Who's going to qualify for the Democratic debates?

[Tender Branson]

Tulsi is here to stay.

Suck it, DNC !

[Cinemark]

Pretty obvious Tulsi owes Hillary a debt a gratitude for extending the life of her campaign. That being said, if the UNH poll is right, almost all of Tulsi's support is coming from republicans or right leaning independents/democrats who voted for Trump. I dont suspect this bump will be long lived unless Tulsi has a few great moments in the next debate.

[Chancellor Tanterterg]

For November:
Gabbard: 2/4 total polls, or 1/2 state polls
O'Rourke: 2/4 total polls
Castro: 0/4 total polls

Gabbard now 3/4 for November, with the new USA Today / Suffolk poll.

For December, of those who haven’t qualified yet here are the number of polls at 4% (4 needed to qualify):

3/4 polls: Harris
2/4 polls: Gabbard
1/4 polls: Klobuchar, Steyer, Yang

How long does she have?  Any chance she doesn’t get the last poll?

[The Other Castro]

Wow, quite the developments. There's some other polls coming soon I think, I'll post an updated December chart after.

[Cinemark]

For November:
Gabbard: 2/4 total polls, or 1/2 state polls
O'Rourke: 2/4 total polls
Castro: 0/4 total polls

Gabbard now 3/4 for November, with the new USA Today / Suffolk poll.

For December, of those who haven’t qualified yet here are the number of polls at 4% (4 needed to qualify):

3/4 polls: Harris
2/4 polls: Gabbard
1/4 polls: Klobuchar, Steyer, Yang

How long does she have?  Any chance she doesn’t get the last poll?

In theory, I think candidates have until the day of the debate.  In practice, the candidates are at the mercy of the approved pollster's release schedules.

Edit: Yeah, i keep giving wrong information (T___T).
See below...
V

[ElectionsGuy]

For November:
Gabbard: 2/4 total polls, or 1/2 state polls
O'Rourke: 2/4 total polls
Castro: 0/4 total polls

Gabbard now 3/4 for November, with the new USA Today / Suffolk poll.

For December, of those who haven’t qualified yet here are the number of polls at 4% (4 needed to qualify):

3/4 polls: Harris
2/4 polls: Gabbard
1/4 polls: Klobuchar, Steyer, Yang

How long does she have?  Any chance she doesn’t get the last poll?

Two weeks, November 13th is the last day.

[Tender Branson]

+1 December qualifying poll for Klobuchar:

2/4 now.

https://www.nytimes.com/2019/11/01/us/politics/iowa-poll-warren-biden.html

I guess no changes for other candidates.

[riceowl]

The Texans should probably throw in the towel. I guess Beto has the money for Iowa at least, but still.

[Cinemark]

Klobuchar definitely has some type of momentum. If that translates into something more tangible is up for debate, but it seems like she has an actual shot of making the December debate. That didn't seem all that plausible a few weeks ago

[Progressive Pessimist]

The Texans should probably throw in the towel. I guess Beto has the money for Iowa at least, but still.

Uhh...about that...

[eric82oslo]

This one pains me a whole lot, cause I truely love Beto a great deal. Never saw him exiting so fast, only a couple of days after Tim Ryan.

[SN2903]

Tulsi will get over 10% in New Hampshire

[Cinemark]

With the new NBC/WSJ poll, Klobuchar gets her third December qualifying poll. Harris finally gets her forth.

[W]

November I think Gabbard will qualify, she seems to have considerable support in New Hampshire especially and is 1 poll away from both the conventional qualification benchmark and the early state one.

December will be interesting to watch, Klobuchar is in my opinion in for sure at this point with just 1 poll more needed. It surprises me but Gabbard I'd say is second most likely to qualify for this debate, especially with a few more state level polls and a bit more fundraising. This will be a tough benchmark for Yang due to very dispersed support but I think he will make it, as well as Steyer just due to endless resources. I think it will drop Booker and that's all.

[The Other Castro]

Updated December chart:

[Heebie Jeebie]

Updated December chart:

Why is Booker in the Hopeful Zone while Castro is in the Dead Zone?

[The Other Castro]

Why is Booker in the Hopeful Zone while Castro is in the Dead Zone?

Booker has hit 3% with some frequency in the past, making 4% not impossible. Castro, on the other hand, has no chance of meeting the polling requirements. Booker is the worst of the hopefuls, and Castro is the best of the dead.

[Mr. Morden]

With the new Nevada poll, I believe Steyer's up to 2/4 polls for December.

[Blue3]

I want to know who these Klobuchar and Steyer people are.

[Cinemark]

I want to know who these Klobuchar and Steyer people are.

Klobuchar got around 400 people tonight at a campaign event in Philadelphia. There is definitely alot of democrats looking for a competent moderate, something Biden cant deliver on half the time.

[TarHeelDem]

I want to know who these Klobuchar and Steyer people are.

Klobuchar got around 400 people tonight at a campaign event in Philadelphia. There is definitely alot of democrats looking for a competent moderate, something Biden cant deliver on half the time.

There's nothing competent about moderation.

[Mr. Morden]

Gabbard's got one week left to qualify for the November debate.  She hasn't done very well in the latest round of polls, but she only needs one more qualifying poll to make it for November, so it could happen at any time.

And looks like Quinnipiac will have an Iowa poll coming out today:

https://twitter.com/QuinnipiacPoll/status/1192110643110768640

Which I think is their first Iowa poll of the cycle, so it should count for everyone.  Since Iowa's a good state for Klobuchar, maybe Klobuchar will qualify for December today?  She's certainly got a chance.

[Cinemark]

Gabbard's got one week left to qualify for the November debate.  She hasn't done very well in the latest round of polls, but she only needs one more qualifying poll to make it for November, so it could happen at any time.

And looks like Quinnipiac will have an Iowa poll coming out today:

https://twitter.com/QuinnipiacPoll/status/1192110643110768640

Which I think is their first Iowa poll of the cycle, so it should count for everyone.  Since Iowa's a good state for Klobuchar, maybe Klobuchar will qualify for December today?  She's certainly got a chance.

Gabbard probably needs a New Hampshire poll. Seems like her best state.

[Zarold]

Tulsi is going to the November debate!

[Tender Branson]

IA (Quinnipiac):

Tulsi has officially qualified for November (3%), Klobuchar for December (5%).

https://poll.qu.edu/iowa/release-detail?ReleaseID=3647