Post Random Maps Here 3.0

[Kahane's Grave Is A Gender-Neutral Bathroom]

0.76% national Clinton swing (most she could get and still lose):

Trump/Pence: 270 EV/45.33% PV
Clinton/Kaine: 268 EV/48.94% PV

Senate stays the same.

In the House the dems gain one seat (Issa's)

FLIPPED:

Trump/Pence: 310 EV/46.85% PV
Clinton/Kaine: 228 EV/47.42% PV

Senate:
NH is R-HOLD

House:
R FLIPS in MN-1 and 8

[Kahane's Grave Is A Gender-Neutral Bathroom]

1.09% Swing toward Trump (minimum for him to win the popular vote):


Trump/Pence: 310 EV/47.18% PV
Clinton/Kaine: 228 EV/47.17% PV

Senate: NH is R hold.
House: Two R flips in Minnesota

Opposite:

Clinton/Kaine: 278 EV/49.25% PV
Trump/Pence: 260 EV/45.00% PV

Senate: Same.

House: one flip.

[Kahane's Grave Is A Gender-Neutral Bathroom]

2016 if Joe Biden.

Biden/Kaine: 359 EV/52.7% PV
Trump/Pence: 179 EV/46.9% PV

Senate:

D+5

House:
D+28

[Kahane's Grave Is A Gender-Neutral Bathroom]

COMRADE DONNIE DOES POLITICS, PART I

Donald Trump (1946-)
-NY State Senator: December 20, 1971-January 1, 1973
-U.S. Representative: January 3, 1973-January 3, 1981
-U.S. Senator: January 3, 1981-January 3, 1993
--Chair of the DSCC: 1991-1993
-Governor of NY: January 12, 1995-January 10, 2003
-U.S. Senator: January 3, 2005-January 3, 2011
-President of the United States: January 20, 2021-

Hillary Rodham (1947-)
-Chair, Students for Goldwater: 1963-1964
-U.S. Representative: January 3, 1981-January 11, 1986
-Governor of Virginia: January 18, 1986-January 13, 1990
-RNC Chair: 1990-1993
-Governor of Virginia: January 15, 1994-January 17, 1998
-U.S. Senator: January 3, 2001-January 3, 2007
-Governor of Virginia: January 16, 2010-January 11, 2014
-President of the United States: January 20, 2017-January 20, 2021

2016 Election:

Trump/Baldwin (D): 267 EV/ 51.9% PV
Clinton/Portman (R): 271 EV/ 44.6% PV

Senate:

D: 51 (+5)
R: 49 (-5)

House:
R: 229 (-18)
D: 206 (+18)

Goverships:
R: 30 (-1)
D: 20 (+1; Holds MO and NH, Gains IN, Loses VT (CAN'T STOP THE PHIL-ING!!!))

2017:
R: 29 (-1)
D: 21 (+1)

2018:

Senate:

D: 56 (+4)
R: 44 (-4)

House:
D: 251 (+45)
R: 184 (-45)

Gubernatorial:

D: 41 (+20)
R: 9 (-20)

2019:
D: 43 (+2)
R: 7 (-2)

2020:

Trump/Harris (D): 428 EV/60.1% PV
Clinton/Pence*(R): 110 EV/37.5% PV

Senate:

D: 69 (+13)
R: 31 (-13)

House:
D: 283 (+32)
R: 152 (-32)

Governorships:
D: 43 (-)
R: 7 (-)

[Kahane's Grave Is A Gender-Neutral Bathroom]

COMRADE DONNIE DOES POLITICS, PART II

Taking office in January of 2021, Donald Trump would immediately get to work. He issued a mask mandate and gave increased funding to vaccine rollouts to fight COVID, which his predecessor thought of as a hoax (and may have been why over 600,000 Americans died of COVID by his inauguration). He also passed a $2.5T relief bill and got 70% of the populace vaccinated by mid-June. With his massive congressional majorities and high approval ratings, he could move onto liberal priorities. This included over $3.0T in infrastructure spending, universal health care, paid family leave, corporate tax reform, voting rights, and union strengthening. He also got a $15 minimum wage increase passed. Despite conservatives decrying the massive spending, most Americans saw the sub-4% unemployment rate and massively growing economy and held their noses. If some millionaires had to pay more money in taxes, who cared? They had a job and good healthcare now.

