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  Talk Elections
  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion
  International Elections (Moderators: Gustaf, afleitch, Hash)
  Spanish elections and politics II (State of Coronavirus Alarm declared) (search mode)
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Author Topic: Spanish elections and politics II (State of Coronavirus Alarm declared)  (Read 96852 times)
rob in cal
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« on: February 12, 2019, 04:54:12 pm »

  So no plans to consolidate the vote with European elections in May?
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rob in cal
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Posts: 1,850
« Reply #1 on: February 17, 2019, 07:27:51 pm »

  So what is the vote % crossover point for a party running throughout the country like Vox to win a seat share approximate to its vote share. Looks like right now its 8.8% in the last poll gets it about 4.5 % of the seats. This wastage alone might be enough to deny the PP, C, and Vox a majority.
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rob in cal
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« Reply #2 on: April 10, 2019, 01:05:28 am »

  So in some of the 3 and 4 seat districts it would make sense for Vox and UP voters to vote tactically for either the PP or PSOE, if they want to help the bigger party closer to them on the ideology scale and when their party has a low chance to win one of the seats. Has tactical voting like this occured in recent Spanish elections?
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rob in cal
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« Reply #3 on: April 26, 2019, 10:50:20 am »

  Any sense of what  the combined seat total of PSOE plus UP would be for a viable Sanchez government?
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rob in cal
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« Reply #4 on: April 27, 2019, 01:55:16 pm »

Ok, so whats the seat target figure for combined right wing parties that gets Casado in as PM?  Somewhere in the low 170's?
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rob in cal
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Posts: 1,850
« Reply #5 on: April 28, 2019, 10:11:47 am »

  I do buy into the idea of previous non-voters who lean strongly to the right being more likely to vote this time around with Vox being a viable choice, whereas in previous elections PP was the only viable choice.  So in theory a greater % of the vote going overall to right wing parties just because of this.
  
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rob in cal
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Posts: 1,850
« Reply #6 on: April 28, 2019, 04:00:30 pm »

  One the one hand in a more proportional system the blocs would be equal, but in that case it would still be  a PSOE government due to the regionalists.
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rob in cal
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Posts: 1,850
« Reply #7 on: April 29, 2019, 03:59:12 pm »

Too lazy to find this, but what places with more than say 15000 inhabitants had the biggest right wing and biggest left wing majorities, outside of the Catalonia and Basque regions.
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rob in cal
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« Reply #8 on: May 01, 2019, 11:10:43 am »

  Its amazing to see the urban vote, especially broken down by district. In the cities, aside from Barcelona and Bilboa, there are so few areas that we see in other western democracies where the parties of the left absolutely dominate, crush the opposition. Instead, they win a lot of districts just getting 55% or less of the vote.
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rob in cal
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« Reply #9 on: July 24, 2019, 04:03:28 pm »

Has there been much of an immigration debate in the government formation talks?  Is there much difference between PSOE and UP on the issue?
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rob in cal
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« Reply #10 on: September 21, 2019, 07:14:48 am »

Any developments in terms of a pp and c electoral alliance? .without that, can't see much hope for improvement on the right.
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rob in cal
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Posts: 1,850
« Reply #11 on: November 14, 2019, 03:44:45 pm »

Couple questions.  Is there a PP or Vox politician who calls for a hard line on immigration, but is not for  a crackdown on Catalonia?  I would think there would be someone out there whose top concern would be keeping Spain ethnically about how it is now, but wouldn't be nearly concerned about whether Catalonia moves toward independence.

Also, among the Basque and Catalonian parties do any stake out any clear positions on the rightwing when it comes to immigration policy.
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