2019 Slovak presidential elections (user search)
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Author Topic: 2019 Slovak presidential elections  (Read 5672 times)
Walmart_shopper
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,515
Israel


Political Matrix
E: -4.52, S: 3.13

« on: March 18, 2019, 01:30:53 PM »
« edited: March 18, 2019, 02:07:51 PM by Walmart_shopper »

Quote
Maros Sefcovic has spent 15 years building a reputation as a consummate Brussels insider. But if the deputy head of the European Commission is to become Slovakia’s next president, he will have to win over voters who strongly oppose the EU’s immigration policies, despise its liberal values and in some cases think the country should leave the bloc.

Mr Sefcovic, Slovakia’s EU commissioner, who competed — unsuccessfully — to become the Socialists’ lead candidate in the forthcoming European elections, will meet Zuzana Caputova, a liberal, pro-EU, anti-corruption lawyer, in the second round of the country’s presidential elections in two weeks.

Mr Sefcovic said on Sunday that he wanted to appeal to all Slovaks. But he also signalled he was prepared to take on Ms Caputova from the right, claiming that her “super-liberal agenda” was not in line with Slovakia’s Christian values.

“My perception of the world is shared by 60 per cent of people when we look at attitudes towards migrants, mandatory quotas [for EU member states]. I fought against this, Ms Caputova was rather in favour,” he said. “Bratislava shouldn’t decide everything,” he added, referring to Slovakia’s liberal-leaning capital whose electorate voted heavily in favour of his rival.

https://www.ft.com/content/c572379e-48af-11e9-8b7f-d49067e0f50d

It's always weird to see politicians are are massively behind in the polls going on and on about "sixty percent of the country shares my values." I don't know a lot about out Slovakia, but it really doesn't seem like Slovakia of 2019 is the Slovakia he's talking about and obviously hoping for.
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Walmart_shopper
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,515
Israel


Political Matrix
E: -4.52, S: 3.13

« Reply #1 on: March 19, 2019, 03:52:37 AM »

Quote
Maros Sefcovic has spent 15 years building a reputation as a consummate Brussels insider. But if the deputy head of the European Commission is to become Slovakia’s next president, he will have to win over voters who strongly oppose the EU’s immigration policies, despise its liberal values and in some cases think the country should leave the bloc.

Mr Sefcovic, Slovakia’s EU commissioner, who competed — unsuccessfully — to become the Socialists’ lead candidate in the forthcoming European elections, will meet Zuzana Caputova, a liberal, pro-EU, anti-corruption lawyer, in the second round of the country’s presidential elections in two weeks.

Mr Sefcovic said on Sunday that he wanted to appeal to all Slovaks. But he also signalled he was prepared to take on Ms Caputova from the right, claiming that her “super-liberal agenda” was not in line with Slovakia’s Christian values.

“My perception of the world is shared by 60 per cent of people when we look at attitudes towards migrants, mandatory quotas [for EU member states]. I fought against this, Ms Caputova was rather in favour,” he said. “Bratislava shouldn’t decide everything,” he added, referring to Slovakia’s liberal-leaning capital whose electorate voted heavily in favour of his rival.

https://www.ft.com/content/c572379e-48af-11e9-8b7f-d49067e0f50d

It's always weird to see politicians are are massively behind in the polls going on and on about "sixty percent of the country shares my values." I don't know a lot about out Slovakia, but it really doesn't seem like Slovakia of 2019 is the Slovakia he's talking about and obviously hoping for.
Sixty percent of the country does share his values, but a lot more than sixty percent also detests his party. For a lot of people, this election is gonna be about holding their noses and voting for what they see as the lesser evil.

Then why didn't that supposed conservative majority rally to someone like Harabin or anyone else who isn't weighed down with the massive baggage of Smer?

In any case, with turnout consistently under 50% it's to say a whole lot about the country as a whole.
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Walmart_shopper
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,515
Israel


Political Matrix
E: -4.52, S: 3.13

« Reply #2 on: March 20, 2019, 03:38:52 AM »

Quote
Maros Sefcovic has spent 15 years building a reputation as a consummate Brussels insider. But if the deputy head of the European Commission is to become Slovakia’s next president, he will have to win over voters who strongly oppose the EU’s immigration policies, despise its liberal values and in some cases think the country should leave the bloc.

Mr Sefcovic, Slovakia’s EU commissioner, who competed — unsuccessfully — to become the Socialists’ lead candidate in the forthcoming European elections, will meet Zuzana Caputova, a liberal, pro-EU, anti-corruption lawyer, in the second round of the country’s presidential elections in two weeks.

Mr Sefcovic said on Sunday that he wanted to appeal to all Slovaks. But he also signalled he was prepared to take on Ms Caputova from the right, claiming that her “super-liberal agenda” was not in line with Slovakia’s Christian values.

“My perception of the world is shared by 60 per cent of people when we look at attitudes towards migrants, mandatory quotas [for EU member states]. I fought against this, Ms Caputova was rather in favour,” he said. “Bratislava shouldn’t decide everything,” he added, referring to Slovakia’s liberal-leaning capital whose electorate voted heavily in favour of his rival.

https://www.ft.com/content/c572379e-48af-11e9-8b7f-d49067e0f50d

It's always weird to see politicians are are massively behind in the polls going on and on about "sixty percent of the country shares my values." I don't know a lot about out Slovakia, but it really doesn't seem like Slovakia of 2019 is the Slovakia he's talking about and obviously hoping for.
Sixty percent of the country does share his values, but a lot more than sixty percent also detests his party. For a lot of people, this election is gonna be about holding their noses and voting for what they see as the lesser evil.

Then why didn't that supposed conservative majority rally to someone like Harabin or anyone else who isn't weighed down with the massive baggage of Smer?

In any case, with turnout consistently under 50% it's to say a whole lot about the country as a whole.
Most of the country might disagree with Čaputová on social issues, but she didn't talk much about them (and it's not like she could do anything about them as a president) and her image of an ordinary person fighting against corrupt authorities helped her more than, say, registered partnerships hurt her.

Also, and I'm just guessing here, one of the reasons the turnout was so low could be the limited options for non-Smer (social) conservatives: Harabin has his own baggage of scandals and a very unlikeable personality, Kotleba is way too extreme for most people, Mikloško is pro-EU and none of the other candidates were relevant.

Interesting. But it's probably symptomatic of cultural change going on in Slovakia that her unapologetic liberalism on tough issues is not hurting her candidacy and that the "Save Christian Values" agenda doesn't have a ton of political cache.
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Walmart_shopper
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,515
Israel


Political Matrix
E: -4.52, S: 3.13

« Reply #3 on: March 30, 2019, 10:56:55 AM »

My prediction: Caputova 63-37; turnout @ 55 percent.
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Walmart_shopper
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,515
Israel


Political Matrix
E: -4.52, S: 3.13

« Reply #4 on: March 31, 2019, 04:28:13 AM »

My prediction:

58.4% Zuzana Čaputová
41.6% Maroš Šefčovič

Final result:

58.4% Zuzana Čaputová (1,056,582 votes)
41.6% Maroš Šefčovič (752,403 votes)


Cheesy

My best prediction ever.

Give me the Israeli results by number of mndates and the British general election and do it stat.
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