Strongest challenger for Sherrod Brown in 2024?
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  Strongest challenger for Sherrod Brown in 2024?
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Author Topic: Strongest challenger for Sherrod Brown in 2024?  (Read 1694 times)
Sestak
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« Reply #25 on: March 18, 2019, 02:39:46 PM »

Honestly, Brown and Manchin should be sending thank you notes to Hillary Clinton every day. Both would have been obliterated in a Clinton midterm.

Not to mention Tester (and Comstock wins the VA special)
Menendez, Stabenow, Smith, Baldwin and either Casey or Cantwell probably lose in a Clinton midterm

In the House, people like Kildee, Tim Ryan, Peterson, and Joe Courtney are swept away in a R wave

Literally, Pelosi and Schumer should sent a thank you note to Clinton, because the Dems would have been blown into obscurity until an R midterm, Clinton also would probably lose in a landslide in 2020.

ok LOL at some of these. Rs would have likely made large gains, yes, but Cantwell? Joe Courtney? lmao.
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Roll Roons
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« Reply #26 on: March 18, 2019, 03:26:33 PM »

Honestly, Brown and Manchin should be sending thank you notes to Hillary Clinton every day. Both would have been obliterated in a Clinton midterm.

Not to mention Tester (and Comstock wins the VA special)
Menendez, Stabenow, Smith, Baldwin and either Casey or Cantwell probably lose in a Clinton midterm

In the House, people like Kildee, Tim Ryan, Peterson, and Joe Courtney are swept away in a R wave

Literally, Pelosi and Schumer should sent a thank you note to Clinton, because the Dems would have been blown into obscurity until an R midterm, Clinton also would probably lose in a landslide in 2020.

ok LOL at some of these. Rs would have likely made large gains, yes, but Cantwell? Joe Courtney? lmao.

Yeah, I think Reps were mostly maxed out in the House after 2010/2014. Maybe they take a few more like Peterson, Cartwright, Bustos, Gottheimer and Maloney, but I doubt Ryan and Kildee lose.
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RussFeingoldWasRobbed
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« Reply #27 on: March 18, 2019, 04:15:53 PM »

Honestly, Brown and Manchin should be sending thank you notes to Hillary Clinton every day. Both would have been obliterated in a Clinton midterm.

Not to mention Tester (and Comstock wins the VA special)
Menendez, Stabenow, Smith, Baldwin and either Casey or Cantwell probably lose in a Clinton midterm

In the House, people like Kildee, Tim Ryan, Peterson, and Joe Courtney are swept away in a R wave

Literally, Pelosi and Schumer should sent a thank you note to Clinton, because the Dems would have been blown into obscurity until an R midterm, Clinton also would probably lose in a landslide in 2020.

ok LOL at some of these. Rs would have likely made large gains, yes, but Cantwell? Joe Courtney? lmao.

Yeah, I think Reps were mostly maxed out in the House after 2010/2014. Maybe they take a few more like Peterson, Cartwright, Bustos, Gottheimer and Maloney, but I doubt Ryan and Kildee lose.
Why not? If it's a seriously republican midterm, I could easily see those flipping. MI-05 in particular looks very bad for democrats going forward(not neccissarily in 2020, but down the line)
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
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« Reply #28 on: March 18, 2019, 06:17:51 PM »
« Edited: March 18, 2019, 06:30:37 PM by olowakandi »

Honestly, Brown and Manchin should be sending thank you notes to Hillary Clinton every day. Both would have been obliterated in a Clinton midterm.

Not to mention Tester (and Comstock wins the VA special)
Menendez, Stabenow, Smith, Baldwin and either Casey or Cantwell probably lose in a Clinton midterm

In the House, people like Kildee, Tim Ryan, Peterson, and Joe Courtney are swept away in a R wave

Literally, Pelosi and Schumer should sent a thank you note to Clinton, because the Dems would have been blown into obscurity until an R midterm, Clinton also would probably lose in a landslide in 2020.

