ROC President and Legislative elections Jan 11 2020 (user search)
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Author Topic: ROC President and Legislative elections Jan 11 2020  (Read 37170 times)
MoreThanPolitics
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« on: January 06, 2021, 07:14:03 AM »
« edited: January 07, 2021, 12:49:00 PM by MoreThanPolitics »

Bumping this as we approach a new set of recall elections in Taiwan. After former Kaohsiung mayor Han Kuo-yu was recalled last June, supporters of Han vowed to recall some of Han's biggest critics in revenge.

This 16th, residents of Chungli District, Taoyuan City (桃園市中壢區) will decide the fate of DPP city councilor Wang Hao-yu (王浩宇), a former Green Party member who did not join the DPP until last year. Wang is known for his controversial statements and actions, such as sneaking into a school during school hours, doxxing supporters of Han Kuo-yu, falsely accusing an NPP volunteer of drug possession, and insulting aborigines just recently.

His attitude towards the DPP has completely changed. over the years. In 2013, as a Green Party member, he famously wrote on Facebook, "F**k, the DPP is full of degenerates!", yet he frequently bootlicks Taoyuan City mayor Cheng Wen-tsan (鄭文燦) of the DPP after joining the party.

His behavior on PTT, the country's most popular Internet forum, is also highly criticized. He is best known for making offensive sexual comments and threatening PTT users to delete content unfavorable to him. As a result, he got perma-banned by the moderators, and was nicknamed "Voldemort" by netizens.

Back to the election: the recall is supported by KMT, TPP and most pan-blue citizens. The DPP urged voters to "give him one more chance", despite telling Wang to "mind his own words". Wang will be recalled if more than 78,786 (1/4 of Chungli District's electorate) voted to recall him, while exceeding the number of anti-recall votes.

Chungli District itself is quite blue -- Tsai Ing-wen only received 51.46% of the vote there in her 2020 re-election bid compared to 57.13% countrywide, making it 5.67% more KMT than the country. In fact, Chungli District is more blue than Kaohsiung City is green in 2020! (Although this might be due to Han's presence on the ballot.)

Han and Soong combined a total of 119,401 votes in 2020. Assuming some pan-green supporters also voted to recall him, it all depends on voter turnout. Suppose 70% voted to recall him and 30% voted not to (similar to what Huang Kuo-chang (黃國昌) received in 2017, but he survived because of low turnout), if turnout exceeds 35.71%, he is finished.
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MoreThanPolitics
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« Reply #1 on: January 06, 2021, 09:09:37 AM »

Another "revenge" recall is for 黃捷(Huang) who was elected on the NPP ticket in Kaohsiung assembly election but now independent.

These recalls will go nowhere.  The vote against them will have to be 25% of the electorate.  I doubt with the core KMT and TPP voters in those districts they can get to 25% of the electorate.  At a certain level 王浩宇(Wang) might prefer to be recalled.  Taoyuan is not really a good fit for him and if he is recalled he might switch to Taipei City in 2022 City/County assembly elections.  

The only way these recalls can get to their target is if local DPP assembly members/faction might turn out their voters to oust these Pan-Green "allies".   The basic idea is to get rid of them as competition for the Pan-Green vote in the 2022 city/county assembly elections.

I doubt the DPP would let its version of Han Kuo-yu run for office again. If Wang somehow carpetbags to Taipei, he will be forced to quit the DPP and lose badly, even in Shilin/Datong Districts. Why would anyone vote for a sociopath when you have so many sane pan-green candidates running?

Regarding Huang Jie, all DPP officials in Fongshan District just stood in solidarity with her (Source (in Chinese)).

There is a rumor that Huang would join the DPP in the next few years so that she could run for Hsu Chih-chieh 許智傑 's Legislative Yuan seat when he retires in 2028. As far as I know, Huang and Hsu are often seen together in community events since Huang was first elected in 2018, when she was still an NPP member.

P.S. Huang is really the hottest politician in Taiwan in my opinion. Did I just give myself a free trip to Horny Jail?
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MoreThanPolitics
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« Reply #2 on: January 15, 2021, 10:05:13 PM »

Polls have started in Chungli, Taoyuan until 4pm (UTC+8). A gentle reminder: if Wang received more than 81,940 "agree" votes while exceeding the number of "disagree" votes, he will be recalled.

