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Author Topic: Canadian by-elections, 2019  (Read 22381 times)
136or142
Adam T
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 7,434
« Reply #100 on: May 06, 2019, 11:04:16 PM »

First poll

Voting Results for the electoral district of Nanaimo—Ladysmith
Party   Candidate   Votes   Percent of Votes   Bar graph of percentage of votes
NDP-New Democratic Party   Bob Chamberlin   10   12.2 %   
People's Party   Jennifer Clarke   1   1.2 %   
Liberal   Michelle Corfield   18   22.0 %   
Conservative   John Hirst   35   42.7 %   
National Citizens Alliance   Jakob Letkemann   0   0.0 %   
Green Party   Paul Manly   17   20.7 %   
PC Party   Brian Marlatt   1   1.2 %
Logged
136or142
Adam T
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 7,434
« Reply #101 on: May 06, 2019, 11:06:49 PM »

Two polls

Voting Results for the electoral district of Nanaimo—Ladysmith
Party   Candidate   Votes   Percent of Votes   Bar graph of percentage of votes
NDP-New Democratic Party   Bob Chamberlin   16   15.4 %   
People's Party   Jennifer Clarke   1   1.0 %   
Liberal   Michelle Corfield   19   18.3 %   
Conservative   John Hirst   42   40.4 %   
National Citizens Alliance   Jakob Letkemann   0   0.0 %   
Green Party   Paul Manly   25   24.0 %   
PC Party   Brian Marlatt   1   1.0 %
Logged
136or142
Adam T
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 7,434
« Reply #102 on: May 06, 2019, 11:14:52 PM »

Four polls

NDP-New Democratic Party   Bob Chamberlin   35   15.2 %   
People's Party   Jennifer Clarke   4   1.7 %   
Liberal   Michelle Corfield   32   13.9 %   
Conservative   John Hirst   74   32.0 %   
National Citizens Alliance   Jakob Letkemann   0   0.0 %   
Green Party   Paul Manly   85   36.8 %   
PC Party   Brian Marlatt   1   0.4 %   
Logged
136or142
Adam T
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 7,434
« Reply #103 on: May 06, 2019, 11:17:02 PM »

Eight polls

NDP-New Democratic Party   Bob Chamberlin   128   17.9 %   
People's Party   Jennifer Clarke   24   3.4 %   
Liberal   Michelle Corfield   78   10.9 %   
Conservative   John Hirst   190   26.6 %   
National Citizens Alliance   Jakob Letkemann   1   0.1 %   
Green Party   Paul Manly   287   40.2 %   
PC Party   Brian Marlatt   6   0.8 %   
Logged
136or142
Adam T
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 7,434
« Reply #104 on: May 06, 2019, 11:19:19 PM »

Ten polls

   Candidate   Votes   Percent of Votes   Bar graph of percentage of votes
NDP-New Democratic Party   Bob Chamberlin   192   21.6 %   
People's Party   Jennifer Clarke   26   2.9 %   
Liberal   Michelle Corfield   96   10.8 %   
Conservative   John Hirst   223   25.1 %   
National Citizens Alliance   Jakob Letkemann   2   0.2 %   
Green Party   Paul Manly   341   38.4 %   
PC Party   Brian Marlatt   8   0.9 %

Starting to look like the Greens will win this.
Logged
136or142
Adam T
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 7,434
« Reply #105 on: May 06, 2019, 11:20:38 PM »

Fifteen Polls

NDP-New Democratic Party   Bob Chamberlin   316   20.1 %   
People's Party   Jennifer Clarke   43   2.7 %   
Liberal   Michelle Corfield   194   12.4 %   
Conservative   John Hirst   433   27.6 %   
National Citizens Alliance   Jakob Letkemann   2   0.1 %   
Green Party   Paul Manly   570   36.3 %   
PC Party   Brian Marlatt   12   0.8 %   
Logged
136or142
Adam T
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 7,434
« Reply #106 on: May 06, 2019, 11:23:58 PM »

Nineteen Polls

NDP-New Democratic Party   Bob Chamberlin   427   20.7 %   
People's Party   Jennifer Clarke   54   2.6 %   
Liberal   Michelle Corfield   252   12.2 %   
Conservative   John Hirst   554   26.8 %   
National Citizens Alliance   Jakob Letkemann   2   0.1 %   
Green Party   Paul Manly   760   36.8 %   
PC Party   Brian Marlatt   18   0.9 %   
Logged
136or142
Adam T
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 7,434
« Reply #107 on: May 06, 2019, 11:25:07 PM »

Over 200 polls in the riding, I wouldn't be making any big judgements just yet.

