2022 Senate election: process and results

[😥]

Analysis Georgia Senate race 2022

15th January 2022
Primary: 8 March 2022
Candidates filing deadline: 24 May 2020

Democratic Party
1.Declared:
    Jason Carter- former state Senator, 2014 gubernatorial nominee
2.Declined:
   1) Lucy McBath- U.S. Representative
   2) Stacey Abrams- former state Representative, 2018 gubernatorial nominee
   3) Sanford Bishop- U.S. Representative

Republican Party
1.Declared:
    David Perdue- former U.S. Senator
2.Potential:
   1) Karen Handel- former U.S. Representative
   2) Tom Graves- U.S. Representative
3.Declined:
   1) Nathan Deal- former Governor
   2) Brian Kemp- incumbent Governor
   3) Johnny Isakson- incumbent U.S. Senator
    
Johnny Isakson's approval rating
Approve: 1) 52%; 2) 53%; 3) 52%
Dissapprove: 1) 40%; 2) 40%; 3) 41%
Don't know: 1) 8%; 2) 7%; 3) 7%

General election polling        
D.Perdue---J.Carter---???        Date          T.Graves---J.Carter---???
        46              48        6    09/12-21/12          48              47        5
        47              46        7    16/12-09/01          46              46        8
        46              46        8    22/12-10/01          47              46        7

No polls with Handel

Rating:
Cook: Tossup
I.E.: Tossup
Sabato: Tossup
NYT: Tossup
CNN: Tossup
RCP: Tossup
Fox News: Tossup
Daily Kos: Tossup

[😥]

Analysis Hawaii Senate race 2022

15th January 2022
Primary: 9 August 2022
Candidates filing deadline: 7 June 2022

Democratic Party
1.Declared:
    Brian Schatz- incumbent U.S. Senator
2.Declined:
    1) Ed Case- U.S. Representative
    2) David Ige- incumbent Governor

Republican Party
1.Declared: none
2.Declined:
    1) Linga Lingle- former Governor
  
Brian Schatz's approval rating
Approve: 1) 60%; 2) 61%; 3) 61%
Dissapprove: 1) 33%; 2) 34%; 3) 33%
Don't know: 1) 7%; 2) 5%; 3) 6%

General election polling        
No polls
      
Rating:
Cook: Safe D
I.E.: Safe D
Sabato: Safe D
NYT: Safe D
CNN: Safe D
RCP: Safe D
Fox News: Safe D
Daily Kos: Safe D

[😥]

Analysis Idaho Senate race 2022

15th January 2022
Primary: 18 September 2022
Candidates filing deadline: 1 June 2022

Democratic Party
1.Declared:
    Michelle Stennett- Minority Leader of Idaho Senate
  
Republican Party:
1.Declared:
    Mike Crapo- incumbent U.S. Senator

Mike Crapo's approval rating
Approve: 1) 55%; 2) 57%
[color=red[Dissapprove: 2) 39%; 2) 36%[/color]
Don't know: 1) 6%; 2) 7%

General election polling
No polls

Rating:
Cook: Safe R
I.E.: Safe R
Sabato: Safe R
NYT: Safe R
CNN: Safe R
RCP: Safe R
Fox News: Safe R
Daily Kos: Safe R

[😥]

Analysis Illinois Senate race 2022

15th January 2022
Primary: 22 March 2022
Candidates filing deadline: 19 December 2021

Democratic Party
1.Declared:
    Tammy Duckworth- incumbent U.S. Senator
2.Declined:
    1) Lauren Underwood- U.S. Representative
    2) Sean Casten- U.S. Representative

Republican Party
1.Declared:
    Bill Brady- former Minority Leader of the Illinois Senate
2.Declined:
    1) Rodney Davis- U.S. Representative
    2) Adam Kinzinger- former U.S. Representative, 2020 nominee
  
Tammy Duckworth's approval rating
Approve: 1) 51%; 2) 49%; 3) 51%
Dissapprove: 1) 44%; 2) 45%; 3) 44%
Don't know: 1) 5%; 2) 6%; 3) 5%