If he survives, the electorate is not allowed to recall him again for the rest of his term.

Map (hopefully) incoming after the election.
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MoreThanPolitics
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« Reply #3 on: January 15, 2021, 10:41:53 PM »
« Edited: January 16, 2021, 12:13:49 AM by MoreThanPolitics »

Chou Ren-te (邱仁德), CEO of the "Recall Wang" headquarters, is ward chief of Xinyi Village (信義里) and Wang's uncle. He wrote on Facebook a few days ago that he would resign if Wang doesn't get recalled.

Source (in Chinese)
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MoreThanPolitics
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« Reply #4 on: January 16, 2021, 03:00:00 AM »
« Edited: January 16, 2021, 03:30:47 AM by MoreThanPolitics »

Polls are now closed in Chungli, Taoyuan.

Live for those interested: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=UcKP6p05v3k&feature=youtu.be (in Chinese)
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MoreThanPolitics
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« Reply #5 on: January 16, 2021, 05:17:44 AM »
« Edited: January 16, 2021, 05:33:47 AM by MoreThanPolitics »

Jesus Christ! As of 6:13 pm, over 84,000 Chungli voters have voted to recall Wang, exceeding the 81,940 vote threshold. He is also the first ever city/county councilor in Taiwan to lose a recall vote. Good riddance Voldemort!

Tbh, if I were eligible to vote, I would have voted to recall him but not for Huang Jie.
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MoreThanPolitics
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« Reply #6 on: January 16, 2021, 06:09:19 AM »

The Taoyuan City Election Commission has now released village-level results: https://web.cec.gov.tw/tyec/cms/latestNews/34882

Map coming (hopefully) before the end of the day.
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MoreThanPolitics
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« Reply #7 on: January 16, 2021, 09:39:44 AM »
« Edited: January 17, 2021, 04:33:16 AM by MoreThanPolitics »




Left: 2020 Presidential election in Chungli District, Taoyuan City:
(DPP) Tsai Ing-wen: 51.46% (126,600 votes)
(KMT) Han Kuo-yu: 43.70% (107,499 votes)

Right: 2021 Taoyuan City Council recall vote:
Agree: 25.81% of electorate (84,582 votes) (92.23% of all valid votes)
Disagree: 2.17% of electorate (7,128 votes) (7.77% of all valid votes)
Turnout: 28.14%

After the recall threshold was lowered to 25% in 2016, it is much easier to recall politicians now compared to 10-20 years ago. It was used to be 50%!

Earlier today, the CEC has announced that there will be no by-election or appointment to fill Wang's seat, leaving it vacant until the rest of the term (December 24, 2022).
Source (in Chinese)
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MoreThanPolitics
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« Reply #8 on: January 17, 2021, 04:09:38 AM »
« Edited: March 03, 2021, 06:18:24 AM by MoreThanPolitics »





Left: 2020 Presidential election in Chungli District, Taoyuan City:
(DPP) Tsai Ing-wen: 51.46% (126,600 votes)
(KMT) Han Kuo-yu: 43.70% (107,499 votes)

Right: 2021 Taoyuan City Council recall vote:
Agree: 25.81% of electorate (84,582 votes) (92.23% of all valid votes)
Disagree: 2.17% of electorate (7,128 votes) (7.77% of all valid votes)
Turnout: 28.14%

After the recall threshold was lowered to 25% in 2016, it is much easier to recall politicians now compared to 10-20 years ago. It was used to be 50%!

Earlier today, the CEC has announced that there will be no by-election or appointment to fill Wang's seat, leaving it vacant until the rest of the term (December 24, 2022).
Source (in Chinese)

THIS MAP IS GREAT!

This shows height correlation between political affiliation and agree voter turn out.

Could you allow me to publish this map on PTT?


Sure!