Speaker Ryan didnt lose his majority solely due to it being an R midterm. The GOP were favored, and things took a turn for worst due to: Impeachment Article I: further damage by Trump lawyers: Cohen & Manafort, lying to FBI about Kremlin probe. Also, another impeachment (Article II): attempts by Trump to remove,  an FBI agent, Comey and Mueller, in the middle of investigation. GOP house refused to investigate Trump. Justifying it, by saying no collusion. Trump will be indicted once he leaves office, and civil charges concerning Kremlin. Civil charges will be brought to bring dowm Trump Towers

GOP were also supposed to take 4-5 Senate seats, they took 2
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ksd2000
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« Reply #29 on: March 19, 2019, 01:09:20 PM »

Not to mention Tester (and Comstock wins the VA special)
Menendez, Stabenow, Smith, Baldwin and either Casey or Cantwell probably lose in a Clinton midterm

In the House, people like Kildee, Tim Ryan, Peterson, and Joe Courtney are swept away in a R wave

Literally, Pelosi and Schumer should sent a thank you note to Clinton, because the Dems would have been blown into obscurity until an R midterm, Clinton also would probably lose in a landslide in 2020.

LOL
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Chancellor Tanterterg
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« Reply #30 on: March 19, 2019, 07:38:41 PM »

Husted
DeWine gets revenge
Chabot
Taylor
Kasich

The list is a mile deep

Err...well...Husted just wants to be Governor and then run for President, it's kind of an open-secret that DeWine isn't going to serve more than one term and is about done with politics, Chabot's an arch-wingnut with no name recognition outside of the Cincinnati area whose political career will almost certainly be over after the next redistricting, Taylor was a joke even before she ran for Governor, Kasich's political career is over (he can't win a primary), so actually...not so much.  

Anyway, we'll see what happens, but my money would be on Stivers running and if he does, that will likely be one of the most competitive races of the cycle.  Of course, Sherrod Brown could be VP or running for President by then depending on who the Democrats nominate for 2020 and whether s/he wins.
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S019
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« Reply #31 on: March 19, 2019, 09:15:29 PM »

Husted
DeWine gets revenge
Chabot
Taylor
Kasich

The list is a mile deep

Err...well...Husted just wants to be Governor and then run for President, it's kind of an open-secret that DeWine isn't going to serve more than one term and is about done with politics, Chabot's an arch-wingnut with no name recognition outside of the Cincinnati area whose political career will almost certainly be over after the next redistricting, Taylor was a joke even before she ran for Governor, Kasich's political career is over (he can't win a primary), so actually...not so much.  

Anyway, we'll see what happens, but my money would be on Stivers running and if he does, that will likely be one of the most competitive races of the cycle.  Of course, Sherrod Brown could be VP or running for President by then depending on who the Democrats nominate for 2020 and whether s/he wins.

But if Chabot can win or make Hamilton County close, it's game over for Sherrod Brown, especially with how the rurals are trending. Picking someone from Cincinnati, would lock up that area that's been drifting away from the GOP and makes Brown's reelection near impossible
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Xing
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« Reply #32 on: March 19, 2019, 09:44:23 PM »

Honestly, Brown and Manchin should be sending thank you notes to Hillary Clinton every day. Both would have been obliterated in a Clinton midterm.

Not to mention Tester (and Comstock wins the VA special)
Menendez, Stabenow, Smith, Baldwin and either Casey or Cantwell probably lose in a Clinton midterm

In the House, people like Kildee, Tim Ryan, Peterson, and Joe Courtney are swept away in a R wave

Literally, Pelosi and Schumer should sent a thank you note to Clinton, because the Dems would have been blown into obscurity until an R midterm, Clinton also would probably lose in a landslide in 2020.

BAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHA
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S019
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« Reply #33 on: March 19, 2019, 09:47:27 PM »

Honestly, Brown and Manchin should be sending thank you notes to Hillary Clinton every day. Both would have been obliterated in a Clinton midterm.

Not to mention Tester (and Comstock wins the VA special)
Menendez, Stabenow, Smith, Baldwin and either Casey or Cantwell probably lose in a Clinton midterm

In the House, people like Kildee, Tim Ryan, Peterson, and Joe Courtney are swept away in a R wave

Literally, Pelosi and Schumer should sent a thank you note to Clinton, because the Dems would have been blown into obscurity until an R midterm, Clinton also would probably lose in a landslide in 2020.

BAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHA

Please not it says "or", in a 16-18 point swing, which is what an R wave would be, she would be vulnerable, because she won by 17.
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Skunk
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« Reply #34 on: March 19, 2019, 09:54:32 PM »

Honestly, Brown and Manchin should be sending thank you notes to Hillary Clinton every day. Both would have been obliterated in a Clinton midterm.

