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  Talk Elections
  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion
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  Spanish elections and politics II (State of Coronavirus Alarm declared) (search mode)
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Author Topic: Spanish elections and politics II (State of Coronavirus Alarm declared)  (Read 96842 times)
bigic
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 392
Serbia and Montenegro


Political Matrix
E: 2.32, S: -7.30


« on: March 04, 2019, 05:24:17 am »


On the other hand, Cs launched a somewhat misguided "liberal feminist" manifesto in a desperate attempt to differentiate from Vox. Oranges admit the existence of gender based violence and commit themselves against that plague. They say that feminism is not a monopoly of the left. In my opinion, the problem is their idea of "liberalism" in relation to prostitution and surrogacy. Cs advocates for a regulation of these practices, considering that being into prostitution and womb renting are a matters of free choice, ignoring the socioeconomic circumstances that force women to sell their bodies.


The same argument can be made against wage labour, which is precisely why I disagree with such arguments against prostitution and surrogacy - I consider them morally equivalent to wage labour, and the reactionary right arguments against prostitution and surrogacy are also based on the premise that they are not morally equivalent with wage labour.
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bigic
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 392
Serbia and Montenegro


Political Matrix
E: 2.32, S: -7.30


« Reply #1 on: April 02, 2019, 02:15:29 pm »

My results:
EAJ-PNV 67,39%
Ciudadanos 58,95%
PDeCAT 56,99%
PSOE 51,58%
ERC 47,37%
PP 45,92%
EH Bildu 45,26%
UP 43,16%
Vox 30,77%

My "spider" compared to EAJ-PNV's


Compared to that of Ciudadanos
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bigic
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 392
Serbia and Montenegro


Political Matrix
E: 2.32, S: -7.30


« Reply #2 on: April 07, 2019, 07:34:14 pm »

Will Bildu be more likely to support a Sanchez government than the Catalan nationalists?
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bigic
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 392
Serbia and Montenegro


Political Matrix
E: 2.32, S: -7.30


« Reply #3 on: April 28, 2019, 12:05:58 pm »



Higher turnout in Ceuta and Melilla (two cities in Africa) seems good for Vox
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bigic
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 392
Serbia and Montenegro


Political Matrix
E: 2.32, S: -7.30


« Reply #4 on: April 28, 2019, 12:21:55 pm »

If there’s one thing even I as a relative novice to Spanish politics can be confident of it’s that this election will not hinge on the idiosyncrasies of the vote in Ceuta and Melilla...

I know that, but according to recent polling Vox has pretty big support in these two cities (in Ceuta it's even first), so maybe it's an indication of a wider trend in Spain.
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bigic
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 392
Serbia and Montenegro


Political Matrix
E: 2.32, S: -7.30


« Reply #5 on: April 28, 2019, 03:20:04 pm »


I think you're forgetting Bildu, though. Politically they're not the best look for Sanchez, but they supported his confidence vote and are a left wing party. Right now they're at 5 seats.

Forget the no confidence vote - pretty much everybody except PP and Cs in the parliament supported that.
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bigic
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 392
Serbia and Montenegro


Political Matrix
E: 2.32, S: -7.30


« Reply #6 on: April 28, 2019, 05:13:11 pm »

If there’s one thing even I as a relative novice to Spanish politics can be confident of it’s that this election will not hinge on the idiosyncrasies of the vote in Ceuta and Melilla...

If CpM had won that seat, Sanchez wouldn't need to deal with ERC, JxC or Bildu.
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bigic
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 392
Serbia and Montenegro


Political Matrix
E: 2.32, S: -7.30


« Reply #7 on: April 28, 2019, 05:19:26 pm »

There could be still a small possibility that CC supports a PSOE government.
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bigic
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 392
Serbia and Montenegro


Political Matrix
E: 2.32, S: -7.30


« Reply #8 on: May 25, 2019, 01:52:24 pm »

Are there coalitions in Spain on the local level which can't be imagined on the national or regional level, like PSOE-PP or Podemos-Cs? I think they probably do exist because of local politics being less ideological and having different issues than politics on the "higher" levels, and such local coalitions do exist in other countries...
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bigic
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 392
Serbia and Montenegro


Political Matrix
E: 2.32, S: -7.30


« Reply #9 on: July 04, 2019, 04:06:35 pm »

Will Cs turn to PSOE?
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bigic
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 392
Serbia and Montenegro


Political Matrix
E: 2.32, S: -7.30


« Reply #10 on: July 19, 2019, 11:50:07 am »

How much of the time spent on arguing between PSOE and Podemos could be used for negotiations with minor parties?
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bigic
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 392
Serbia and Montenegro


Political Matrix
E: 2.32, S: -7.30


« Reply #11 on: October 20, 2019, 01:25:50 pm »

"Teruel Existe" might get in

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bigic
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 392
Serbia and Montenegro


Political Matrix
E: 2.32, S: -7.30


« Reply #12 on: November 10, 2019, 04:57:19 pm »

In Melilla it's currently very close between PP (6822 votes) and CpM (6781). 75,57% counted.
Edit: CpM now leads.
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bigic
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 392
Serbia and Montenegro


Political Matrix
E: 2.32, S: -7.30


« Reply #13 on: November 10, 2019, 05:09:30 pm »

In Melilla it's currently very close between PP (6822 votes) and CpM (6781). 75,57% counted.
Edit: CpM now leads.

If last time is any indicator, PP will regain the  lead. CpM led for a lot longer that time, but PP pulled it back because of how the segregated neighborhoods were counted.

The collapse of Cs and the decline of PSOE (over 4% down) might mean that this time it may not be true...
84,31% counted, CpM 38 votes more than PP
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bigic
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 392
Serbia and Montenegro


Political Matrix
E: 2.32, S: -7.30


« Reply #14 on: November 10, 2019, 05:17:38 pm »

PP again leading in Melilla. 7933-7848
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bigic
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 392
Serbia and Montenegro


Political Matrix
E: 2.32, S: -7.30


« Reply #15 on: November 10, 2019, 06:04:36 pm »

I hope the Spanish left has learned not to mess with the spectres of history.
lol

BTW ~1500 votes more need to be counted in Melilla. Last update was at 23:48 and CpM leads by 152 votes.
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bigic
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 392
Serbia and Montenegro


Political Matrix
E: 2.32, S: -7.30


« Reply #16 on: January 02, 2020, 01:46:42 pm »


ERC will enable the proposed Sanchez government
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bigic
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 392
Serbia and Montenegro


Political Matrix
E: 2.32, S: -7.30


« Reply #17 on: January 03, 2020, 02:48:37 pm »

CC will abstain
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bigic
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 392
Serbia and Montenegro


Political Matrix
E: 2.32, S: -7.30


« Reply #18 on: January 07, 2020, 08:39:32 am »

Sanchez has passed the investiture vote by the expected margin.

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bigic
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 392
Serbia and Montenegro


Political Matrix
E: 2.32, S: -7.30


« Reply #19 on: January 31, 2020, 08:19:36 am »

JxCat doesn't support the government, and neither does CUP. The only Catalan separatist party that supports the government is ERC.
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