2022 Midterms:

Senate:

D: 72 (+3)
R: 28 (-3)

House:
D: 257 (-26)
R: 178 (+26)

Gubernatorial:

D: 36 (-7)
R: 14 (+7)

Comrade Donnie would continue to do #MAGA things.

[Kahane's Grave Is A Gender-Neutral Bathroom]

No defund the police:


Sanders/Gabbard vs Ryan/Whitman:

[Kahane's Grave Is A Gender-Neutral Bathroom]

1976:

✓Ford/Dole (R): 277 EV/ 48.1% PV
Carter/Mondale (D): 261 EV/ 49.8% PV

1980:

✓Chisholm/Mondale (D): 289 EV/43.2% PV
Dole/Bush (R): 219 EV/38.6% PV
Reagan/Buchanan (AF): 30 EV/7.1% PV

1984:

✓Chisholm/Mondale (D): 348 EV/ 57.9% PV
Buchanan/Tower (R): 190 EV/ 40.3% PV

[Kahane's Grave Is A Gender-Neutral Bathroom]

Bernie wins the Democratic primary:


He then loses in the general:

R: 273 EV/ 46.9% PV
D: 265 EV/ 50.1% PV

Senate:

D: 51 (+5)
R: 49 (-5)

House:
R: 231 (-16)
D: 204 (+16)

Gubernatorial:

R: 30 (-1)
D: 20 (+1)

Rubio turns out to be somewhat more competent than Trump, passing an ObamaCare repeal that gets rid of everything except the protections for people with pre-existing conditions. This only energizes leftist and rural turnout. Jeff Sessions stays in the Senate. (NOTE: AL represents MS-S). This election cycle, the bi-annual 'Democrats shoot themselves in the foot' challenge is when they primary Joe Manchin. Although resurging popularity means that Paula Jean Swearingin only loses by 20.

2017:

R: 29 (-1)
D: 21 (+1)

Senate:

D: 52 (+1)
R: 48 (-1)

House:
D: 249 (+45)
R: 186 (-45)

Gubernatorial:

D: 36 (+15)
R: 14 (-15)

The remainder of Rubio's term is not very successful, as the economy enters a recession in January of 2019 and Rubio's unpopular response (cutting social spending) nukes his approval ratings. The economy (which began to recover mid-way through the year) gets absolutely destroyed by the COVID-19 Pandemic in 2020, which despite Rubio's better-than-Trump response (Only 200k deaths) mucks his popularity further as conservatives decry 'federal overreach' and he gets a semi-tough primary challenge from Ted Cruz (who wins a few states in the deep south). Out of this emerged Andrew Yang, who brought together a massive coalition of voters to destroy Rubio.
2019:

D: 38 (+2)
R: 12 (-2)

[Kahane's Grave Is A Gender-Neutral Bathroom]

2020:

D: 374 EV/57.4% PV
R: 164 EV/40.9% PV

Senate (DC represents GA-SE):

D: 64 (+12)
R: 36 (-12)

House:
D: 262 (+13)
R: 173 (-13)

Governorships:

D: 39 (+1)
R: 11 (-1)

[Kahane's Grave Is A Gender-Neutral Bathroom]

[Kahane's Grave Is A Gender-Neutral Bathroom]

Here is a series of maps depicting the vote by racial group in the Ferguson Scenario:

White (53-47 Ferguson):

Black (95-5 Ferguson):

Hispanic (77-23 Ferguson):

Asian (76-24 Ferguson):

Other (69-31 Ferguson):

Non-White (85-15 Ferguson):

There are tables here of the Ferguson, Pryor, and Other vote by racial group in each state.

In what state did Ferguson get the highest percentage of the Black vote?

[Kahane's Grave Is A Gender-Neutral Bathroom]

2000:
Gore/Lieberman (D): 296 EV/ 49.0% PV
Bush/Danforth (R): 242 EV/ 47.2% PV

Senate:

D: 51 (+5)
R: 49 (+5)

MT: Jon Tester defeats Conrad Burns

House:
D: 219 (+8)
R: 216 (-8)

2002:

D: 51 (-)
R: 49 (-)

House:
D: 221 (+2)
R: 214 (-2)

2004:

Bush/Cheney (R): 274 EV/ 49.1%
Kerry/Boxer (D): 264 EV/ 49.9%

Senate:

D: 51 (-)
R: 49 (-)