(Edit: The presidential margin in 青埔里 is now fixed; should be DPP>15 instead of >20, please make sure you use the map in reply #374, not the one you quoted me)
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MoreThanPolitics
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« Reply #9 on: January 17, 2021, 06:33:24 AM »
« Edited: January 17, 2021, 07:28:30 AM by MoreThanPolitics »




Left: 2020 Presidential election in Chungli District, Taoyuan City:
(DPP) Tsai Ing-wen: 51.46% (126,600 votes)
(KMT) Han Kuo-yu: 43.70% (107,499 votes)

Right: 2021 Taoyuan City Council recall vote:
Agree: 25.81% of electorate (84,582 votes) (92.23% of all valid votes)
Disagree: 2.17% of electorate (7,128 votes) (7.77% of all valid votes)
Turnout: 28.14%

After the recall threshold was lowered to 25% in 2016, it is much easier to recall politicians now compared to 10-20 years ago. It was used to be 50%!

Earlier today, the CEC has announced that there will be no by-election or appointment to fill Wang's seat, leaving it vacant until the rest of the term (December 24, 2022).
Source (in Chinese)

THIS MAP IS GREAT!

This shows height correlation between political affiliation and agree voter turn out.

Could you allow me to publish this map on PTT?





In case you missed it: The presidential margin in 青埔里 is corrected; it should be DPP>15 instead of DPP>20. The above should be the correct map - my apologizes.

P.S. Good luck in your PTT moderator election, I think?
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MoreThanPolitics
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« Reply #10 on: January 19, 2021, 08:09:27 PM »
« Edited: January 19, 2021, 08:24:50 PM by MoreThanPolitics »

Yesterday (January 19) was Huang Jie's birthday, so her staffers made this celebratory video of Fongshan citizens and politicians all over Taiwan wishing her a happy birthday, spanning from KMT to TSP and her former party members. Heck, even the leader of the recall initiative made an appearance! This is pretty unexpected, I must say.

https://www.facebook.com/FongshanHuangjie/videos/vb.2059082864419453/253843039628168
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MoreThanPolitics
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« Reply #11 on: January 25, 2021, 12:04:22 AM »
« Edited: January 26, 2021, 02:06:36 AM by MoreThanPolitics »

After the recall vote in Chungli, Taoyuan, we head south to Fongshan District (鳳山區), Kaohsiung, where voters will decide whatever to oust New Power Party (NPP)-turned-independent city councilor Huang Jie (黃捷) from office on February 6, which is a recall election initiated by bad faith KMT/Han Kuo-yu supporters.

A former legislative assistant to the NPP caucus, Huang was first elected to the Kaohsiung City Council in 2018 despite the KMT wave. She gained much attention around the country in May 2019, where she was best known for rolling her eyes when then-mayor Han dodged her questions about the details of the free economic zone that Han planned to establish. Instead, Han said the purpose of the whole project is to "make Kaohsiung rich" (高雄發大財), and nothing else. In other words, he couldn't make coherent policy proposals at all! Huang, on the other hand, was crowned the title of "eye-rolling goddess" by the media, while indirectly exposing Han's incompetence at the same time.

After Han's landslide defeat in the 2020 presidential election, opponents of Han decided to recall him after he returned to Kaohsiung. Around the same time, Huang received death threats from Han supporters threatening to recall her in revenge. Fast forward to June 6, 2020, then-City Council speaker Hsu Kun-yuan (許崑源), one of Han's most fierce supporters,  jumped to his death after he heard the news that Han was recalled. Two days later, Huang and her colleagues attended his funeral. Wu Chiu-li (吳秋麗), then-minister of the Bureau of Legal Affairs of the Kaohsiung City Government, criticized Huang for being disrespectful to Hsu because she had lipstick on during his funeral -- yeah, you read that right.

Meanwhile, triggered Han supporters also started the recall process against her. At first, Huang underestimated their power by jokingly saying they couldn't write the Chinese character 鳳 correctly when filling the petition forms. Until the Central Election Commission (CEC) announced that they had collected enough signatures to schedule a recall vote, Huang changed her attitude and urged her supporters to keep her in office.

According to the leaders of the recall initiative, they wanted to get rid of Huang due to the below reasons:

  • She hasn't fulfilled the responsibilities of a city councilor
  • She distorts the facts and ignores public opinion
  • She engages in double standard, i.e. her attitude towards Han Kuo-yu and Chen Chi-mai (陳其邁, winner of the by-election) of the DPP is different
  • She is unkind to the elders and does not have a sense of shame
  • During the "violence" in Hong Kong, she asked citizens to send protest supplies to her (so that she can bring them to HK), which they view as "interference" (Some even accused her of violating the HK National Security Law!)
  • She is double-standarded towards China

... which I call bulls**t. Looks like Huang has their glass hearts scattered.

