2022 Senate Races: (Trump 2nd midterm)

[Medal506]

What do the U.S Senate Races look like under a second Trump midterm?

Post your maps below.

Here's mine.

[😥]

[S019]

[Roll Roons]

AL: Safe R
AK: Safe R
AR: Safe R
AZ: Lean D (possible flip)
CA: Safe D
CO: Safe D
CT: Safe D
FL: Lean R because Rubio is strong
GA: Tossup, with Isakson probably retiring
IA: Tossup, see GA
ID: Safe R
IL: Safe D
IN: Safe R
KS: Safe R
KY: Safe R
LA: Safe R
MD: Safe D
MO: Likely R
NC: Tossup
ND: Safe R
NH: Likely D
NV: Likely D
NY: Safe D
PA: Lean D (flip)
OH: Likely R
OK: Safe R
OR: Safe D
SC: Safe R
SD: Safe R
WA: Safe D
WI: Lean D (flip)
UT: Safe R
VT: Safe D

As of now, Democrats gain up to six seats, depending on how AZ goes in 2020. The good news for them is that none of the D-held seats are really vulnerable in a Trump midterm, unlike 2018.

[America Needs a 13-6 Progressive SCOTUS]

If Trump is winning re-election, then Martha McSally is guaranteed to also win re-election.

With that in mind:

D+11

[Some of My Best Friends Are Gay]

If Trump is winning re-election, then Martha McSally is guaranteed to also win re-election.

With that in mind:

D+11

Flip Indiana, Missouri, and probably Kansas and Ohio and then this map is plausible.

[Politician]

If Trump is winning re-election, then Martha McSally is guaranteed to also win re-election.

With that in mind:

D+11

We literally just had an election in a D+9 year and Dem incumbents I. MO and IN lost by decent sized margins. Why in the world would you expect that to change in 2022 when there are no Dem incumbents in those states?

And Kansas. Gubernatorial races aren't the same as Senate races.

I could see the point for MO since Blunt is unpopular and underperformed badly in 2016, though.

[Politician]

My map:

No tossups:

[S019]

If Trump is winning re-election, then Martha McSally is guaranteed to also win re-election.

With that in mind:

D+11

How do Dems wins KS, MO, and IN
OH and IA are stretches,  but doable of the wave is big enough