House:
R: 230 (+16)
D: 205 (-16)

2006:

Senate:

D: 57 (+6)
R: 43 (-6)

House:
D: 248 (+43)
R: 187 (-43)

[Kahane's Grave Is A Gender-Neutral Bathroom]

2008:


Obama/Biden (D): 453 EV/ 55.9% PV
McCain/Palin (R): 185 EV/ 42.9% PV

SENATE:

D: 67 (+10)
R: 33 (-10)

House:
D: 281 (+33)
R: 154 (-33)

2010:

Senate:

D: 61 (-6)
R: 39 (+6)

House:
R: 228 (+74)
D: 207 (-74)

2012:

Obama/Biden (D): 375 EV/ 53.9% PV
Romney/Ryan (R): 163 EV/ 44.9% PV

Senate:

D: 62 (+1)
R: 38 (-2)

House:
D: 237 (+30)
R: 198 (-30)

2014:

Senate:

D: 54 (-8)
R: 46 (+8)

House:
R: 239 (+41)
D: 196 (-41)

2016:

Clinton/Heinrich (D): 335 EV/ 50.2% PV
Trump/Pence (R): 203 EV/ 44.9% PV

Senate:

D: 58 (+4)
R: 42 (-4)

House:
D: 235 (+39)
R: 200 (-39)

2018:

Senate:

R: 51 (+10)
D: 49 (-10)

House:
R: 258 (+58)
D: 177 (-58)

[Kahane's Grave Is A Gender-Neutral Bathroom]

As I've done with the 1988, 1992, and 1996 elections, I'm now comparing the OTL 2004 election to the Ferguson Scenario:



As noted previously, Ferguson won 2,326 counties as compared to Pryor's 817. Comparing to the OTL 2004 election, all 588 counties (100.00%) carried by John Kerry that year vote for Ferguson, with Ferguson running ahead of Kerry in virtually all of these counties, as far as I can tell. Ferguson also wins 1,738 counties (68.02%) that were carried by George W. Bush, a sweeping majority of the counties Bush carried. This includes every Bush county in Alaska, Connecticut, Delaware, Illinois, Maine, New Hampshire, New Jersey, New York, and Vermont. Kerry did not win any counties in Oklahoma or Utah (both of which are carried by Ferguson), meaning all Democratic counties in those states are Bush-Ferguson counties. Kerry does outperform Ferguson in some parts of the rural Deep South (i.e., Northern Alabama, Northern Georgia, the Florida Panhandle). All 817 counties carried by Pryor were also won by Bush.

Ferguson obtains a higher percentage than Kerry in every state and in the District of Columbia. The differences are more minute in most of the Deep South, but are much more significant elsewhere. Texas, the home state of Bush and Ferguson, has completely inverse voting patterns (61.09% Bush and 63.32% Ferguson), and has the greatest number of Bush-Ferguson counties (220). Nine of Bush's ten best states (bar Alabama) vote for Ferguson, with Ferguson exceeding Kerry's percentage in those states by an average of 20%.

In Alaska and Utah, the difference is ~30%, with Ferguson obtaining 65.91% in Alaska (versus Kerry's 35.52%) and 54.86% in Utah (versus Kerry's 26.00%). Wyoming is 56.56% Ferguson but only 29.07% Kerry; Idaho 50.92% Ferguson and 30.26% Kerry; Nebraska 52.61% Ferguson and 32.68% Kerry; Oklahoma 55.75% Ferguson and 34.43% Kerry; North Dakota 57.97% Ferguson and 35.50% Kerry; and Kansas 54.09% Ferguson and 36.62% Kerry. Aside from Alaska, there are six other Bush states where Ferguson receives more than 60% of the vote (Colorado, Iowa, Kentucky, Missouri, Ohio, West Virginia). Ferguson receives over 60% in every Kerry state, over 70% in Massachusetts (the only state where Kerry broke 60%) and Hawaii, and over 80% in Rhode Island. D.C. has a more minute difference (Ferguson 92.46%, Kerry 89.18%), due to it's already overwhelming Democratic nature.