General election polling        
T.Duckworth---B.Brady---???                  Date
          66                  28         6             09/11-17/11
          64                  29         7             02/12-16/12
     
Rating:
Cook: Safe D
I.E.: Safe D
Sabato: Safe D
NYT: Safe D
CNN: Safe D
RCP: Safe D
Fox News: Safe D
Daily Kos: Safe D

[😥]

Analysis Indiana Senate race 2022

15th January 2022
Primary: 6 May 2022
Candidates filing deadline: 7 February 2022

Democratic Party
1.Declared:
    Andre Carson- U.S. Representative
2.Declined:
   1) Pete Buttigieg- Mayor of South Bend
   2) Joe Donnelly- former U.S. Senator

Republican Party
1.Declared:
    Todd Young- incumbent U.S. Senator
2.Declined:
    1) Greg Pence- U.S. Representative
    2) Eric Holcomb- incumbent Governor
  
Todd Young's approval rating
Approve: 1) 50%; 2) 51%; 3) 51%
Dissapprove: 1) 45%; 2) 43%; 3) 42%
Don't know: 1) 5%; 2) 6%; 3) 7%

General election polling        
T.Young---A.Carson---???                  Date
      56                37         7             07/12-19/12
     
Rating:
Cook: Tossup
I.E.: Lean R
Sabato: Lean R
NYT: Lean R
CNN: Lean R
RCP: Lean R
Fox News: Lean R
Daily Kos: Lean R

[redeagleofficial]

In 2020, AL CO and MI all flip giving GOP a 54-46 advantage.

I think dems flip WI and PA but thats it.  NC/GA are close but GOP holds. Rubio wins by 3 in FL.  GOP still holds senate 52-48.

[😥]

In 2020, AL CO and MI all flip giving GOP a 54-46 advantage.

I think dems flip WI and PA but thats it.  NC/GA are close but GOP holds. Rubio wins by 3 in FL.  GOP still holds senate 52-48.

This is your prediction?
This is TL, so everything you foresee may not be so

https://uselectionatlas.org/FORUM/index.php?topic=299181.0
2020 Senate election: process and result

Please, read this TL, if you interested in it

[😥]

Analysis Iowa Senate race 2022

15th January 2022
Primary: 20 May 2022
Candidates filing deadline: 3 June 2020

Democratic Party
1.Declared:
    Fred Hubbell- businessman, 2018 gubernatorial nominee
2.Potential:
   1) J.D. Scholten- former baseball player
   2) Dave Loebsack- U.S. Representative
3.Declined:
   1) Abby Finkenauer- former U.S. Representative (running for House)
   2) Chet Culver- former Governor
   3) Cindy Axne- U.S. Representative

Democratic primary polling
F.Hubbell---J.D. Scholten---D.Loebsack---???        Date
        29                    28                     38             5     18/11-30/11
        27                    27                     40             6     01/12-31/12
        27                    28                     40             5     10/12-28/12

Republican Party
1.Declared:
   1) Steve King- U.S. Representative
   2) Jack Whitver- Majority Leader of the Iowa Senate
2.Declined:
   1) Chuck Grassley- incumbent U.S. Senator
   2) Kim Reynolds- incumbent Governor (running for reelection)
   
Republican primary poling
S.King---J.Whitver---???          Date
     45              46         9      18/11-30/11
     48              44         8      10/12-28/12

Chuck Grassley's approval rating
Approve: 1) 58%; 2) 57%; 3) 58%
Dissapprove: 1) 37%; 2) 35%; 3) 35%
Don't know: 1) 5%; 2) 8%; 3) 7%

General election polling   

S.King---F.Hubbell---???       Date           S.King---D.Loebsack---???
    47             47          6     18/11-30/11      44               50             6
    46             46          8     27/11-11/12      43               50             7
    46             46          8     12/12-29/12      44               49             7
     