As I'm rooting for the Greens I rather want to though

The totals have been fairly consistent.
Logged
136or142
Adam T
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 7,434
« Reply #108 on: May 06, 2019, 11:26:55 PM »

Twenty Five Polls

NDP-New Democratic Party   Bob Chamberlin   570   20.1 %   
People's Party   Jennifer Clarke   68   2.4 %   
Liberal   Michelle Corfield   315   11.1 %   
Conservative   John Hirst   714   25.2 %   
National Citizens Alliance   Jakob Letkemann   2   0.1 %   
Green Party   Paul Manly   1,141   40.2 %   
PC Party   Brian Marlatt   25   0.9 %
Logged
136or142
Adam T
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 7,434
« Reply #109 on: May 06, 2019, 11:28:23 PM »

Thirty Polls

NDP-New Democratic Party   Bob Chamberlin   713   21.3 %   
People's Party   Jennifer Clarke   83   2.5 %   
Liberal   Michelle Corfield   380   11.3 %   
Conservative   John Hirst   828   24.7 %   
National Citizens Alliance   Jakob Letkemann   4   0.1 %   
Green Party   Paul Manly   1,318   39.3 %   
PC Party   Brian Marlatt   29   0.9 %   
Logged
136or142
Adam T
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 7,434
« Reply #110 on: May 06, 2019, 11:33:17 PM »

Thirty Three Polls

NDP-New Democratic Party   Bob Chamberlin   848   22.0 %   
People's Party   Jennifer Clarke   113   2.9 %   
Liberal   Michelle Corfield   434   11.3 %   
Conservative   John Hirst   939   24.4 %   
National Citizens Alliance   Jakob Letkemann   5   0.1 %   
Green Party   Paul Manly   1,479   38.4 %   
PC Party   Brian Marlatt   32   0.8 %
Logged
136or142
Adam T
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 7,434
« Reply #111 on: May 06, 2019, 11:35:36 PM »

Forty Polls

NDP-New Democratic Party   Bob Chamberlin   1,072   22.7 %   
People's Party   Jennifer Clarke   140   3.0 %   
Liberal   Michelle Corfield   521   11.1 %   
Conservative   John Hirst   1,078   22.9 %   
National Citizens Alliance   Jakob Letkemann   7   0.1 %   
Green Party   Paul Manly   1,856   39.4 %   
PC Party   Brian Marlatt   39   0.8 %



Roy Orbison "It's Over"
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=a37tFLckO40
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136or142
Adam T
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 7,434
« Reply #112 on: May 06, 2019, 11:38:16 PM »

Forty Five Polls

NDP-New Democratic Party   Bob Chamberlin   1,217   22.7 %   
People's Party   Jennifer Clarke   171   3.2 %   
Liberal   Michelle Corfield   574   10.7 %   
Conservative   John Hirst   1,240   23.1 %   
National Citizens Alliance   Jakob Letkemann   7   0.1 %   
Green Party   Paul Manly   2,108   39.3 %   
PC Party   Brian Marlatt   42   0.8 %
Logged
136or142
Adam T
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 7,434
« Reply #113 on: May 06, 2019, 11:40:01 PM »

Fifty Polls

NDP-New Democratic Party   Bob Chamberlin   1,395   22.9 %   
People's Party   Jennifer Clarke   193   3.2 %   
Liberal   Michelle Corfield   656   10.7 %   
Conservative   John Hirst   1,424   23.3 %   
National Citizens Alliance   Jakob Letkemann   7   0.1 %   
Green Party   Paul Manly   2,385   39.1 %   
PC Party   Brian Marlatt   44   0.7 %
Logged
136or142
Adam T
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 7,434
« Reply #114 on: May 06, 2019, 11:44:06 PM »

Fifty Five Polls

NDP-New Democratic Party   Bob Chamberlin   1,549   23.2 %   
People's Party   Jennifer Clarke   209   3.1 %   
Liberal   Michelle Corfield   709   10.6 %   
Conservative   John Hirst   1,561   23.4 %   
National Citizens Alliance   Jakob Letkemann   7   0.1 %   
Green Party   Paul Manly   2,597   38.9 %   
PC Party   Brian Marlatt   47   0.7 %
Logged
136or142
Adam T
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 7,434
« Reply #115 on: May 06, 2019, 11:45:17 PM »

Sixty Polls

NDP-New Democratic Party   Bob Chamberlin   1,668   22.9 %   
People's Party   Jennifer Clarke   227   3.1 %   
Liberal   Michelle Corfield   773   10.6 %   
Conservative   John Hirst   1,718   23.6 %   
National Citizens Alliance   Jakob Letkemann   8   0.1 %   
Green Party   Paul Manly   2,829   38.9 %   
PC Party   Brian Marlatt   50   0.7 %
Logged
136or142
Adam T
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 7,434
« Reply #116 on: May 06, 2019, 11:46:31 PM »

Sixty Five polls

NDP-New Democratic Party   Bob Chamberlin   1,801   23.0 %   
People's Party   Jennifer Clarke   248   3.2 %   
Liberal   Michelle Corfield   826   10.5 %   
Conservative   John Hirst   1,810   23.1 %   
National Citizens Alliance   Jakob Letkemann   10   0.1 %   
Green Party   Paul Manly   3,097   39.5 %   
PC Party   Brian Marlatt   51   0.7 %

