AR-SEN 2020: Would Bill Halter be a good Dem recruit?
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  AR-SEN 2020: Would Bill Halter be a good Dem recruit?
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Author Topic: AR-SEN 2020: Would Bill Halter be a good Dem recruit?  (Read 1241 times)
Suburbia
bronz4141
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« on: March 13, 2019, 11:13:02 PM »

The former liberal Lieutenant Governor of Arkansas was was to the left of conservadem Blanche Lincoln in 2010; could he be a tough challenger to Sen. Tom Cotton in 2020?

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Bill_Halter
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voice_of_resistance
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« Reply #1 on: March 14, 2019, 01:02:10 AM »

In theory yes, but it's Arkansas. If Blanche Lincoln and Mark Pryor got less than 40 percent of the vote, and both were institutions in the state, my guess is that Halter would get 43 percent tops.
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
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« Reply #2 on: March 14, 2019, 05:43:04 AM »

Dems are targeting Latino states: AZ, CO, IA, MT(Bullock), NC and TX as well as keeping AL(White Dems like Jones can duplicate Beshear, Hood and JBE success); however, Hutchinson has changed AR to a forever red state
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Coldstream
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« Reply #3 on: March 14, 2019, 06:18:41 AM »

I could see him as a Betoesque gallant loser who enthuses the party - and making Cotton work for it would be satisfying. But yeah he’d still lose.
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S019
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« Reply #4 on: March 14, 2019, 06:22:06 AM »

The Lincoln wing of the party would tear hin apart

Mike Beebe is the best candidate , but would lose by 10-15
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PAK Man
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« Reply #5 on: March 14, 2019, 01:20:08 PM »

Might as well go for it. He's got nothing to lose, and at least he'd be a serious challenger.

He also wouldn't be running crappy campaigns like Pryor and Lincoln did. Both of them tried to run conservative campaigns and both failed miserably. Donnelly did the same thing in 2018. Just run a Democratic campaign - don't run by saying what you think voters want to hear.
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Pollster
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« Reply #6 on: March 14, 2019, 01:43:26 PM »

He would probably be one of the stronger possible recruits, and at the very least could probably get a little scare out of Cotton for a few weeks.
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Corbyn is (no longer) the leader of the Labour Party
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« Reply #7 on: March 14, 2019, 04:20:00 PM »

The other Bill from Arkansas should run.
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voice_of_resistance
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« Reply #8 on: March 14, 2019, 05:43:02 PM »

Agreed. He'd probably be the only one who would have a greater than 5 percent chance of winning.
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Cashew
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« Reply #9 on: March 14, 2019, 05:45:23 PM »

Agreed. He'd probably be the only one who would have a greater than .5 percent chance of winning.
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UWS
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« Reply #10 on: March 14, 2019, 06:15:54 PM »

Not even Bill Clinton would win Arkansas today.
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S019
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« Reply #11 on: March 14, 2019, 09:59:32 PM »

The other Bill from Arkansas should run.

Bill and Hillary are now hated in Arkansas, not to mention, they live in New York now, Bill Clinton has a higher of running for office in NY and being successful

Anyway, Beebe (mid-high single digit loss) is by far the best candidate, followed by Pryor (he would probably keep this in the high single digits or low double digits) and then it all goes downhill, I’m sure that Dems will not run the woman, because of whom “Blanched” became a word or that they will not run the man that divided the Democratic Party so badly, that it allowed Lincoln to be “Blanched”
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Free Bird
TheHawk
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« Reply #12 on: March 15, 2019, 09:13:36 AM »

B R O N Z  T H R E A D
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TML
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« Reply #13 on: March 15, 2019, 10:03:14 AM »

The other Bill from Arkansas should run.

He would be dragged down by (1) his sexual assault allegations and (2) the amount of time he has spent away from his native state.
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smoltchanov
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« Reply #14 on: March 15, 2019, 10:19:36 AM »

Might as well go for it. He's got nothing to lose, and at least he'd be a serious challenger.

He also wouldn't be running crappy campaigns like Pryor and Lincoln did. Both of them tried to run conservative campaigns and both failed miserably. Donnelly did the same thing in 2018. Just run a Democratic campaign - don't run by saying what you think voters want to hear.

And lose overwhelmingly as a result. Exactly because voters wanted to hear different things....
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smoltchanov
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« Reply #15 on: March 15, 2019, 10:20:07 AM »

Agreed. He'd probably be the only one who would have a greater than 5 percent chance of winning.

0,5% at most....
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Progressive Pessimist
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« Reply #16 on: March 15, 2019, 08:17:54 PM »

In theory yes, but it's Arkansas. If Blanche Lincoln and Mark Pryor got less than 40 percent of the vote, and both were institutions in the state, my guess is that Halter would get 43 percent tops.
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smoltchanov
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« Reply #17 on: March 16, 2019, 12:28:38 AM »

In theory yes, but it's Arkansas. If Blanche Lincoln and Mark Pryor got less than 40 percent of the vote, and both were institutions in the state, my guess is that Halter would get 43 percent tops.

I doubt even that. Exactly because it's an Arkansas. "Progressive politics" isn't in big vogue there now. So, most likely, it would be 37, not 43...
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Canis
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« Reply #18 on: September 18, 2020, 02:51:45 AM »

Hope this is the most recent thread on this but it looks like Whitfield has failed to make the ballot as they have been printed and his case hasn't been heard which is pretty sad I endorse the Libertarian even though he has no shot at winning Cotton is a monster and a threat to the republic
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
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« Reply #19 on: September 18, 2020, 09:46:30 AM »

AR, TN, MS, OK, AL, MO are 1 party R states
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gerritcole
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« Reply #20 on: September 18, 2020, 10:17:40 AM »

AR, TN, MS, OK, AL, MO are 1 party R states

TN/MS/AL/MO have dem reps and AL has a dem senator
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