Virginia is an almost exact reverse (from 53.68% Bush to 53.54% Ferguson), as are Montana (59.07% Bush to 58.95% Ferguson), North Carolina (56.02% Bush to 56.15% Ferguson), Florida (52.10% Bush to 51.15% Ferguson), Tennessee (56.81% Bush and 55.50% Ferguson), and to a somewhat lesser extent, Arkansas (54.31% Bush to 56.06% Ferguson). New Mexico and Nevada, close Bush wins in OTL 2004, are landslide Ferguson wins in TTL 2016. New Mexico, won by Bush by 5,988 votes, goes to Ferguson by 151,521 votes. Nevada, Bush by 21,500 votes, is Ferguson by 193,117 votes. Wisconsin, another close state, won by Kerry by 11,384 votes, is Ferguson by 724,693 votes. Mississippi, the closest state in the Ferguson election, was Bush by 226,887 votes, but is Pryor by only 12,094 votes. Ferguson, despite losing Mississippi, runs nearly 10% ahead of Kerry there.

Overall, Ferguson wins 27 of Bush's 31 states and all 23 Kerry states (+D.C.), and runs ahead of Kerry in the national popular vote by 12.79% (61.05% vs. 48.26%).

From the looks of things Pryor wins ~50% in VA-10, which is interesting. Although assuming the changes from the fact that Ferguson is presumably a populist I'm surprised he doesn't carry Butler County considering OTL it went 52% Romney and without the Trump shifts I'm surprised it doesn't go with. Then again Pryor is from Alabama and from the county maps I don't really see anything indicating it would be that far off from OTL (it looks like AL is something like 59-39). Also it looks like Ferguson cracked 45% in NE-03? Wow.

[Kahane's Grave Is A Gender-Neutral Bathroom]

As I've done with the 1988, 1992, and 1996 elections, I'm now comparing the OTL 2004 election to the Ferguson Scenario:



As noted previously, Ferguson won 2,326 counties as compared to Pryor's 817. Comparing to the OTL 2004 election, all 588 counties (100.00%) carried by John Kerry that year vote for Ferguson, with Ferguson running ahead of Kerry in virtually all of these counties, as far as I can tell. Ferguson also wins 1,738 counties (68.02%) that were carried by George W. Bush, a sweeping majority of the counties Bush carried. This includes every Bush county in Alaska, Connecticut, Delaware, Illinois, Maine, New Hampshire, New Jersey, New York, and Vermont. Kerry did not win any counties in Oklahoma or Utah (both of which are carried by Ferguson), meaning all Democratic counties in those states are Bush-Ferguson counties. Kerry does outperform Ferguson in some parts of the rural Deep South (i.e., Northern Alabama, Northern Georgia, the Florida Panhandle). All 817 counties carried by Pryor were also won by Bush.

Ferguson obtains a higher percentage than Kerry in every state and in the District of Columbia. The differences are more minute in most of the Deep South, but are much more significant elsewhere. Texas, the home state of Bush and Ferguson, has completely inverse voting patterns (61.09% Bush and 63.32% Ferguson), and has the greatest number of Bush-Ferguson counties (220). Nine of Bush's ten best states (bar Alabama) vote for Ferguson, with Ferguson exceeding Kerry's percentage in those states by an average of 20%.

In Alaska and Utah, the difference is ~30%, with Ferguson obtaining 65.91% in Alaska (versus Kerry's 35.52%) and 54.86% in Utah (versus Kerry's 26.00%). Wyoming is 56.56% Ferguson but only 29.07% Kerry; Idaho 50.92% Ferguson and 30.26% Kerry; Nebraska 52.61% Ferguson and 32.68% Kerry; Oklahoma 55.75% Ferguson and 34.43% Kerry; North Dakota 57.97% Ferguson and 35.50% Kerry; and Kansas 54.09% Ferguson and 36.62% Kerry. Aside from Alaska, there are six other Bush states where Ferguson receives more than 60% of the vote (Colorado, Iowa, Kentucky, Missouri, Ohio, West Virginia). Ferguson receives over 60% in every Kerry state, over 70% in Massachusetts (the only state where Kerry broke 60%) and Hawaii, and over 80% in Rhode Island. D.C. has a more minute difference (Ferguson 92.46%, Kerry 89.18%), due to it's already overwhelming Democratic nature.