Originally calling Huang to "remain lowkey", the DPP ordered every elected official in Kaohsiung to stand in solidarity and urged supporters to vote not to recall her after party member Wang Hao-yu was recalled (although Wang himself is a pretty controversial figure, see my earlier replies to learn more). Even President Tsai said they couldn't "just sit by and watch her getting recalled", which determined the DPP's stance on the vote: energize every supporter to vote so that she can stay in the Council. One further explanation is to avoid a domino effect: if Huang is recalled, the KMT can further recall DPP/pan-green politicians who support U.S. imports of ractopork (i.e. pork that contains ractopamine), which could heavily drag down the DPP's approval ratings and electoral prospects.

When the KMT supported the removal of Huang (which is obvious), the NPP, Huang's former political party, remained divided ahead of the vote. In June 2020, then-party chairman Hsu Yung-ming (徐永明) stepped down due to allegations of bribery, and the central commission indirectly supported Hsu by making public appearances with him after a court appearance. Ironically, the founding of the party is to call against the corruption of both major parties, which it claims to be above them.

Two months later, in August, Huang announced she would be leaving the NPP. Before that, the party held its central committee elections, which Huang was part of. After the elections, the party announced that Huang's sister and 12 other members' votes were invalid because the dues of the 13 people were paid with the same credit card. Huang suggested the voting process is "undemocratic" and left the party.

The NPP, in general, is split into two factions regarding the attitude towards the DPP. One side, led by Huang Kuo-chang (黃國昌) and Hsu, advocates drawing clear lines between the DPP, and calling out the party if necessary. In other words, he doesn't want the party to become a subsidiary of the DPP. Another faction, mainly led by Freddy Lim (林昶佐), advocates keeping close with the DPP to counter the KMT together. Huang is generally viewed as a member of the latter faction, as some in the party view she is being too close with Lim. (On a side note, Lim has already left the party back in August 2019, which he opposed Huang's plan to run for president.)

Back to the election: to successfully recall Huang, they need 71,958 "agree" votes (i.e. 1/4 of Fongshan District's electorate) while exceeding the number of "disagree" votes. Given KMT and Han supporters going all-in ahead of the election, it is best for Huang to mobilize her base and play a 1-versus-1 battle. In the 2020 presidential election, Fongshan District gave Tsai Ing-wen 60.63% of the vote, making it 3.50% more DPP compared to the country. Despite it being a light green district, Huang's fate all depends on whatever the DPP/pan-green base is energized enough. If she survives, it might mean a future run for the Legislative Yuan (LY) to replace Hsu Chih-chieh (許智傑), the incumbent DPP legislator in case he retires (Note: Huang's city council constituency completely overlaps Hsu's LY constituency, except Huang represents a constituency that elects 8 seats, while all constituency seats in the LY just elects one member.) If she is unlucky and the KMT gets the last laugh, maybe she will return to NTU to complete her master's degree?

External Readings:
NPP Central Committee Elections Sees Huang Jie’s Departure, Kao Yu-ting Elected as Chair
Does The Recall of DPP City Councilor Wang Hao-yu Reflect A Larger Trend?

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MoreThanPolitics
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« Reply #12 on: February 05, 2021, 10:59:15 AM »
« Edited: February 06, 2021, 10:36:20 AM by MoreThanPolitics »

Before I go to sleep, here are results of the 2020 presidential election in Fongshan District:

(DPP) Tsai Ing-wen: 60.63% (138,172 votes)
(KMT) Han Kuo-yu: 36.17% (82,432 votes)
(PFP) James Soong: 3.20% (7,295 votes)

See you tomorrow.

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MoreThanPolitics
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« Reply #13 on: February 05, 2021, 07:23:15 PM »
« Edited: February 05, 2021, 07:50:24 PM by MoreThanPolitics »

Polls are now opened in Fongshan until 4pm.
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MoreThanPolitics
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« Reply #14 on: February 06, 2021, 03:00:01 AM »
« Edited: February 06, 2021, 03:05:12 AM by MoreThanPolitics »

Polls are now closed in Fongshan, Kaohsiung.