S.King---J.D.Scholten---???       Date    J.Whitmer---F.Hubbell---??? 
     45                46              9    18/11-30/11    48                46          6
     46                46              8    27/11-11/12    47                46          7
     47                47              6    12/12-29/12    47                47          6
 
      Date        J.Whitmer---D.Loebsack---???
18/11-30/11        45                    48           7
27/11-11/12        46                    47           7
12/12-29/12        45                    49           6

No polls with Whitmer and Scholten
     

Rating:
Cook: Lean D (flip)
I.E.: Tossup
Sabato: Tossup
NYT: Lean D (flip)
CNN: Lean D (flip)
RCP: Lean D (flip)
Fox News: Tossup
Daily Kos: Lean D (flip)

[😥]

Analysis Kansas Senate race 2022

15th January 2022
Primary: 02 August 2022
Candidates filing deadline: 25 May 2022

Democratic Party
1.Declared:
    Josh Svaty- former Secretary of Agriculture of Kansas
2.Potential:
     Kathleen Sebelius- former Governor
3.Declined:
   1) Sharice Davids- U.S. Representative
   2) Jim Ward- Minority Leader of House of Representatives of Kansas

Republican Party
1.Declared:
    Jerry Moran- incumbent U.S. Senator
2.Declined:
    1) Roger Marshall- U.S. Representative
    2) Steve Watkins- U.S. Representative
  
Jerry Moran's approval rating
Approve: 1) 46%; 2) 47%; 3) 44%
Dissapprove: 1) 46%; 2) 45%; 3) 46%
Don't know: 1) 8%; 2) 8%; 3) 10%

General election polling        
J.Moran---J.Svaty---???                  Date
      49             40        11            10/07-24/07
      48             42        10            22/08-14/09
     
Rating:
Cook: Lean R
I.E.: Likely R
Sabato: Lean R
NYT: Likely R
CNN: Likely R
RCP: Lean R
Fox News: Likely R
Daily Kos: Lean R

[😥]

Analysis Kentucky Senate race 2022

15th January 2022
Primary: 20 May 2022
Candidates filing deadline: 2 March 2022

Democratic Party
1.Declared:
   1) Steve Beshear- former Governor
   2) Amy McGrath- U.S. Representative
2.Declined:
   1) Andy Beshear- incumbent Governor
   2) John Yarmuth- U.S. Representative

Republican Party
1.Declared:
    Rand Paul- incumbent U.S. Senator
2.Declined:
    1) James Comer- U.S. Representative
    2) Hal Rogers- U.S. Representative
  
Rand Paul's approval rating
Approve: 1) 50%; 2) 47%; 3) 46%
Dissapprove: 1) 46%; 2) 47%; 3) 47%
Don't know: 1) 4%; 2) 6%; 3) 7%

General election polling        
R.Paul---S.Beshear---???                  Date
     44              44          12            10/09-24/09
     45              45          10            16/10-04/10
     45              44          11            28/10-14/11 
     45              46           9             05/12-02/01
     
Rating:
Cook: Tossup
I.E.: Tossup
Sabato: Tossup
NYT: Tossup
CNN: Tossup
RCP: Tossup
Fox News: Tossup
Daily Kos: Tossup

[UWS]

Surprising that Kentucky is so competitive.

[😥]

Analysis Louisiana Senate race 2022

15th January 2022
Primary: 8th November 2019
Candidates filing deadline: 22th July 2019

Democratic Party
1.Declared:
     John Bel Edwards- incumbent Governor
2.Declined:
   1) Cedric Richmond- U.S. Representative
   2) Mary Landriey- former U.S. Senator, sister of Mitch Landrieu (current U.S. Senator)

Republican Party
1.Declared:
   1) Clay Higgins- U.S. Representative
   2) Sharon Hewitt- state Senator
2.Declined:
   1) Steve Scalie- U.S. Representative, House Minority Whip
   2) Mike Johnson- U.S. Representative
   3) John Neely Kennedy- incumbent U.S. Senator
  