Virginia is an almost exact reverse (from 53.68% Bush to 53.54% Ferguson), as are Montana (59.07% Bush to 58.95% Ferguson), North Carolina (56.02% Bush to 56.15% Ferguson), Florida (52.10% Bush to 51.15% Ferguson), Tennessee (56.81% Bush and 55.50% Ferguson), and to a somewhat lesser extent, Arkansas (54.31% Bush to 56.06% Ferguson). New Mexico and Nevada, close Bush wins in OTL 2004, are landslide Ferguson wins in TTL 2016. New Mexico, won by Bush by 5,988 votes, goes to Ferguson by 151,521 votes. Nevada, Bush by 21,500 votes, is Ferguson by 193,117 votes. Wisconsin, another close state, won by Kerry by 11,384 votes, is Ferguson by 724,693 votes. Mississippi, the closest state in the Ferguson election, was Bush by 226,887 votes, but is Pryor by only 12,094 votes. Ferguson, despite losing Mississippi, runs nearly 10% ahead of Kerry there.

Overall, Ferguson wins 27 of Bush's 31 states and all 23 Kerry states (+D.C.), and runs ahead of Kerry in the national popular vote by 12.79% (61.05% vs. 48.26%).

From the looks of things Pryor wins ~50% in VA-10, which is interesting. Although assuming the changes from the fact that Ferguson is presumably a populist I'm surprised he doesn't carry Butler County considering OTL it went 52% Romney and without the Trump shifts I'm surprised it doesn't go with. Then again Pryor is from Alabama and from the county maps I don't really see anything indicating it would be that far off from OTL (it looks like AL is something like 59-39). Also it looks like Ferguson cracked 45% in NE-03? Wow.

Pryor does win VA-10, Ferguson does break 45% in NE-03, and Alabama is 62-38% Pryor. Pryor holds up in the Deep South, which closely resembles Obama's two elections, and holds up in Florida, losing the state by only 2.30%. But elsewhere, the changes are more dramatic. As I recall, Pryor carries three congressional districts that Biden won last year (CA-48, VA-07, and VA-10).

I presume the objective of this project is if the increasing hyper-partisanship between the 80s and 2010s never occured?

[Kahane's Grave Is A Gender-Neutral Bathroom]

Trump v Biden but Covid doesn't exist

I agree, if not for a historic pandemic Joe Biden would have just ended up being the next John Kerry.

Except he would win the popular vote.

[Kahane's Grave Is A Gender-Neutral Bathroom]

2020:

Rubio/Cruz (R): 275 EV/ 47.8% PV
Heinrich/Rice (D): 263 EV/ 50.4% PV

Senate:

R: 50 (-1)
D: 50 (+1)

House:
R: 223 (-35)
D: 212 (+35)

[Kahane's Grave Is A Gender-Neutral Bathroom]

2000:

PV: Gore +2.3 (2,300,000)

2004:

PV: Gore +1.0 (1,100,00)

2008:

PV: Obama +10.2 (12,000,000)

2012:

PV: Obama +6.0 (8,000,000)

2016:

PV: Clinton +5.7% (9,000,000)

2020:

PV: Gillibrand +4.9 (7,250,000)

2024:

PV: Bullock +12.2 (21,500,000)

2028:

PV: Bullock +20.0 (39,800,000)

2032:

PV: Kelly +23.8 (60,100,000)

2036:

PV: Ocasio-Cortez +3.0 (6,000,000)

2040:

PV: Kinzinger +0.5 (1,000,000)

[Kahane's Grave Is A Gender-Neutral Bathroom]

2016 Election:

Sanders/Warren (D): 330 EV/ 51.9% PV
Trump/Pence (R): 208 EV/ 44.9% PV

SENATE:

D: 54 (+8)
R: 46 (-8)

HOUSE:
D: 229 (+41)
R: 206 (-41)

2018 Elections:


R: 55 (+10)
D: 45 (-10)

HOUSE:
R: 259 (+53)
D: 176 (-53)

2020:

Gingrich/Rubio (R): 46.6% PV/ 274 EV
Sanders/Warren (D): 50.0% PV/ 264 EV

SENATE:

R: 50 (-5)
D: 50 (+5)

HOUSE:
R: 230 (-29)
D: 205 (+29)

2022:

SENATE:

D: 57 (+7)
R: 43 (-7)

HOUSE:
D: 280 (+75)
R: 155 (-75)

[Kahane's Grave Is A Gender-Neutral Bathroom]

2004:

Kerry/Dean (D): 325 EV/ 52.0% PV
Bush/Cheney (R): 213 EV/ 46.3% PV

SENATE:

D: 52 (+3)
R: 48 (-3)

HOUSE:
D: 220 (+14)
R: 215 (-14)

2005-2007 Kerry Term: OTL Obamacare with moderate pricing controls and making Medicaid expansions opt-out instead of in is passed, and the deficit and debt are lower since the troops were withdrawn from Iraq and the Bush Tax Cuts were eliminated on the rich. In the period before the 2006 Election the President was able to pass a tax enforcement bill to prevent offshore tax dodging.