Live results (in Chinese):
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MoreThanPolitics
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« Reply #15 on: February 06, 2021, 03:46:17 AM »
« Edited: February 06, 2021, 04:31:30 AM by MoreThanPolitics »

Kaohsiung City Election Commission results as of 5:30pm:
Yes 51884
No 61932
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MoreThanPolitics
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« Reply #16 on: February 06, 2021, 04:46:11 AM »
« Edited: February 06, 2021, 05:54:00 AM by MoreThanPolitics »

Looks like this is the final results. Since "yes" votes did not exceed 25% of the electorate, Huang is safe. She will hold a press conference later at 6pm tonight.

2021 Kaohsiung City Council recall vote:
Disagree: 22.43% of electorate (65,391 votes) (54.20% of all valid votes)
Agree: 18.95% of electorate (55,261 votes) (45.80% of all valid votes)

Turnout: 41.54% (121,110/291,566)
Threshold: 72,892 votes

Source: Central Election Commission, Taiwan
https://www.cec.gov.tw/central/cms/110news/34992
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MoreThanPolitics
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« Reply #17 on: February 06, 2021, 06:16:08 AM »

Ward-level results are out: https://web.cec.gov.tw/khec/cms/news/34993

Map time!
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MoreThanPolitics
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« Reply #18 on: February 06, 2021, 08:45:10 AM »

Here are some major outliers in this recall vote:

高雄市鳳山區富甲里
2020 Presidential: Tsai (DPP) 65.91%; Han (KMT) 30.45%
2021 Recall:                    No 47.83%;            Yes 52.17%

高雄市鳳山區縣口里
2020 Presidential: Tsai (DPP) 45.74%; Han (KMT) 50.53%
2021 Recall:                    No 55.03%;            Yes 44.97%
 

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MoreThanPolitics
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« Reply #19 on: February 06, 2021, 10:59:15 AM »
« Edited: February 06, 2021, 11:29:10 AM by MoreThanPolitics »





Left: 2021 Kaohsiung City Council recall vote: (% of all valid votes)
Disagree: 54.20% (65,391 votes)
Agree: 45.80% (55,261 votes)
Turnout: 41.54%
(Note: Grey = tied)

Top Right: 2020 Presidential election in Fongshan District, Kaohsiung City:
(DPP) Tsai Ing-wen: 60.63% (138,172 votes)
(KMT) Han Kuo-yu: 36.17% (82,432 votes)

Bottom Right: 2021 Kaohsiung City Council recall vote: (% of electorate)
Disagree: 22.43% of electorate
Agree: 18.95% of electorate

Neptunium, feel free to post this to PTT. I also included a Chinese legend if you want it.

P.S. Here are the results of the 1981 and 1985 magistrate elections in Yilan County, which saw the victory of Tangwai legend Chen Ding-nan (陳定南).
https://web.cec.gov.tw/ilec/cms/history007

P.P.S. Here are the village/administrative division-level results of the March 1993 magistrate by-election in Penghu County (NOTE: NOT the general election in November). Results can be found at p. 14.
https://ens.phlib.nat.gov.tw/rb/index-1.asp?Parser=99,8,23,,,,19930315,128,,,15

Take them if you are interested!
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MoreThanPolitics
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« Reply #20 on: March 03, 2021, 06:17:30 AM »
« Edited: March 11, 2021, 05:52:06 AM by MoreThanPolitics »

Well, the Han Kuo-yu fans are at it again. Following the failure of getting Huang Jie recalled, they are now targeting fellow Kaohsiung city councilor Kao Min-lin 高閔琳, who is also a outspoken critic of Han. Before this month, the recall process has entered the second phase, where they have to gather 19,144 signatures to pass (=10% of electorate of Kao's constituency, which includes Yung'an 永安, Gangshan 岡山, Yanchao 燕巢, Mituo 彌陀, Ziguan 梓官 and Ciaotou 橋頭 districts).

Yesterday, the Kaohsiung City Election Commission announced that the recall initiators failed to gather enough valid signatures for the second phase, citing the excessive number of repeat signatures (note: someone who already signed in the first phase are ineligible to sign again in the second phase). In other words, the initiative is now dead!