John Neely Kennedy's approval rating
Approve: 1) 55%; 2) 51%; 3) 53%
Dissapprove: 1) 40%; 2) 38%; 3) 40%
Don't know: 1) 5%; 2) 11%; 3) 7%

General election polling        
J.B.Edwards---C.Higgins---S.Hewitt---???                  Date
          48                   30                11        11            18/09-27/09
          49                   28                12         9             01/11-20/11
          50                   28                11         9             15/11-08/12 
          49                   29                12        10            05/12-05/01

Run-off polling
J.B.Edwards---C.Higgins---???            Date
          53                   39           8      18/09-27/09
          58                   42           --      15/11-08/12
          53                   41           6      05/12-05/01
     
Rating:
Cook: Lean D (flip)
I.E.: Lean D (flip)
Sabato: Tossup
NYT: Likely D (flip)
CNN: Lean D (flip)
RCP: Lean D (flip)
Fox News: Tossup
Daily Kos: Lean D (flip)

[😥]

Analysis Maryland Senate race 2022

15th January 2022
Primary: 23th June 2022
Candidates filing deadline: 24th February 2022

Democratic Party
1.Declared:
     Chris Van Hollen- incumbent U.S. Senator
2.Declined:
    1) John Sarbanes- U.S. Representative
    2) Anthony Brown- U.S. Representative

Republican Party
1.Declared: none
2.Potential:
     Larry Hogan- incumbent Governor
3.Declined:
     Andy Harris- U.S. Representative

Chris Van Hollen's approval rating
Approve: 1) 50%; 2) 52%; 3) 49%
Dissapprove: 1) 40%; 2) 39%; 3) 43%
Don't know: 1) 10%; 2) 9%; 3) 8%

General election polling        
C.Van Hollen---L.Hogan---???           Date
         44                    44        12     18/09-28/09
         44                    45        11     28/11-13/12
     
Rating:
Cook: Safe D
I.E.: Safe D
Sabato: Safe D
NYT: Safe D
CNN: Safe D
RCP: Safe D
Fox News: Safe D
Daily Kos: Safe D

[😥]

Analysis Missouri Senate race 2022

15th January 2022
Primary: 4th August 2020
Candidates filing deadline: 24th March 2020

Democratic Party
1.Declared:
   1) Lacy Clay- U.S. Representative
   2) Jay Nixon- former Governor
2.Declined:
   1) Emanuel Cleaver- U.S. Representative
   2) Jason Kander- former Secretary of State, 2016 nominee

Republican Party
1.Declared:
   1) Ann Wagner- U.S. Representative
   2) Blaine Luetkemeyer- U.S. Representative
3.Declined:
   1) Sam Graves- U.S. Representative
   2) Mike Parson- incumbent Governor
   3) Roy Blunt- incumbent U.S. Senator
   
Roy Blunt's approval rating
Approve: 1) 48%; 2) 48%; 3) 47%
Dissapprove: 1) 41%; 2) 40%; 3) 44%
Don't know: 1) 11%; 2) 12%; 3) 9%

General election polling        
A.Wagner---L.Clay---???        Date          A.Wagner---J.Nixon---???
        48             44       8    10/11-27/11          46               47        7
        49             44       7    03/12-18/12          47               47        6
        47             45       8    22/12-12/01          45               47        8

B.Luetkemeyer---L.Clay---???         Date
            46                  46       8     10/11-27/11 
            47                  44       9     03/12-18/12
            45                  45      10    22/12-12/01

B.Luetkemeyer---J.Nixon---???         Date
            45                    50        5     10/11-27/11 
            44                    49        7     03/12-18/12
            45                    49        6     22/12-12/01

Rating:
Cook: Tossup
I.E.: Tossup
Sabato: Tossup
NYT: Tossup
CNN: Tossup
RCP: Tossup
Fox News: Tossup
Daily Kos: Tossup

[S019]

Great work

I am also a big fan of the competitive KY race

[😥]

