Which 2016 state trends are most likely to be reversed in 2020?

[ElectionsGuy]

Which states that had a strong trend are most likely to see a strong trend in the opposite direction in the next few election cycles? 3 options. I feel as though a state like Rhode Island would be prone to wild swings due to large numbers of independents and moderates, which Trump has probably alienated a decent amount in New England, so that's one. But I'm really not sure on the others.

I excluded Utah (McMullin) and Vermont (Bernie) for reasons in parenthesis.

[For Trump, everything. For immigrants, the law]

I think a lot of the states that trended very sharply in 2016 are likely to see some regression to the mean. Rhode Island is one, I'd say that the Dakotas are likely to trend at least a bit Democratic, and (depending on the nominee), I'd say Democrats could get a dead cat bounce in West Virginia.

As for the others, I'm not sure. I could also see some of the states on this list not trending substantially one way or the other in 2020.

[lfromnj]

I think a lot of the states that trended very sharply in 2016 are likely to see some regression to the mean. Rhode Island is one, I'd say that the Dakotas are likely to trend at least a bit Democratic, and (depending on the nominee), I'd say Democrats could get a dead cat bounce in West Virginia.

As for the others, I'm not sure. I could also see some of the states on this list not trending substantially one way or the other in 2020.

WV is forced to continiously Trend R

even if it hits 0% D  the rest of the nation must swing D to account for this trend.

[Mr.Bakari-Sellers]

In the following sequence: MI, WI, IA, FL, and OH