Source (in Chinese): https://news.ltn.com.tw/news/politics/breakingnews/3453894
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« Reply #21 on: May 12, 2021, 10:32:34 AM »
« Edited: May 12, 2021, 10:42:52 AM by MoreThanPolitics »

This August, there will be a series of referendums and a potential legislative recall vote in Taichung's 2nd district, which was widely seen as a mid-term report card on president Tsai Ing-wen and the governing DPP.

Btw, when is the best time for me to start a new thread for the 2022 midterms?
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« Reply #22 on: October 22, 2021, 10:47:03 AM »
« Edited: October 24, 2021, 09:18:38 PM by MoreThanPolitics »

(Edited October 23, 2021: typos)

On this Saturday (October 23), voters of Taichung's 2nd Legislative Yuan constituency, consisting of Shalu 沙鹿, Longjing 龍井, Dadu 大肚, Wuri 烏日 and Wufeng 霧峰 districts, will decide whatever to keep Taiwan Statebuilding Party (TSP) legislator "3Q" Chen Po-wei 陳柏惟 in the legislature. A fiery politician well-known for his hardline pro-Taiwan independence stances, he is the third to face a recall election this year. Originally held on August 28, the vote was postponed until this week due to the COVID-19 outbreak in Taiwan a few months ago.

Following the landslide defeat of disgraced former mayor Han Kuo-yu 韓國瑜 last June, the vote was largely seen as a series of KMT-led "revenge recalls" targeting some of Han's biggest critics. As a candidate for the Kaohsiung City Council back in 2018, Chen and the TSP (then known as Taiwan Radical Wings) have blasted Han for his impractical policies and pro-China views. Amid the nationwide KMT wave, none of his party's candidates were elected, although Chen came close to winning a seat in his district of Sanmin 三民.

In April 2019, Chen expressed his intention to run for Legislative Yuan. In a joint press conference with the Democratic Progressive Party (DPP) in August, both parties reached an agreement that Chen would be standing for Taichung's 2nd constituency against Kuomintang (KMT) incumbent Yen Kuan-hen 顏寬恒.

Yen was first elected in a 2013 by-election to replace his father Yen Ching-piao 顏清標. Yen Ching-piao isn't your ordinary pan-blue politician: he is a notorious gangster and crime boss who has been influential in Taichung politics for decades. In 1986, years before Yen entered politics, he was jailed for his ties with organized crime. In 2001, he was again locked behind bars for graft, illegal weapon possession, and masterminding a failed assassination attempt. Thanks to his strong reputation among locals, he still managed to win a Legislative Yuan seat while in custody. He would go on to win re-election three more times.

In 2011, the High Court found Yen guilty of misusing public funds and reporting false financial statements during his tenure as speaker of Taichung County Council in the 1990s, accusing him of using taxpayer dollars for private entertainment such as nightclubs and karaoke TV bars. Yen's seat was stripped following an unsuccessful appeal to the Supreme Court, triggering a by-election in March 2013. His son was elected by an extremely narrow margin, and was re-elected in 2016.

Widely viewed as an underdog to the incumbent, TSP's Chen Po-wei defeated the younger Yen by 2.3 points in 2020 in what was one of the biggest upsets in the election, ending decades of Yen/KMT domination in the area. Chen, who only moved to Taichung five months before the election, even managed to win every administrative district in the constituency, including Yen's stronghold of Shalu.

Upon being a legislator, Chen stood with the DPP on most issues (which is pretty inevitable for being from a one-man party), most notably when he sided with the party on lifting restrictions on U.S. imports of pork products containing ractopamine.

Chen was known for his confrontational, no-nonsense style of politics, especially when it comes to everything China and the KMT -- sometimes to the point where he ended up embarrassing himself. In March 2020, he raised the idea of letting people from Hong Kong join the country's Armed Forces in exchange for obtaining permanent residence in Taiwan, claiming young Hongkongers "are much anti-CCP" than Taiwanese. (Author's note: Taiwan is the last place on Earth where you want more Communist Chinese spies entering your country, and I'm saying this as a Hongkonger.) Even the DPP and Chen's supporters raised doubts about his proposal.