Analysis Nevada Senate race 2022

15th January 2022
Primary: 9 June 2022
Candidates filing deadline: 13 March 2022

Democratic Party
1.Declared:
     Susie Lee- U.S. Representative
2.Declined:
    1) Steve Sisolak- incumbent Governor
    2) Steven Horsford- U.S. Representative
    3) Catherine Cortez Masto- incumbent U.S. Senator

Republican Party
1.Declared:
    Brian Sandoval- former Governor
2.Declined:
   1) Mark Amodei- U.S. Representative
   2) Danny Tarkanian- bussinesman, perennial candidate
 
Catherine Cortez Masto's approval rating
Approve: 1) 52%; 2) 50%; 3) 50%
Dissapprove: 1) 40%; 2) 44%; 3) 45%
Don't know: 1) 8%; 2) 6%; 3) 5%

General election polling        
S.Lee---B.Sandoval---???               Date
    45               45          10         10/11-17/11
    46               45           9          02/12-16/12
 
Rating:
Cook: Tossup
I.E.: Likely D
Sabato: Lean D
NYT: Tossup
CNN: Lean D
RCP: Tossup
Fox News: Tossup
Daily Kos: Lean D

Great work

I am also a big fan of the competitive KY race

Thanks

[😥]

Analysis New Hampshire Senate race 2022

15th January 2022
Primary: 08th September 2020
Candidates filing deadline: 12th June 2022

Democratic Party
1.Declared:
     Maggie Hassan- incumbent U.S. Senator
2.Declined:
     Chris Pappas- U.S. Representative

Republican Party
1.Declared:
     Chris Sununu- former Governor
    
Maggie Hassan's approval rating
Approve: 1) 50%; 2) 49%; 3) 48%
Dissapprove: 1) 43%; 2) 45%; 3) 44%
Don't know: 1) 7%; 2) 6%; 3) 8%

General election polling        
M.Hassan---C.Sununu---???                 Date
        49                  45          6             09/09-17/09
        48                  45          7             02/10-27/10  
        46                  46          8             12/10-01/11
 
Rating:
Cook: Tossup
I.E.: Lean D
Sabato: Lean D
NYT: Tossup
CNN: Lean D
RCP: Lean D
Fox News: Tossup
Daily Kos: Lean D

[😥]

Analysis New York Senate race 2022

15th January 2022
Primary: 23th June 2022
Candidates filing deadline: 9th April 2022

Democratic Party
1.Declared:
   1) Chuck Schumer- incumbent U.S. Senator
   2) Alexandra Ocasio-Cortez- U.S. Representative
2.Declined:
   1) Andrew Cuomo- incumbent Governor
   2) Hillary Clinton- former U.S. Senator, former SoS, former First Lady of the USA
   3) Bill de Blasio- Mayor of New York City
   4) Hakeem Jeffries- U.S. Representative

Democratic primary polling
C.Schumer---A.Ocasio-Cortez---???         Date
          56                      30                14      18/09-21/09
          60                      35                 5       11/11-28/11
          59                      34                 7       02/12-19/12
          60                      34                 6       15/12-05/01

Republican Party
1.Declared: none
2.Declined:
   1) Rudy Guliani- former Mayor of New York
   2) Elisa Stefanik- U.S. Representative
   3) Lee Zeldin- U.S. Representative

  
Chuck Schumer's approval rating
Approve: 1) 46%; 2) 46%; 3) 44%
Dissapprove: 1) 46%; 2) 45%; [/b]3) 46%[/b]
Don't know: 1) 8%; 2) 9%; 3) 10%

General election polling        
C.Schumer---R nominee---???                 Date
         70                   21           9             10/10-27/10
         68                   25           7             11/11-28/11 
         70                   20          10            02/12-19/12

A.Osacio-Cortez---R nominee---???                 Date
               64                      24          12            10/10-27/10
               63                      23          14            11/11-28/11 
               62                      25          13            02/12-19/12
 
Rating:
Cook: Safe D
I.E.: Safe D
Sabato: Safe D
NYT: Safe D
CNN: Safe D
RCP: Safe D
Fox News: Safe D
Daily Kos: Safe D

