Be honest, what was your final prediction for every election you can remember

[dw93]

2004: Didn't fully understand the electoral process yet, but sadly had a gut feeling Bush was going to eek out a win (though I'd never admit it to anyone at the time).

2008: I thought it be much closer, but it was clear that Obama was gonna win after September. I say closer because of Obama's lack of experience, and I'd hate to say it, but also because of his race. I remember being shocked that he won Indiana, Virginia, and North Carolina, but not Missouri.

2012: I knew Indiana and North Carolina were going back to the GOP that year, and I favored Romney to win Florida (though I knew it'd be close either way). Nevada, Colorado, Ohio, and Virginia were pure toss ups to me. I knew Iowa, Pennsylvania, Wisconsin, and New Hampshire were staying Obama. In short, like 2004, this was an election that was to be decided by Ohio.

2016: Best case for Clinton being Obama's 2008 map minus Indiana. Worst case, Trump wins Florida, Ohio, Iowa, and Nevada while Clinton holds the rest of Obama's 2012 map.