down the chance to run early on and think that now is the time for them to steal the show. The field is already pretty settled, and these guys have lost their chance of getting into a debate or seeing some momentum.

Whoever's advising these politicians needs to be fired.

[Mr.Bakari-Sellers]

Too late, Biden solidified the AA and Latino vote, was other user said, should of ran earlier, but no one thought Harris was gonna fizzle. Biden, has always had appeal to Latinos as well as blacks; whereas, other AA candidates only have AA appeal. All Harris had to do was go on Oprah

[GeneralMacArthur]

Are these stories really still going to be coming out in January and February?

July 11, 2020:  Jerry Brown, former governor of California, is reconsidering decision to stay out of the race.

[Roll Roons]

He was unpopular enough to be succeeded by a Republican in a heavily blue state. That should tell you something about his prospects.

[Schumer can go f*** himself!]

Gross

[GeorgiaModerate]

Why?

[Progressive Pessimist]

Just about all he has going for him is that he was the only Democrat to ever beat Charlie Baker.

[LabourJersey]

https://www.nbcnews.com/politics/2020-election/former-mass-governor-deval-patrick-considering-presidential-run-n1080316

Former Massachusetts Gov. Deval Patrick is considering making a late run for the Democratic presidential nomination.

That's according to people with knowledge of Patrick's deliberations, who spoke on condition of anonymity because they were not authorized to discuss the matter publicly.

Patrick ruled out a run earlier this year but has since been talking with Democratic operatives and donors about launching a campaign. His deliberations come as some Democrats express uncertainty about the party's current crop of contenders.

But...why?

He's a former Bain Capital executive who let one of the most egregious foreclosure mogul off with a slap on the wrist in the 1990s. The progressives will dislike him, most African Americans will be skeptical of him, the moderates won't be crazy with a Massachusetts liberal. What's his constituency?

[Orser67]

Deval Patrick has to be one of the biggest "will they or won't they" candidates since Mario Cuomo.

[GP270watch]

 Another also ran.

[Mr.Bakari-Sellers]

Since Harris was a bust, there will be no viable AA candidate.

[W]

Why?!

[Mr. Morden]

Deval Patrick announcement "could come as soon as Thursday":

https://twitter.com/rickklein/status/1194053827764334593