[😥]

Analysis North Carolina Senate race 2022

15th January 2022
Primary: 5th May 2022
Candidates filing deadline: 25th February 2022

Democratic Party
1.Declared:
     Roy Cooper- incumbent Governor
2.Declined:
   1) Anthony Foxx- former U.S. Secretary of Transportain, 2020 candidate
   2) Alma Adams- U.S. Representative
   3) Josh Stein- Attorney General

Republican Party
1.Declared:
   1) Pat McCrory- former Governor
   2) Mark Meadows- U.S. Representative
2.Declined:
   1) Tedd Budd- U.S. Representative
   2) Richard Hudson- U.S. Representative
   3) Richard Burr- incumbent U.S. Senator

  
Richard Burr's approval rating
Approve: 1) 49%; 2) 51%; 3) 49%
Dissapprove: 1) 41%; 2) 44%; 3) 40%
Don't know: 1) 10%; 2) 5%; 3) 11%

General election polling        
R.Cooper---P.McCrory---???                 Date
       54                 38           8             21/11-29/11
       53                 40           7             30/11-12/12 
       53                 38           9             17/12-06/01

R.Cooper---M.Meadows---???                 Date
       56                   36             8            21/11-29/11
       56                   35             9            30/11-12/12 
       55                   36             9            17/12-06/01
 
Rating:
Cook: Likely D (flip)
I.E.: Lean D (flip)
Sabato: Lean D (flip)
NYT: Safe D (flip)
CNN: Safe D (flip)
RCP: Likely D (flip)
Fox News: Likely D (flip)
Daily Kos: Safe D (flip)

[😥]

Analysis North Dakota Senate race 2022

15th January 2022
Primary: 18 September 2020
Candidates filing deadline: 1 June 2020

Democratic Party
1.Declared: none
2.Declined:
   1) Kent Conrad- former U.S. Senator
   2) Heidi Heitkamp- former U.S. Senator
 
Republican Party:
1.Declared:
     John Hoeven- incumbent U.S. Senator
2.Declined:
   1) Rick Berg- former U.S. Representative
   2) Doug Burgum- incumbent Governor

John Hoeven's approval rating
Approve: 1) 56%; 2) 57%; 3) 56%
Dissapprove: 2) 38%; 2) 34%; 3) 35%
Don't know: 1) 6%; 2) 9%; 3) 9%

Rating:
Cook: Safe R
I.E.: Safe R
Sabato: Safe R
NYT: Safe R
CNN: Safe R
RCP: Safe R
Fox News: Safe R
Daily Kos: Safe R

[Huey Long is a Republican]

I think the Green Party would run a candidate in ND if that was the case.

[😥]

I think the Green Party would run a candidate in ND if that was the case.

I don't include third parties in this analysis, but obviously, in this scenario third parties will have candidates. Thanks

[😥]

Analysis Ohio Senate race 2022

15th January 2022
Primary: 5th May 2022
Candidates filing deadline: 4th February 2022

Democratic Party
1.Declared:
   1) Ted Strickland- former Governor
   2) Danny O'Connor- U.S. Representative
2.Declined:
   1) Tim Ryan- U.S. Representative
   2) Marcia Fudge- U.S. Representative
  
Democratic primary polling
T.Strickland---D.O'Connor---???        Date
         43                      43          14     21/10-13/11
         45                      44          11     16/11-03/12
         44                      45          11     18/11-10/12

Republican Party
1.Declared:
     Rob Portman- incumbent U.S. Senator
2.Declined:
   1) Jim Jordan- U.S. Representative
   2) John Kasich- former Governor

Rob Portman's approval rating
Approve: 1) 59%; 2) 59%; 3) 58%
Dissapprove: 2) 34%; 2) 35%; 3) 34%
Don't know: 1) 7%; 2) 6%; 3) 8%

