If every state's trend was literally the exact same as 2016 in the next nine elections, the 50-50 PV map would mathematically be this:
Close Calls:
Kansas: D+ 3.86
North Carolina: R+ 4.4
New Mexico: D+ 4.59
Also, of course, numerous states are over 100% for a party, so take this with a grain of salt.
Don't buy NY, HI, NV, DE, or NJ
I do think South New England trends R
Also UT was just because of McMullin
Also while KS is trending D, it has a strong rural population
NM will literally be the next CA, by then
NC is also trending D
Also lol at VT and ME-01
Also by then I expect minorities to flip MS, SC, and FL
