Alcon's 2006 Election Projection - Governors (Issue 2)

[Moooooo]

I'd also like to add about Wisconsin, that Doyle has been fundraising like a madman.

Welcome to the forum.  Good luck with Doyle next year.

[Wiz in Wis]

Well Doyle has no serious opposition either.

Green would be more formidable then Walker, who, for some reason (because he is an ass) polls the same as Green in the Milwaukee burbs. Green polls much higher than Walker in the Fox Valley (Appleton, Green Bay, Oshkosh) and would get the vote their by a wide margin. I could see Green beating Doyle in a even money fight

[Gustaf]

I would like to note that on Alcon's final map, all states with Democratic governors are linked together. (excepting Alaska, of course)

[The Dowager Mod]

Well Doyle has no serious opposition either.

Green would be more formidable then Walker, who, for some reason (because he is an ass) polls the same as Green in the Milwaukee burbs. Green polls much higher than Walker in the Fox Valley (Appleton, Green Bay, Oshkosh) and would get the vote their by a wide margin. I could see Green beating Doyle in a even money fight

I live in Whitewater WI by the way.

[Alcon]

Florida updated per new polling information.

[MasterJedi]

Well Doyle has no serious opposition either.

Green would be more formidable then Walker, who, for some reason (because he is an ass) polls the same as Green in the Milwaukee burbs. Green polls much higher than Walker in the Fox Valley (Appleton, Green Bay, Oshkosh) and would get the vote their by a wide margin. I could see Green beating Doyle in a even money fight

I live in Whitewater WI by the way.

Haha, next year I'll be going there.


Once everything gets going I believe that Walker could beat Doyle easier. He could get more support in this area of the state (Milwaukee and the suburbs) which is needed to win the state. And if Green helped him the state could tip.

[Keystone Phil]

Possible PA update?

[TeePee4Prez]

Possible PA update?

Pennsylvania
Call: Lean Democrat
Pennsylvania is a fairly Republican state on the local level, but Governor Ed Rendell is doing surprising well in polling considering that he has an approval defecit.  Recent polls have shown him beating both ex-Pittsburgh Steelers wide receiver Lynn Swann and the more political Lt. Governor Bill Scranton.

It's surprising to see a personable and well-known candidate like Swann doing so poorly so early in the game, even if it is well-known that he isn't a politician. Polls show him losing by a fairly embarassing margin, with Scranton faring slightly better.  Then again, Rendell, an Eagles postgame announcer, also has a sports fan pedigree.  This race may become hot, but at this point, it is surprisingly one-sided.



U happy?

[Keystone Phil]

Possible PA update?

Pennsylvania
Call: Lean Democrat
Pennsylvania is a fairly Republican state on the local level, but Governor Ed Rendell is doing surprising well in polling considering that he has an approval defecit.  Recent polls have shown him beating both ex-Pittsburgh Steelers wide receiver Lynn Swann and the more political Lt. Governor Bill Scranton.

It's surprising to see a personable and well-known candidate like Swann doing so poorly so early in the game, even if it is well-known that he isn't a politician. Polls show him losing by a fairly embarassing margin, with Scranton faring slightly better.  Then again, Rendell, an Eagles postgame announcer, also has a sports fan pedigree.  This race may become hot, but at this point, it is surprisingly one-sided.



U happy?

I meant an update after that, idiot. Your Eddie is in trouble!

[TeePee4Prez]

Possible PA update?

Pennsylvania
Call: Lean Democrat
Pennsylvania is a fairly Republican state on the local level, but Governor Ed Rendell is doing surprising well in polling considering that he has an approval defecit.  Recent polls have shown him beating both ex-Pittsburgh Steelers wide receiver Lynn Swann and the more political Lt. Governor Bill Scranton.

It's surprising to see a personable and well-known candidate like Swann doing so poorly so early in the game, even if it is well-known that he isn't a politician. Polls show him losing by a fairly embarassing margin, with Scranton faring slightly better.  Then again, Rendell, an Eagles postgame announcer, also has a sports fan pedigree.  This race may become hot, but at this point, it is surprisingly one-sided.



