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January 25, 2021, 09:23:52 AM

  Talk Elections
  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion
  Election What-ifs? (Moderators: #CriminalizeSobriety, Dereich)
  Who would have been reelected? - Retiring Senators in 2014
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Poll
Question: Of the Senators who retired in the 2014 midterms, who would have survived reelection?
#1
Saxby Chambliss (R-GA)
 
#2
Tom Harkin (D-IA)
 
#3
Carl Levin (D-MI)
 
#4
John Walsh (D-MT)
 
#5
Mike Johanns (R-NE)
 
#6
Tim Johnson (D-SD)
 
#7
Jay Rockefeller (D-WV)
 
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Partisan results

Total Voters: 47

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Author Topic: Who would have been reelected? - Retiring Senators in 2014  (Read 621 times)
Астат
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« on: June 12, 2020, 06:11:56 AM »

My guess would be Chambliss, Harkin, Levin and Johanns. Early polls indicated it would have been a difficult race for Johnson and Rockefeller and I suppose they could have ended up like Pryor (polling indicated close races but the actual result was a strong Republican victory).
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NewYorkExpress
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« Reply #1 on: June 12, 2020, 09:06:22 AM »

My guesses:

Georgia:

Saxby Chambliss (R) 53%
Michelle Nunn (D) 46%
Amanda Swafford (L) 1%

Iowa:

Joni Ernst (R) 49%
Tom Harkin (D) 48.6%
Rick Stewart (I) 1.9%
Doug Butzier (L) 0.5%

Michigan:

Carl Levin (D) 49%
Terri Lynn Land (R) 48%
Jim Fulner (L) 1.5%
Richard Matkin (US Taxpayers) 0.9%
Chris Whamoff (G) 0.6%

Montana:

Steve Daines (R) 61%
John Walsh (D) 36%
Roger Roots (L) 3%

Nebraska:

Mike Johanns (R) 66%
David Domina (D) 33%
Jim Jenkins (I) 0.5%
Todd Watson (I) 0.5%

South Dakota:

Mike Rounds (R) 60%
Tim Johnson (D) 39%
Gordon Howie (I) 1%

West Virginia:

Shelly Moore Capito (R) 56%
Jay Rockefeller (D) 40%
Bob Henry Baber (Mountain) 2.5%
John Buckley (L) 0.8%
Phil Hudok (C) 0.7%
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Del Tachi
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« Reply #2 on: June 12, 2020, 09:12:44 AM »

Chambliss, Harkin, Levin, Johanns and Rockefeller would have held on
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АndriуValeriovich
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« Reply #3 on: June 12, 2020, 09:53:27 AM »

Saxby Chambliss (R-GA)       
Tom Harkin (D-IA)       
Carl Levin (D-MI)       
Mike Johanns (R-NE)       
Jay Rockefeller (D-WV)       
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President Biden Democrat
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« Reply #4 on: June 13, 2020, 02:09:15 PM »

Chambliss (R-GA), Levin (D-MI), and Johanns (R-NE) would have held on. It is possible that either Harkin (D-IA) or Rockefeller (D-WV) could have held on but this was a GOP wave year so both of them would have likely still lost.
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Old School Republican
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« Reply #5 on: June 14, 2020, 03:29:38 AM »

Chambliss, Johanns, Harkin and Levin
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President Johnson
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« Reply #6 on: June 14, 2020, 04:00:37 AM »


This. But I'm not sure about Jay Rockefeller.
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KaiserDave
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« Reply #7 on: June 14, 2020, 11:32:33 AM »

Chambliss, Harkin (I think maybe even with ease), Levin (by over 20 points), Johanns, and maybe, maybe Rockefeller.
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MATTROSE94
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« Reply #8 on: June 14, 2020, 06:03:31 PM »

Only Saxby Chambliss, Carl Levin, and Mike Johanns.
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UWS
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« Reply #9 on: June 16, 2020, 10:39:34 AM »

Chamblins and Johanns. At that point, South Dakota and West Virginia were simply too red in 2014 for Rockefeller and Johnson to get re-elected to the Senate.
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KaiserDave
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« Reply #10 on: June 16, 2020, 12:23:27 PM »

Chamblins and Johanns. At that point, South Dakota and West Virginia were simply too red in 2014 for Rockefeller and Johnson to get re-elected to the Senate.

Levin? Harkin?
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Elcaspar
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« Reply #11 on: June 16, 2020, 12:55:46 PM »

Chamblins and Johanns. At that point, South Dakota and West Virginia were simply too red in 2014 for Rockefeller and Johnson to get re-elected to the Senate.

Levin? Harkin?

Yeah i was thinking the same thing. Levin would definitely have won as a long-term incumbent if Gary Peters was able to win with a double-digit margin in an open election, which was also in a unfavorable climate for the Democrats.

And i believe due to Harkin's incumbency, he would definitely have won by at least the margin Reynolds won by.
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Orwell
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« Reply #12 on: June 16, 2020, 02:13:05 PM »

Levin would have beaten Lynn Land in a major landslide

All the GOP incumbents would hold on I think Rockefeller might have been able to hold on, and then maybe Harkin as well.
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