2006:

D: 50 (-2)
R: 50 (+2)

R: 233 (+18)
D: 202 (-18)

2007-2009: Nothing happens. Republicans obstruct most things, and only a bare-bones relief plan is pushed through. The good news is that with more banking regulations the mortgage crisis isn't as bad, and the recession hurts the average American a bit less.

KERRY SCOTUS:
CJ: Elena Kagan (2005)
AJ: Merrick Garland (2005)
AJ: Sonia Sotomayor (2006) SOUTER
AJ: Andrew Kleinfield (2006) STEVENS

2008:

Allen/Palin (R): 286 EV/ 49.7% PV
Kerry/Dean (D): 252 EV/ 48.7% PV

SENATE:

R: 53 (+3)
D: 47 (-3)

HOUSE:
R: 235 (+2)
D: 200 (-2)

===========================================================

[Kahane's Grave Is A Gender-Neutral Bathroom]

Inspired by Calthrina's Ferguson scenario, I decided to make the most reasonably insane landslide I could. I made an OC tailor-made for politics, and put the GOP in the weakest position possible.

James Roberts Smith (b. 1965)

USAF Pilot & Officer: 1986-1992 (reserves 1992-2011), top rank of Major General
-1 Medal of Honor for actions in the Gulf War
-17 other awards

B.S.c. USAF Academy
M.A. from Harvard

U.S. Representative: January 3, 1993-January 3, 1997
U.S. Senator: January 3, 1997-January 3, 2009
-Chair of the Armed Forces Committee: 2001-2003, 2007-2009

2008:

PV: Edwards +2.9%

2012:

PV: Smith +11.2

SMITH FIRST TERM:
Unemployment: 11.1% -> 3.5%
Uninsured: 19.2% -> 0.5%
Debt: $18B -> $19B (down much more in GDP% terms)
Deficit: $1.4 Trillion -> $400 Billion
GDP Growth Rate: 0.9% -> 4.9%
Average Tax Rate: 12.2% -> 12.5%
Top Tax Rate: 35% on $500,000+ -> 55% on $15,000,000+
Corporate Tax: 22% -> 22.5% but enforced
Estate Tax: N/A -> 5% on $5,000,000+, 10% on $15,000,000+, 15% on $73,500,000+
Health Care/Capita: $11,000 -> $6,500
Job Approvals: 59% -> 80%

2016 ELECTION:

PV: Smith +24.1%

County Maps incoming.

[Kahane's Grave Is A Gender-Neutral Bathroom]

37. Barry Goldwater (R): January 20, 1969-January 20, 1977
38. John Ashbrook (R): January 20, 1977-August 10, 1980
39. Paul Laxalt (R): August 10, 1980-January 20, 1985
40. Ronald Reagan (R): January 20, 1985-December 31, 1991
41. Dan Quayle (R): December 31, 1991-January 20, 1997
42. William Cohen (D): January 20, 1997-January 20, 2005
43. George W. Bush (R): January 20, 2005-January 20, 2009
44. Barack Obama (D): January 20, 2009-January 20, 2017
45. Joe Biden (D): January 20, 2017-Present

1968:

Goldwater/Ashbrook (R): 276 EV/ 39.4% PV
Humphrey/Muskie (D): 218 EV/ 42.2% PV
McGovern/McCarthy (L): 44 EV/ 16.6% PV

1972:

Goldwater/Ashbrook (R): 270 EV/ 45.9% PV
McGovern/Chisholm (D): 268 EV/ 50.2% PV

1976:

Ashbrook/Laxalt (R): 271 EV/ 47.0% PV
Chisholm/McCarthy (D): 267 EV/ 50.5% PV

1980:

Laxalt/Reagan (R): 274 EV/ 46.2% PV
McCarthy/Muskie (D): 264 EV/ 52.9% PV

1984:

Reagan/Scott (R): 270 EV/ 45.5% PV
Muskie/Ferraro (D): 268 EV/ 53.0% PV

1988:

