Why did Obama do better with the WWC (white working class)?
       |           

Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.
Did you miss your activation email?
June 22, 2025, 11:06:36 AM
News: Election Calculator 3.0 with county/house maps is now live. For more info, click here

  Talk Elections
  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion
  Presidential Election Trends (Moderator: 100% pro-life no matter what)
  Why did Obama do better with the WWC (white working class)?
« previous next »
Pages: [1] 2
Author Topic: Why did Obama do better with the WWC (white working class)?  (Read 2035 times)
BrewCityLiberal
Wisconsinite
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,231
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« on: February 26, 2019, 12:55:44 PM »

It still confuses me how Obama (a half-black man) did better with the WWC (especially in the Midwest) than post-Trump Democrats who are mostly white.
Logged
Technocracy Timmy
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 4,640
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #1 on: February 26, 2019, 01:10:45 PM »

Because the rural/wwc/non college white/trailer park shift to the GOP has been a long time coming.
Logged
|˶˙ᵕ˙ )ノ゙
Mondale_was_an_insidejob
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,427
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #2 on: February 26, 2019, 01:13:22 PM »

Because the economy was bad. Thats all the voters care about. They dont care about nor notice anything else
Logged
Beet
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 30,141


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #3 on: February 26, 2019, 01:33:50 PM »

Well for one thing Obama is from the Midwest. In 2004 he landslides Illinois with 70% including downstate. I know there are some around here who deny the home region effect, but just look at Jimmy Carter winning Mississippi in 1976 or Bill Clinton's performance in Louisiana. Incidentally until Barack Obamas election, no midwestern president had been elected since Gerry Ford who also did well in the Midwest.

2nd why did he do well with wwc throughout the north, well so did john Kerry, compared to al gore. The Clinton/gore wing of the Democrats are a bad fit for the northern wwc.

Third look who he's running against. A republican in the middle of the 2008 meltdown, then a Bain capital guy. Not exactly populist opponents.
Logged
Del Tachi
Republican95
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 19,195
United States


Political Matrix
E: 0.52, S: 1.46

P P

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #4 on: February 26, 2019, 02:09:00 PM »

It doesn’t have anything to do with Obama, it has everything to do with Trump.  Trump forwent politician convention (from both parties) to speak directly to the anxieties, insecurities and biases of the “WWC”.  Clinton would have kept many more of these voters against a more “traditional” GOP nominee, like Rubio or Bush. 
Logged
IceSpear
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 31,833
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.19, S: -6.43

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #5 on: February 26, 2019, 05:10:03 PM »

McCain and Romney weren't racist enough for them. Trump gave them exactly what they wanted.
Logged
Some of My Best Friends Are Gay
Enlightened_Centrist 420
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 3,595


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #6 on: February 26, 2019, 06:03:28 PM »

McCain and Romney weren't racist enough for them. Trump gave them exactly what they wanted.


Uh, if that was the case then I highly doubt Republicans across the country who are more moderate than Trump would be doing just as well as he did with these voters. look at Mike DeWine in Ohio or Rick Scott in Florida for example.

I think a bigger part of this is that many ancestrally Democratic voters in Appalachia and the rust belt have died and been replaced by younger voters who no longer feel any connection to the Democratic Party.
Logged
Suburbia
bronz4141
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 19,660
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #7 on: February 26, 2019, 07:34:06 PM »

See, unlike other Democratic candidates, Obama had a message. Both times in 2008 and 2012.

That's why he won Indiana in 2008. That is why he won the Midwest in 2008 and 2012.
Logged
IceSpear
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 31,833
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.19, S: -6.43

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #8 on: February 26, 2019, 08:10:33 PM »

McCain and Romney weren't racist enough for them. Trump gave them exactly what they wanted.


Uh, if that was the case then I highly doubt Republicans across the country who are more moderate than Trump would be doing just as well as he did with these voters. look at Mike DeWine in Ohio or Rick Scott in Florida for example.

I think a bigger part of this is that many ancestrally Democratic voters in Appalachia and the rust belt have died and been replaced by younger voters who no longer feel any connection to the Democratic Party.

Yes, Trump molded the Republican Party into his image and caused these people to become straight ticket R voters. And 99% of "moderate"/"traditional" Republicans march in lockstep with Trump anyway, so why wouldn't they vote for them?
Logged
RINO Tom
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 17,215
United States


Political Matrix
E: 2.45, S: -0.52

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #9 on: February 27, 2019, 06:08:07 PM »

McCain and Romney weren't racist enough for them. Trump gave them exactly what they wanted.

Romney was SO insufficiently racist that they voted for a Black man! Tongue
Logged
Sestak
jk2020
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 14,095
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #10 on: February 27, 2019, 06:28:08 PM »

Also Obama was actually the anti-free trade candidate compared to McCain, not to mention the recession was ongoing and McCain is the status quo (which you don't want to be in times of economic strife)
Logged
Obama-Biden Democrat
Zyzz
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,824


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #11 on: February 27, 2019, 10:11:31 PM »

Also Obama was actually the anti-free trade candidate compared to McCain, not to mention the recession was ongoing and McCain is the status quo (which you don't want to be in times of economic strife)

Obama needled Hillary over NAFTA in 2008, it was mostly just posturing though, Obama and Bill Clinton were similar on free trade as presidents.
Logged
IceSpear
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 31,833
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.19, S: -6.43

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #12 on: February 27, 2019, 10:43:05 PM »

McCain and Romney weren't racist enough for them. Trump gave them exactly what they wanted.