General election polling
R.Portman---T.Strickland---???           Date
        60                   34              6      21/10-13/11
        59                   36              5      18/11-10/12
        59                   34              7      08/12-29/12

R.Portman---D.O'Connor---???           Date
        59                    34            7      21/10-13/11
        60                    34            6      18/11-10/12
        60                    34            6      08/12-29/12


Rating:
Cook: Likely R
I.E.: Likely R
Sabato: Safe R
NYT: Lean R
CNN: Likely R
RCP: Safe R
Fox News: Likely R
Daily Kos: Likely R

[😥]

Analysis Oklahoma Senate race 2022

15th January 2022
Primary: 30th June 2022
Candidates filing deadline: 6th March 2022

Democratic Party
1.Declared:
     Brad Henry- former Governor
2.Declined:
   1) Kendra Horn- U.S. Representative
   2) Dan Boren- former U.S. Representative

Republican Party
1.Declared:
     James Lankford- incumbent U.S. Senator
2.Declined:
   1) Kevin Hern- U.S. Representative
   2) Scott Pruitt- former EPA Administrator, 2020 candidate
  
James Lankford's approval rating
Approve: 1) 50%; 2) 47%; 3) 48%
Dissapprove: 1) 42%; 2) 43%; 3) 43%
Don't know: 1) 8%; 2) 10%; 3) 9%

General election polling        
J.Lankford---B.Henry---???                 Date
         42                43       15            08/09-17/09
         45                45       10            02/10-27/10  
         46                43       11            12/10-01/11
 
Rating:
Cook: Tossup
I.E.: Lean R
Sabato: Lean R
NYT: Lean R
CNN: Likely R
RCP: Tossup
Fox News: Likely R
Daily Kos: Lean R

[😥]

Analysis Oregon Senate race 2022

15th January 2022
Primary: 17th May 2022
Candidates filing deadline: 11th February 2022

Democratic Party
1.Declared:
   1) Kate Brown- incumbent Governor
   2) David Gomberg- state representative
   3) Suzzane Bonamici- U.S. Representative
2.Potential:
      Jeff Merkley- former U.S. Senator, 2020 presidential candidate
3.Declined:
   1) Ron Wyden- incumbent U.S. Senator
   2) Peter DeFazio- U.S. Representative

Democratic primary polling
K.Brown---D.Gomberg---S.Bonamici---J.Merkley---???       Date
       28                 21                   39                  ---          12  13/11-24/11
       19                 13                   30                  31          7   29/11-15/12
       30                 21                   38                  ---          11  10/12-19/12
       22                 14                   28                  27          9   22/12-05/01
       21                 14                   27                  27         11  29/12-08/01
       20                 13                   29                  31         7    29/12-12/01

  
Republican Party
1.Declared:
   1) Ron Noble- state representative
   2) Andy Olson- former state representative
2.Declined:
   1) Greg Walden- U.S. Representative

Republican primary polling
R.Noble---A.Olson---???        Date
      70              30        ---     13/11-24/11
      71              24         5     22/12-02/01

Ron Wyden's approval rating
Approve: 1) 53%; 2) 50%; 3) 51%
Dissapprove: 1) 40%; 2) 44%; 3) 42%
Don't know: 1) 7%; 2) 6%; 3) 7%

General election polling

K.Brown---R.Noble---???       Date  
      56               38        6    17/11-27/11      
      55               38        7    25/11-04/12
      55               39        6    11/12-02/01 
      
D.Gomberg---R.Noble---???         Date  
          52               41          7    17/11-27/11      

S.Bonamici---R.Noble---???         Date  
          58                36         6    17/11-27/11      
          57                37         6    25/11-04/12
          58                38         4    11/12-02/01  

J.Merkley---R.Noble---???         Date       
        57               37         6    25/11-04/12
        59               36         5    11/12-02/01  

Rating:
Cook: Likely D
I.E.: Safe D D
Sabato: Likely D
NYT: Likely D D
CNN: Safe D
RCP: Safe D
Fox News: Lean D
Daily Kos: Safe D