Reagan/Quayle (R): 274 EV/ 43.3% PV
Ferraro/Lee Ray (D): 254 EV/ 50.0% PV
Brown/Nader (H): 10 EV/ 6.4% PV

1992:

Quayle/Bush (R): 278 EV/ 35.8% PV
Clinton/Carey (D): 260 EV/ 42.0% PV
Perot/Wilder (L): 0 EV/ 22.0% PV

1996:

Cohen/Gore (D): 520 EV/ 62.1% PV
Bush/Dole (R): 18 EV/ 36.6% PV

2000:

Cohen/Gore (D): 533 EV/ 68.5% PV
Buchanan/Duke (R): 5 EV/ 29.8% PV

2004:

Bush/Danforth (R): 270 EV/ 44.4% PV
Gore/Kerry (D): 268 EV/ 53.0% PV

2008:

Obama/Bayh (D): 459 EV/ 56.6% PV
Bush/Danforth (R): 79 EV/ 42.2% PV

2012:

Obama/Bayh (D): 426 EV/ 54.9% PV
Romney/Ryan (R): 112 EV/ 43.0% PV

2016:

Biden/Harris (D): 335 EV/ 53.0% PV
Cruz/Walker (R): 203 EV/ 43.4% PV

2020:

Biden/Harris (D): 413 EV (NUT)/ 53.3% PV
Pence/Walker (R): 125 EV/ 42.0% PV

[Kahane's Grave Is A Gender-Neutral Bathroom]

2022 Midterms:

SENATE:

R: 52 (+2)
D: 48 (-2)

HOUSE:
R: 232 (+20)
D: 203 (-20)

2024:

DeSantis/Noem (R): 278 EV/ 47.7% PV
Biden/Harris (D-inc): 260 EV/ 51.0% PV (+6.3M votes)

SENATE:

R: 55 (+3)
D: 45 (-3)

HOUSE:
R: 224 (-8)
D: 211 (+8)

2026:

SENATE:

D: 51 (+6)
R: 49 (-6)

HOUSE:
D: 241 (+30)
R: 194 (-30)

2028:

Abrams/Pappas (D): 377 EV/ 53.4% PV (+15.4M votes)
DeSantis/Noem (R-inc): 161 EV/ 44.9% PV

SENATE:

D: 57 (+6)
R: 43 (-6)

HOUSE:
D: 244 (+3)
R: 191 (-3)

LIST OF PRESIDENTS:
46. Joe Biden/Kamala Harris (D): January 20, 2021-January 20, 2025
2020: def. Donald Trump/Mike Pence (R-inc)
47. Ron DeSantis/Kirsti Noem (R): January 20, 2025-January 20, 2029
2024: def. Joe Biden/Kamala Harris (D-inc)
48. Stacey Abrams/Chris Pappas (D): January 20, 2029-Present (2030)
2028: def. Ron DeSantis/Kirsti Noem (R-inc)

LIST OF HOUSE SPEAKERS:
Nancy Pelosi (D): January 3, 2019-January 3, 2023
Kevin McCarthy (R): January 3, 2023-January 3, 2027
Joaquin Castro (D): January 3, 2027-Present (2030)

LIST OF SENATE MAJORITY LEADERS:
Chuck Schumer (D): January 20, 2021-January 3, 2023
Mitch McConnell (R): January 3, 2023-January 3, 2027
Chuck Schumer (D): January 3, 2027-Present (2030)

[Kahane's Grave Is A Gender-Neutral Bathroom]

1. Jefferson Davis (D): 1861-1868
2. Alexander Stephens (D): 1868-1874
3. John Breckenridge (D): 1874-1880
4. Nathan Forrest (D): 1880-1886
5. Thomas Jackson (N): 1886-1892
6. James Seddon (N): 1892-1893
7. Benjamin Tillman (N): 1893-1910
8. Woodrow Wilson (D): 1910-1916
9. William McAdoo (D): 1916-1922
10. James Vardaman (N): 1922-1928
11. Alfred Hampton (N): 1928-1934
12. Huey Long (D): 1934-1946

1867:

✓Stephens/Breckenridge (D): 85 EV
Toombs/Randolph (D): 35 EV

1873:

✓Breckenridge/Forrest (D): 98 EV
Randolph/Benjamin (D): 22 EV

1879:

✓Forrest/Longstreet (D): 113 EV
Benjamin/Randolph (D): 7 EV

1885:

✓Jackson/Seddon (N): 100 EV
Longstreet/James (D): 36 EV

1891:

✓Seddon/Tillman (N): 71 EV
James/Johnson (D): 65 EV

1897:

✓Tillman/Vardaman (N): 73 EV
Adams/King (D): 69 EV

1903:

✓Tillman/Vardaman (N): UNOPPOSED

1909:

✓Wilson/James (D): 94 EV
Tillman/Vardaman (N): 39 EV

1915:

✓McAdoo/Glass (D): 142 EV/ 64.9% PV
Tillman/Hampton (N): 31 EV/ 31.9% PV

1921:

✓Vardaman/Hampton (N): 91 EV/ 45.9% PV
Glass/Johnson (D): 82 EV/ 53.3% PV

1927:

✓Hampton/Byrd (N): 88 EV/ 47.1% PV
Johnson/Long (D): 85 EV/ 50.9% PV

1933:

✓Long/Daniels (D): 159 EV/ 74.5% PV
Hampton/Byrd (N): 8 EV/ 21.1% PV

1939:

✓Long/Daniels (D): 167 EV/ 82.9% PV
Byrd/Rockwell (N): 0 EV/ 13.5% PV

[Kahane's Grave Is A Gender-Neutral Bathroom]

37. George McGovern/Hubert Humphrey (D): October 9, 1968-January 20, 1973
38. Ronald Reagan/Barry Goldwater (R): January 20, 1973-January 20, 1981
39. Barry Goldwater/Jack Kemp (R): January 20, 1981-January 20, 1989
40. Jack Kemp/Pat Robertson (R): January 20, 1989-July 16, 1991
41. Pat Robertson/VACANT (R): July 16, 1991-January 20, 1993
42. William Cohen/Al Gore (D): January 20, 1993-January 20, 2001
43. Al Gore/Hillary Rodham (D): January 20, 2001-January 20, 2005
44. John McCain/Jeb Bush (R): January 20, 2005-January 20, 2009
45. Barack Obama/Joe Biden (D): January 20, 2009-January 20, 2017
46. Joe Biden/Kamala Harris (D): January 20, 2017-Present

1968:

McGovern/Humphrey (D): 487 EV/ 56.5% PV
Goldwater/Reagan (R): 26 EV/ 38.7% PV
Wallace/LeMay (I): 4.4% PV

1972:

Reagan/Goldwater (R): 396 EV/ 54.2% PV
McGovern/Humphrey (D): 142 EV/ 44.2% PV

1976:

Reagan/Goldwater (R): 277 EV/ 50.1% PV
Udall/Carter (D): 261 EV/ 46.8% PV

1980:

Goldwater/Kemp (R): 378 EV/ 42.8% PV
Carter/Mondale (D): 89 EV/ 45.0% PV
Gravel/Chisholm (G): 71 EV/ 11.1% PV

1984:

Goldwater/Kemp (R): 272 EV/ 40.3% PV
Boucher/O'Neill (D): 178 EV/ 47.5% PV
Chisholm/Nader (G): 88 EV/ 12.0% PV

1988:

Kemp/Robertson (R): 270 EV/ 44.3% PV
Hart/Clinton (D): 268 EV/ 52.3% PV

1992:

Cohen/Gore (D): 439 EV/ 57.0% PV
Robertson/Dole (R): 99 EV/ 38.5% PV

1996:

Cohen/Gore (D): 538 EV/ 63.8% PV
Dole/Bush (R): 0 EV/ 32.2% PV

2000:

Gore/Rodham (D): 408 EV/ 54.9% PV
Bush/Cheney (R): 129 EV/ 42.7% PV

2004:

McCain/Bush (R): 269 EV/ 46.7% PV
Gore/Rodham (D): 268 EV/ 51.5% PV

2008:

Obama/Biden (D): 479 EV/ 58.0% PV
McCain/Bush (R): 59 EV/ 38.9% PV

2012:

Obama/Biden (D): 454 EV/ 60.2% PV
Palin/Gingrich (R): 84 EV/ 35.5% PV

2016:

Biden/Harris (D): 419 EV/ 54.9% PV
Trump/Pence (R): 119 EV/ 41.9% PV

2016:

Biden/Harris (D): 464 EV/ 57.0% PV
Trump/Palin (R): 74 EV/ 38.8% PV