In the eyes of KMT supporters, Chen's deadliest "sin" is his active role in recalling Han Kuo-yu back in 2019. After their God Emperor's landslide defeat last year, they have started to find punching bags for them to vent their anger, which is, recalling some of Han's highest-profile critics in retribution. While they were successful in ousting then-Taoyuan city councilor Wang Hao-yu 王浩宇 from office earlier this January, Kaohsiung city councilor Huang Jie 黃捷 survived hers the following month with help from the DPP, although one can also argue that Wang is a despicable character with a Wikipedia page full of controversies while Huang only rolled her eyes at Han.

In February 2021, another group of initiators has vowed to recall Chen as part of their "revenge recalls". The Central Election Commission certified the validity of collected signatures on July 2, and scheduled a recall election on August 28 before it was postponed to this Saturday. According to the recall initiators, they wanted to kick Chen out of office because:

  • he has done nothing to his constituency and is full of empty promises;
  • he supports policies that deviate his constituents' wills;
  • his legislative speeches are filled with "nonsense" and faux pas; and
  • he threatens to suppress his opponents with violence.

Chen fought back by emphasizing his legislative record, such as perfect attendance rate, making interpellations in every meeting, and the number of constituent service cases done.

The KMT, unsurprisingly, was supportive of the recall initiation and has mobilized supporters to join their efforts. Its newly-elected chairman, Eric Chu Li-lun 朱立倫, went one step further and framed the vote, as well as December's national referendums, as an act of confrontation against the ruling DPP. During the campaign period, Chu blasted Chen for being an ineffective legislator with poor ratings from legislative watchdogs -- except the organization was headed by Chu's father-in-law. Chen's party immediately filed a complaint against Chu, claiming him as a "shameless liar".

Chen was also accused of being the perpetrator of a hit-and-run incident in 2011, to which he admitted and apologized to the victim. Following the incident, recall initiators and pro-KMT pundits started to make false allegations about Chen, like accusing him of hiring his biological brother as his legislative assistant (while it was his cousin). On a rare occasion, China Central Television, China's state-run media, showed support for Chen's recall in a talk show.

Like what they have done to Huang Jie in February, the DPP has ordered the party's elected officials to stand in solidarity and urged voters to help remain Chen in office. President Tsai, in a Central Standing Committee meeting, praised Chen as a "hardworking" legislator. The vote even attracted attention in Japan: in a tweet written entirely in Chinese, Kobe city councilor Uehata Norihiro 上畠寬弘 of the LDP said the recall was initiated by the KMT "in a bad faith manner" that only benefited the CCP and KMT.

Taichung's 2nd constituency has an electorate of 294,376. To successfully recall Chen, they need at least 73,744 "yes" (or "remove") votes while also exceeding the number of "No" votes. Tsai carried the green-trending district with 57.53% of the vote in last year's presidential election, making it 0.4% more DPP than the nation. Expect a competitive race tomorrow, but there is one thing to remember: presidential races and legislative races aren't always the most apples-to-apples comparison, especially when Yen survived the 2016 wave.
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MoreThanPolitics
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« Reply #23 on: October 23, 2021, 03:01:03 AM »
« Edited: October 23, 2021, 04:43:49 AM by MoreThanPolitics »

Polls have now closed in Taichung.

Update: The Taichung Election Commission just predicted a turnout of 53%. If it is the case, Chen is finished if a majority of voters voted to remove him from office.

17:33 Update: "Yes" votes have now passed the threshold of 73,744.

If I recall correctly, Chen becomes the first ever legislator to be recalled. A win for the Yen family/mafia, but a big loss for Taiwan.
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MoreThanPolitics
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« Reply #24 on: October 23, 2021, 05:01:56 AM »

Chen's own campaign calculated numbers now have Recall Yes crossing the absolute threshold.  Recall Yes still ahead of Recall no 51.7 to 48.3.  Looks like Chen is out.  New KMT Chairman Chu wins his first battle.

Not only that, they also wanted to recall Taipei legislator Freddy Lim. If both Chen and Lim are recalled, KMT will gain control of the Legislative Yuan's Foreign and National Defense Committee -- that's their final goal.

As if KMT's foreign policy isn't disastrous enough...
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