Romney was SO insufficiently racist that they voted for a Black man! Tongue

Unironically yes. Especially in 2008 because Bush was such an abject failure and destroyed the economy.

https://www.salon.com/2008/11/03/racists_for_obama/

There was no way the Republicans were going to win 2008 since it was literally a perfect storm against them. But I do believe 2012 was definitely winnable for them if they nominated Trump, or if Romney or someone else ran a more explicitly racist campaign.
Logged
Chunk Yogurt for President!
CELTICEMPIRE
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,287
Georgia


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #13 on: February 27, 2019, 11:29:12 PM »

McCain and Romney weren't racist enough for them. Trump gave them exactly what they wanted.

Romney was SO insufficiently racist that they voted for a Black man! Tongue

Maybe if Trump is insufficiently anti-Semitic they'll vote for Bernie Sanders!
Logged
Adjective-Statement
Anarcho-Statism
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,413


Political Matrix
E: -9.10, S: -5.83

P

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #14 on: March 01, 2019, 11:58:42 AM »

Obama was very Midwestern, used populist appeals, and ran against two unpopular candidates (the "moderates" people claim to want) connotated by voters with Wall Street. Elections are all about appearance, not fact.
Logged
darklordoftech
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 13,053
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #15 on: March 01, 2019, 03:03:36 PM »

Obama was seen as more protectionist and less connected to Wall Street than McCain and Romney. Also, Romney opposed the auto bailouts.
Logged
CEO Mindset
penttilinkolafan
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 925
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #16 on: March 01, 2019, 10:28:58 PM »

not being hillary clinton or mitt romney
Logged
Sumner 1868
tara gilesbie
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,401
United States
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #17 on: March 01, 2019, 10:59:11 PM »

Still quite a lot of WWII Democrats even in 2008. I sometimes think the Republican swing in the senior vote between 2008-2012 was just the last New Dealers passing away.
Logged
NEW JERSEY FOR MENENDEZ
Admiral President
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 3,883
United States Minor Outlying Islands


Political Matrix
E: -1.94, S: 2.09

P P P

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #18 on: March 01, 2019, 11:05:35 PM »

McCain and Romney weren't racist enough for them. Trump gave them exactly what they wanted.


Uh, if that was the case then I highly doubt Republicans across the country who are more moderate than Trump would be doing just as well as he did with these voters. look at Mike DeWine in Ohio or Rick Scott in Florida for example.

I think a bigger part of this is that many ancestrally Democratic voters in Appalachia and the rust belt have died and been replaced by younger voters who no longer feel any connection to the Democratic Party.
It’s not worth arguing with IceSpear. He thinks everyone who isn’t him is a racist and his takes are about 90% incorrect.
Logged
darklordoftech
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 13,053
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #19 on: March 01, 2019, 11:29:33 PM »

Still quite a lot of WWII Democrats even in 2008. I sometimes think the Republican swing in the senior vote between 2008-2012 was just the last New Dealers passing away.
I feel like people will still be saying this in 2100.
Logged
President Johnson
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 34,542
Germany


Political Matrix
E: -3.23, S: -4.70

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #20 on: March 02, 2019, 05:47:00 AM »

McCain and Romney weren't racist enough for them. Trump gave them exactly what they wanted.

Because they're not racist enough they vote for a black man? Huh
Logged
Mr.Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 98,585
Jamaica


Political Matrix
E: -6.19, S: -4.17

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #21 on: March 02, 2019, 08:48:58 AM »

Dems had the EC college advantage with 266, VA changed from a confederate state to a multi racial state. Due to Y2K, college students were already, ready to vote Dem in CO, NV and VA.

Va elected Doug Wilder
Logged
RINO Tom
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 17,215
United States


Political Matrix
E: 2.45, S: -0.52

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #22 on: March 02, 2019, 10:39:56 AM »

Still quite a lot of WWII Democrats even in 2008. I sometimes think the Republican swing in the senior vote between 2008-2012 was just the last New Dealers passing away.
I feel like people will still be saying this in 2100.

Odd way to feel.
Logged
Bismarck
Chancellor
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 3,670


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #23 on: March 02, 2019, 11:37:58 AM »

I think it has more to do with the fact that Romney was seen as out of touch and McCain ran during the recession. Plus Trump made targeting these voters a top priority in a way past campaigns did not.
Logged
darklordoftech
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 13,053
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #24 on: March 02, 2019, 05:05:34 PM »

Still quite a lot of WWII Democrats even in 2008. I sometimes think the Republican swing in the senior vote between 2008-2012 was just the last New Dealers passing away.
I feel like people will still be saying this in 2100.

Odd way to feel.
Have a sense of humor.
Logged
Pages: [1] 2  
« previous next »
Jump to:  


Login with username, password and session length

Terms of Service - DMCA Agent and Policy - Privacy Policy and Cookies

Powered by SMF 1.1.21 | SMF © 2015, Simple Machines

Page created in 0.053 seconds with 9 queries.