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  Talk Elections
  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion
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  Spanish elections and politics II: former king Juan Carlos leaves Spain
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Author Topic: Spanish elections and politics II: former king Juan Carlos leaves Spain  (Read 114571 times)
jaichind
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E: 9.03, S: -5.39

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« Reply #1150 on: November 10, 2019, 03:12:32 pm »

First results in: 16.74% counted

29.15% PSOE
20.39% PP
13.14% Vox
12.24% UP
  5.31% C's
  0.70% Más Pais

In April, with a similar share of the vote counted, these were the results:
With 17.01% of the vote counted it is

PSOE   29.69%
PP       16.99%
C        13.05%
UP       11.98%
VOX      8.97%

I think when I posted these numbers back in April I failed to take into account the other smaller UP lists.
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Velasco
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« Reply #1151 on: November 10, 2019, 03:15:23 pm »


I think when I posted these numbers back in April I failed to take into account the other smaller UP lists.

En Comú Podem and Galicia en Común are still shown separately in the MIR website
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jaichind
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E: 9.03, S: -5.39

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« Reply #1152 on: November 10, 2019, 03:16:18 pm »

22.73% counted

PSOE   29.21%
PP        20.38%
VOX     13.59%
UP        12.36%
C           5.58%
Mas       0.75%
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kaoras
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« Reply #1153 on: November 10, 2019, 03:17:17 pm »


I think when I posted these numbers back in April I failed to take into account the other smaller UP lists.

En Comú Podem and Galicia en Común are still shown separately in the MIR website

Yes, but in the MIR UP is at 10% so he is adding them while Jaichind was not
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Mike88
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« Reply #1154 on: November 10, 2019, 03:17:27 pm »


I think when I posted these numbers back in April I failed to take into account the other smaller UP lists.

En Comú Podem and Galicia en Común are still shown separately in the MIR website

For UP, I added UP-IU+En Comú+PODEMOS+EU.
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kaoras
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« Reply #1155 on: November 10, 2019, 03:18:07 pm »

22.73% counted

PSOE   29.21%
PP        20.38%
VOX     13.59%
UP        12.36%
C           5.58%
Mas       0.75%


Mas País has like 4 separate list that you would need to add but is honestly not worth it.
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jaichind
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E: 9.03, S: -5.39

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« Reply #1156 on: November 10, 2019, 03:19:15 pm »

22.73% counted

PSOE   29.21%
PP        20.38%
VOX     13.59%
UP        12.36%
C           5.58%
Mas       0.75%


Mas País has like 4 separate list that you would need to add but is honestly not worth it.

Sigh
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jaichind
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« Reply #1157 on: November 10, 2019, 03:22:56 pm »

30.68% counted

PSOE   29.23%
PP        20.39%
VOX     13.98%
UP        12.49%
C           5.83%
Mas       1.67% (I found 3 of the Mas lists)
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kaoras
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« Reply #1158 on: November 10, 2019, 03:27:05 pm »

30.68% counted

PSOE   29.23%
PP        20.39%
VOX     13.98%
UP        12.49%
C           5.83%
Mas       1.67% (I found 3 of the Mas lists)

Is Mas País-Equo ; Mes Compromis (I think this is the one you might be missing) ; Mas País and Mas País-Equo-CHA
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Velasco
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« Reply #1159 on: November 10, 2019, 03:27:20 pm »

30.68% counted

Mas       1.67% (I found 3 of the Mas lists)

Don't gey fooled with the MES-Esquerra list in the Balearic Uslands. I see two lists in El País outlet: Más País and MP-CHA-EQUO. Both arte totalling 1.8% and 3 seats

Vox taking the lead in Murcia, ahead of PSOE and PP. UP retains one seat and Cs is wiped out
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Senator tack50 (Lab-Lincoln)
tack50
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« Reply #1160 on: November 10, 2019, 03:28:10 pm »

Alternatively you can just use any Spanish news outlet, they will add the parties for you
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Skye
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« Reply #1161 on: November 10, 2019, 03:29:04 pm »

Madrid and Barcelona are way behind on the vote count.
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jaichind
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E: 9.03, S: -5.39

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« Reply #1162 on: November 10, 2019, 03:29:04 pm »

39.70% counted

PSOE   29.21%
PP        20.43%
VOX     14.34%
UP        12.60%
C           6.07%
Mas       1.93% (I found all 4 lists)
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Velasco
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« Reply #1163 on: November 10, 2019, 03:30:41 pm »

Teruel Existe! is about to enter in the Congress of Deputies
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jaichind
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E: 9.03, S: -5.39

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« Reply #1164 on: November 10, 2019, 03:37:05 pm »

53.16% counted

PSOE   29.03%
PP        20.52%
VOX     14.68%
UP        12.68%
C           6.33%
Mas       2.09% (I found all 4 lists)

PSOE falling and everyone else gaining as the count continues.
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Velasco
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« Reply #1165 on: November 10, 2019, 03:41:02 pm »

Seat count:

PSOE 124
PP 85
Vox 50
UP 35
ERC 13
Cs 10
JxCAT 8
EAJ-PNV 7
EH Bildu 5
MP 3
CC-NC 3
CUP 2
NA+ 2
BNG 1
PRC 1
Teruel Existe! 1
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Mike88
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« Reply #1166 on: November 10, 2019, 03:42:04 pm »

53.16% counted

PSOE   29.03%
PP        20.52%
VOX     14.68%
UP        12.68%
C           6.33%
Mas       2.09% (I found all 4 lists)

PSOE falling and everyone else gaining as the count continues.

PSOE will end up at 28% or slightly bellow that, exactly the same as the second largest party in Portugal. PP seems or course to win something between 21-22%. Vox could reach 16%. C's is also increasing but I don't think it will reach 9%. UP could reach 13%, but only just.
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jaichind
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« Reply #1167 on: November 10, 2019, 03:43:56 pm »

Ok.  So it seems exit polls are roughly correct.  So more stalemate.  Sure all these parties do not have infinite budgets to keep on fighting elections.
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Oryxslayer
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« Reply #1168 on: November 10, 2019, 03:44:39 pm »

Vox leading in Murcia in case anyone missed that.
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jaichind
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E: 9.03, S: -5.39

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« Reply #1169 on: November 10, 2019, 03:45:54 pm »

63.66% counted

PSOE   28.80%
PP        20.63%
VOX     14.91%
UP        12.71%
C           6.50%
Mas       2.19%
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urutzizu
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« Reply #1170 on: November 10, 2019, 03:47:09 pm »

Vox leading in Murcia in case anyone missed that.

And 2nd in Andalucia.
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Mike88
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« Reply #1171 on: November 10, 2019, 03:49:50 pm »

Right now, with the current seats, a possible pact to vote in Sanchéz as President is PSOE+UP+Más Pais+PNV+BNG+CCa+PRC+Terruel Existe: 177 seats.

Don't know if it's even feasible.
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skbl17
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« Reply #1172 on: November 10, 2019, 03:51:19 pm »

Vox now leading in Ceuta.
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jaichind
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« Reply #1173 on: November 10, 2019, 03:54:18 pm »

73.81% counted

PSOE   28.59%
PP        20.70%
VOX     15.05%
UP        12.74%
C           6.62%
Mas       2.26%
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jaichind
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« Reply #1174 on: November 10, 2019, 03:56:55 pm »

Seatwise PP+VOX+C has pretty much stayed the same.  I do expect C to gain a bit in terms of seats.  So on paper PSOE can still pursue PSOE+UP plus support of various regional forces.
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