Not to mention Tester (and Comstock wins the VA special)
Menendez, Stabenow, Smith, Baldwin and either Casey or Cantwell probably lose in a Clinton midterm

In the House, people like Kildee, Tim Ryan, Peterson, and Joe Courtney are swept away in a R wave

Literally, Pelosi and Schumer should sent a thank you note to Clinton, because the Dems would have been blown into obscurity until an R midterm, Clinton also would probably lose in a landslide in 2020.

BAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHA

Please not it says "or", in a 16-18 point swing, which is what an R wave would be, she would be vulnerable, because she won by 17.
Yeah, no. We're never going to see a 16-18 point swing in our polarized climate. Don't be ridiculous.
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S019
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« Reply #35 on: March 19, 2019, 09:56:34 PM »
« Edited: March 19, 2019, 10:06:33 PM by Suburban New Jersey Conservative »

Honestly, Brown and Manchin should be sending thank you notes to Hillary Clinton every day. Both would have been obliterated in a Clinton midterm.

Not to mention Tester (and Comstock wins the VA special)
Menendez, Stabenow, Smith, Baldwin and either Casey or Cantwell probably lose in a Clinton midterm

In the House, people like Kildee, Tim Ryan, Peterson, and Joe Courtney are swept away in a R wave

Literally, Pelosi and Schumer should sent a thank you note to Clinton, because the Dems would have been blown into obscurity until an R midterm, Clinton also would probably lose in a landslide in 2020.

BAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHA

Please not it says "or", in a 16-18 point swing, which is what an R wave would be, she would be vulnerable, because she won by 17.
Yeah, no. We're never going to see a 16-18 point swing in our polarized climate. Don't be ridiculous.

8.6+8.6=17.2

Which is between 16 and 18

Midterm election go 6-10 pp against incumbent party

It would be 16-18 point swing from D+8-9 2018 to make it a Hillary midterm
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Xing
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« Reply #36 on: March 19, 2019, 10:07:09 PM »

Honestly, Brown and Manchin should be sending thank you notes to Hillary Clinton every day. Both would have been obliterated in a Clinton midterm.

Not to mention Tester (and Comstock wins the VA special)
Menendez, Stabenow, Smith, Baldwin and either Casey or Cantwell probably lose in a Clinton midterm

In the House, people like Kildee, Tim Ryan, Peterson, and Joe Courtney are swept away in a R wave

Literally, Pelosi and Schumer should sent a thank you note to Clinton, because the Dems would have been blown into obscurity until an R midterm, Clinton also would probably lose in a landslide in 2020.

BAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHA

Please not it says "or", in a 16-18 point swing, which is what an R wave would be, she would be vulnerable, because she won by 17.

Uniform swing isn't a thing. I know that polarization is an overused term, but a lot of the electorate in Washington is pretty committed to one party. Republicans have a pretty hard floor at about 39-40%, and a ceiling at around 45 to maybe 46%, in federal races, at least. There is no way that there would be a 17-point swing in Washington toward the Republicans, even in a red wave year. Maybe it would've only been about a 9-10% win in a 2014-style year, but that's about it.
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Chancellor Tanterterg
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« Reply #37 on: March 19, 2019, 10:41:53 PM »

Husted
DeWine gets revenge
Chabot
Taylor
Kasich

The list is a mile deep

Err...well...Husted just wants to be Governor and then run for President, it's kind of an open-secret that DeWine isn't going to serve more than one term and is about done with politics, Chabot's an arch-wingnut with no name recognition outside of the Cincinnati area whose political career will almost certainly be over after the next redistricting, Taylor was a joke even before she ran for Governor, Kasich's political career is over (he can't win a primary), so actually...not so much.  

Anyway, we'll see what happens, but my money would be on Stivers running and if he does, that will likely be one of the most competitive races of the cycle.  Of course, Sherrod Brown could be VP or running for President by then depending on who the Democrats nominate for 2020 and whether s/he wins.

But if Chabot can win or make Hamilton County close, it's game over for Sherrod Brown, especially with how the rurals are trending. Picking someone from Cincinnati, would lock up that area that's been drifting away from the GOP and makes Brown's reelection near impossible

The thing is that Chabot would get killed in Hamilton County.  Part of why Chabot's political career is about to be over is that he has no chance in any district that doesn't slice-and-dice the Democratic parts of Hamilton County.  He might even underperform slightly, he's never been what one would call a terribly popular incumbent and would've definitely lost in 2018 if Pureval hadn't imploded (and Pureval still won the Hamilton County part of the district).
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