U happy?

I meant an update after that, idiot. Your Eddie is in trouble!

PA taking over another thread again!  Yes I am such a partisan hack for thinking Ed Rendell will win and does his job as governor rather than a sports announcer like Lynn Swann does, but he's better because he has no political experience but he did photo-op as some fitness guy on some Presidential council somwhere and that makes him more qualified than Ed Rendell who is supported by stupid Eagles fans who like cheesteaks and so does Ed Rendell.

[Keystone Phil]

Possible PA update?

Pennsylvania
Call: Lean Democrat
Pennsylvania is a fairly Republican state on the local level, but Governor Ed Rendell is doing surprising well in polling considering that he has an approval defecit.  Recent polls have shown him beating both ex-Pittsburgh Steelers wide receiver Lynn Swann and the more political Lt. Governor Bill Scranton.

It's surprising to see a personable and well-known candidate like Swann doing so poorly so early in the game, even if it is well-known that he isn't a politician. Polls show him losing by a fairly embarassing margin, with Scranton faring slightly better.  Then again, Rendell, an Eagles postgame announcer, also has a sports fan pedigree.  This race may become hot, but at this point, it is surprisingly one-sided.



U happy?

I meant an update after that, idiot. Your Eddie is in trouble!

PA taking over another thread again!  Yes I am such a partisan hack for thinking Ed Rendell will win and does his job as governor rather than a sports announcer like Lynn Swann does, but he's better because he has no political experience but he did photo-op as some fitness guy on some Presidential council somwhere and that makes him more qualified than Ed Rendell who is supported by stupid Eagles fans who like cheesteaks and so does Ed Rendell.

Rendell is a sports announcer more than he is a Governor. Eddie is not the lock you think he is and polls have been proving that for quite some time. With such poor approval ratings, high disapproval ratings and a very small lead over his opponents, PA is a weak lean Dem.

[TeePee4Prez]

I'll admit Eddie is no lock, but I want him to win.

[Keystone Phil]

I'll admit Eddie is no lock, but I want him to win.

I know that you want him to win but you have to admit that he is in trouble.

[Alcon]

I have a lot of things to make up due to illness and I will need polling information relayed to me if you want an update before the weekend.  Feel free to post it and I will do an upgrade, even if I have to wait on the description.  Thanks.

[Keystone Phil]

I have a lot of things to make up due to illness and I will need polling information relayed to me if you want an update before the weekend.  Feel free to post it and I will do an upgrade, even if I have to wait on the description.  Thanks.

I did post poll info. Check the PA Gubernatorial thread.

[True Federalist (진정한 연방 주의자)]

South Carolina
Call: Strong Lean Republican
Republican Mark Sanford has annoyed his base a few times in his battles with the state legislature over education issues, but he is fairly solid for re-election come 2006.  His main opponent, Tommy Moore, is little more than the standard "some state senator" candidate.  Florence mayor Frank Willis is little better, and mayors of medium-sized cities rarely get elected Governor anyway.  Sanford could stand to improve his popularity ratings, but even at their current levels, he could easily dispatch all of the candidates the Democrats have to offer so far.

I'd drop this down to just Lean Republican rather than Strong Lean.

Sanford's popularity isn't what it once was. As noted in The State back on the 6th, Sanford has dropped to a 49% approval rating with a 43% disapproval rating. in a recent Survey USA poll.   There's even the outside chance that it could be Oscar Lovelace who will retain the Governor's Mansion for the Republicans, and it's looking now as if he will do at least respectably.

About the only friends that Sanford can count on to help him right now are the dollars he has socked away in his campaign war chest  After all, even in South Carolina, Bush is doing poorly, so while I doubt if he will hurt Sanford, I also doubt he will help in 2006.  Sanford infights with the Republican General Assembly, and he has a lame Republican Lt. Gov. in Andre Bauer who, if he doesn't lose the primary, will certainly the general election.

It remains to be seen how the Time story this week affects Sanford. Perversely enough, it might help Sanford, since lumping him with Taft and Blancio as one of the thre worst governors is a bit hyperbolic.