Estonian Parliamentary Election, 3rd March 2019 (user search)
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  Estonian Parliamentary Election, 3rd March 2019 (search mode)
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Author Topic: Estonian Parliamentary Election, 3rd March 2019  (Read 7323 times)
FredLindq
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 447
« on: March 03, 2019, 04:18:29 AM »
If ER is the strongest party we will have a great coalition ER+EK or ER+SDE+I like Taavi Rőivas' second cabinet. If EK is the largest party we will have a great coalition EK+ER or EK+SDE+I like the current guvernment. All this since ER has said that they cant cooperate with EKRE.
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FredLindq
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 447
« Reply #1 on: March 03, 2019, 01:44:54 PM »
« Edited: March 03, 2019, 02:08:46 PM by FredLindq »
Change in the e-vote compared with last Election
ER +2.5
EKRE +6.6
I -5.6
EK +4.0
SDE -5.5
E200 +5.5
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FredLindq
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 447
« Reply #2 on: March 03, 2019, 02:10:28 PM »
« Edited: March 03, 2019, 02:22:58 PM by FredLindq »
I think that 5,5% for E200 is to little for the in order cross the 5-% threshold. I think that they Will get a smaller share in the election day votes.
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FredLindq
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 447
« Reply #3 on: March 03, 2019, 02:22:26 PM »
If the changes in the e-votes are the same as in the election day voting we could have a result like this.
ER 30% 33 seats
EK 29% 32
EKRE 15% 16
SDE 10% 11
I 8% 9

I still think that E200 will not make it.

So ER+EK 65 seats (grand liberal coalition) or
ER+SDE+I 53 seats (centre right coalition) or
EK+SDE+I 52 seats (current centreleft coalition)
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FredLindq
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 447
« Reply #4 on: March 03, 2019, 02:36:23 PM »
211 out off 451 districts counted
Reform 34,7% - 40
EKRE 16,2% - 17
Center 15,6% - 16
Pro Patria 12,4% - 13
SDE 11,1% - 11
E200 5,0% - 4
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FredLindq
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 447
« Reply #5 on: March 03, 2019, 03:01:50 PM »
298 out off 451 districts counted
Reform 32,3% - 38
Center 17,9% - 20
EKRE17,3% - 19
Pro Patria 12,1% - 13
SDE 10,7% - 11
E200 4,9% - 0
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FredLindq
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 447
« Reply #6 on: March 03, 2019, 03:25:50 PM »
363 out off 451 districts counted
Reform 30,7% - 36
Center 20,2% - 23
EKRE 17,5% - 19
Pro Patria 11,8% - 12
SDE 10,4% - 11
E200 4,7% - 0
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FredLindq
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 447
« Reply #7 on: March 03, 2019, 03:39:31 PM »
I would say that the most interesting issue now is if the current centre left coalition EK+I+SDE gets a majority (51 seats). With 386 out off 451 districts counted they have 46.
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FredLindq
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 447
« Reply #8 on: March 03, 2019, 03:54:52 PM »
Right now EKRE is up 9,6% and I down 2,1% and EVA (Estonian Free Party) down 7,5%....
So EKREs gains mainly comes from EVA and some parts from I.

SDE is down 5,0% and E200 gets 4,6%. So I would say that SDE lost their votes to E200.
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FredLindq
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 447
« Reply #9 on: March 05, 2019, 11:43:33 AM »
https://news.postimees.ee/6537206/kaja-kallas-our-first-choice-is-a-government-with-isamaa-and-sde

Kaja Kallas: "our first choice is a government with Isamaa and SDE"
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