Interesting things to watch for:
1.Who will come in second
2.Will the Liberals get over 10% of the vote.
Logged
136or142
Adam T
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 7,434
« Reply #117 on: May 06, 2019, 11:47:12 PM »

Seventy Polls

NDP-New Democratic Party   Bob Chamberlin   1,913   22.4 %   
People's Party   Jennifer Clarke   267   3.1 %   
Liberal   Michelle Corfield   897   10.5 %   
Conservative   John Hirst   2,041   23.9 %   
National Citizens Alliance   Jakob Letkemann   11   0.1 %   
Green Party   Paul Manly   3,369   39.4 %   
PC Party   Brian Marlatt   56   0.7 %
Logged
136or142
Adam T
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 7,434
« Reply #118 on: May 06, 2019, 11:48:59 PM »

Seventy Five Polls

NDP-New Democratic Party   Bob Chamberlin   2,050   22.4 %   
People's Party   Jennifer Clarke   281   3.1 %   
Liberal   Michelle Corfield   962   10.5 %   
Conservative   John Hirst   2,220   24.2 %   
National Citizens Alliance   Jakob Letkemann   12   0.1 %   
Green Party   Paul Manly   3,577   39.0 %   
PC Party   Brian Marlatt   61   0.7 %
Logged
136or142
Adam T
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 7,434
« Reply #119 on: May 06, 2019, 11:50:41 PM »

Eighty Polls

NDP-New Democratic Party   Bob Chamberlin   2,194   22.5 %   
People's Party   Jennifer Clarke   297   3.0 %   
Liberal   Michelle Corfield   1,028   10.5 %   
Conservative   John Hirst   2,345   24.0 %   
National Citizens Alliance   Jakob Letkemann   13   0.1 %   
Green Party   Paul Manly   3,812   39.1 %   
PC Party   Brian Marlatt   65   0.7 %   
Logged
136or142
Adam T
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 7,434
« Reply #120 on: May 06, 2019, 11:52:09 PM »

Eighty Six Polls

NDP-New Democratic Party   Bob Chamberlin   2,343   22.4 %   
People's Party   Jennifer Clarke   326   3.1 %   
Liberal   Michelle Corfield   1,115   10.7 %   
Conservative   John Hirst   2,514   24.0 %   
National Citizens Alliance   Jakob Letkemann   13   0.1 %   
Green Party   Paul Manly   4,077   39.0 %   
PC Party   Brian Marlatt   73   0.7 %
Logged
136or142
Adam T
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 7,434
« Reply #121 on: May 06, 2019, 11:53:18 PM »

Ninety Polls

NDP-New Democratic Party   Bob Chamberlin   2,502   22.6 %   
People's Party   Jennifer Clarke   343   3.1 %   
Liberal   Michelle Corfield   1,189   10.7 %   
Conservative   John Hirst   2,649   23.9 %   
National Citizens Alliance   Jakob Letkemann   15   0.1 %   
Green Party   Paul Manly   4,293   38.8 %   
PC Party   Brian Marlatt   78   0.7 %
Logged
136or142
Adam T
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 7,434
« Reply #122 on: May 06, 2019, 11:56:07 PM »

100 Polls

NDP-New Democratic Party   Bob Chamberlin   2,798   22.8 %   
People's Party   Jennifer Clarke   383   3.1 %   
Liberal   Michelle Corfield   1,298   10.6 %   
Conservative   John Hirst   2,947   24.0 %   
National Citizens Alliance   Jakob Letkemann   17   0.1 %   
Green Party   Paul Manly   4,751   38.7 %   
PC Party   Brian Marlatt   83   0.7 %
Logged
136or142
Adam T
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 7,434
« Reply #123 on: May 06, 2019, 11:57:04 PM »

105 polls

NDP-New Democratic Party   Bob Chamberlin   2,908   22.7 %   
People's Party   Jennifer Clarke   403   3.1 %   
Liberal   Michelle Corfield   1,359   10.6 %   
Conservative   John Hirst   3,090   24.1 %   
National Citizens Alliance   Jakob Letkemann   19   0.1 %   
Green Party   Paul Manly   4,966   38.7 %   
PC Party   Brian Marlatt   85   0.7 %
Logged
136or142
Adam T
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 7,434
« Reply #124 on: May 06, 2019, 11:58:27 PM »

110 polls
   
NDP-New Democratic Party   Bob Chamberlin   3,070   22.7 %   
People's Party   Jennifer Clarke   428   3.2 %   
Liberal   Michelle Corfield   1,446   10.7 %   
Conservative   John Hirst   3,265   24.1 %   
National Citizens Alliance   Jakob Letkemann   20   0.1 %   
Green Party   Paul Manly   5,214   38.5 %   
PC Party   Brian Marlatt   90   0.7 %
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