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April 25, 2024, 04:45:34 PM
News: Election Simulator 2.0 Released. Senate/Gubernatorial maps, proportional electoral votes, and more - Read more

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  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion
  Election What-ifs? (Moderator: Dereich)
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Author Topic: Post Random Maps Here 3.0  (Read 169863 times)
Hope For A New Era
EastOfEden
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« on: May 20, 2020, 07:31:25 PM »

2022 Kansas Gubernatorial Election

Gov. Laura Kelly / Lt. Gov. Lynn Rogers
659,034 | 62.39%

Fmr. State Sen. Steve Fitzgerald / Mr. Joseph Ashby
374,700 | 35.47%

Others
22,651 | 2.14%

The dream, truly. I don’t think it’s likely, though. Most likely she wins reelection by a similar margin to 2018 (assuming Kansas Republicans remain divided).
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Hope For A New Era
EastOfEden
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Posts: 4,729


« Reply #1 on: June 29, 2020, 11:05:09 PM »


Those margins, yikes. That's an urban/rural white/nonwhite polarization nightmare. I really hope the trends never get that extreme.
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Hope For A New Era
EastOfEden
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Posts: 4,729


« Reply #2 on: September 06, 2020, 06:53:26 AM »


Former Vice President Joseph Robinette Biden (Democratic, Delaware) / Senator Kamala Devi Harris (Democratic, California) 413 electoral votes, 56% popular votes
President Michael Richard Pence (Republican, Indiana) / Vice President Nimrata Nikki Haley (Republican, South Carolina) 125 electoral votes, 41% popular votes
Others (Various) 0 electoral votes, 3% popular votes

Montana and Kansas as the narrowest Republican wins, with Utah deep into the R. Interesting.
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Hope For A New Era
EastOfEden
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Posts: 4,729


« Reply #3 on: September 11, 2020, 10:16:45 PM »

I'm not shocked that Minnesota's support is low. It's "a blue state" because it's economically progressive, not because it's "woke."

Oregon and Nebraska are very shocking, though.
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Hope For A New Era
EastOfEden
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« Reply #4 on: September 19, 2020, 02:00:21 PM »

A variant of NHI's maps:

please ignore the names on top, these are lazy 270towin maps

2016: We All Know What Happened



   Clinton/Kaine 232 (48.2%)
✓ Trump/Pence 306 (46.1%)


2020: The Bidenslide



✓ Biden/Harris 413 (53.4%)
   Trump/Pence 125 (44.6%)


2024: They Just Can't Let Go



✓ Biden/Harris 467 (50.1%)
   Pence/DeSantis 65 (34.6%)
   Trump/Boebert 6 (12.4%)

The Republican primary in 2024 goes similarly to the Democratic primary in 2020 - in a large field, candidates take turns surging and then collapsing until the party eventually settles for Pence. Trump refuses to end his run even after the Republican party begs him to, and claims the party has abandoned him/"the real America"/etc. Pence chooses hardcore Trumpist DeSantis, one of the many who flopped in the primary, as his running mate in an attempt to weaken Trump's run. It gains him a few points in the polls, but not enough to change anything significantly.

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Hope For A New Era
EastOfEden
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« Reply #5 on: October 19, 2020, 07:19:58 PM »
« Edited: October 28, 2020, 10:52:18 PM by EastOfEden »


Former President Barack Hussein Obama (Democratic, Illinois) / Senator Tammy Suzanne Green Baldwin (Democratic, Wisconsin) 457 electoral votes, 58% popular votes
President Donald John Trump (Republican, Florida) / Vice President Michael Richard Pence (Republican, Indiana) 81 electoral votes, 40% popular votes
Others (Various) 0 electoral votes, 2% popular votes

It's all your fault we can't have this, Truman!


edit: to clarify, I meant the Truman who imposed the two-term limit, not the Truman who posted that
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Hope For A New Era
EastOfEden
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« Reply #6 on: November 03, 2020, 04:30:43 PM »



Coasts (D) - 310 EV
Heartland (R) - 228 EV

So yeah going full coastal elitist might actually be a good strategy for the Democratic Party.

I hate the Senate.
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Hope For A New Era
EastOfEden
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« Reply #7 on: November 13, 2020, 02:11:09 PM »

Ossoff Elected First Jewish President



Ossoff-386
Dan Sullivan-152

Ossoff is a much better fit for Iowa than for Ohio or Missouri.

Also, Stephen Webber? lol, no chance. No chance of him becoming governor, or of being chosen as a running mate, or of swinging the state.
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Hope For A New Era
EastOfEden
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Posts: 4,729


« Reply #8 on: November 13, 2020, 04:33:36 PM »

Ossoff Elected First Jewish President



Ossoff-386
Dan Sullivan-152

Ossoff is a much better fit for Iowa than for Ohio or Missouri.

Also, Stephen Webber? lol, no chance. No chance of him becoming governor, or of being chosen as a running mate, or of swinging the state.

Stephen Webber flips MO and he has appeal in Ohio. Iowa becomes too evangelical for Ossoff to win there. However, Sullivan wins FL because he picks Ashley Moody as his VP

No place in this country is ever going to become more evangelical between now and this hypothetical map.
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Hope For A New Era
EastOfEden
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Posts: 4,729


« Reply #9 on: November 26, 2020, 02:56:36 AM »

Law and Order Party Wins Election, Breezing Off Republicans and Democrats


Ex-Rep. Vito Fossella (I-N.Y.)/State Rep. Martina White (I-Pa.)-271 EV/44.5%
Rep. Alexandria Ocasio Cortez (D-N.Y.)/Rep. Mark Pocan (D-Wis.)-144 EV/37.3%
Rep. Jim Jordan (R-OH)/Gov. Kristi Noem (R-S.D.)-123 EV/18.4%

Fossella becomes the first Italian American president elected, and Martina White becomes the second female vice president elected.
Fossella runs on an aggressive law and order strategy, calling for the death penalty on protesters and other groups.

This app makes no sense.
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Hope For A New Era
EastOfEden
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 4,729


« Reply #10 on: November 26, 2020, 02:31:38 PM »

Law and Order Party Wins Election, Breezing Off Republicans and Democrats


Ex-Rep. Vito Fossella (I-N.Y.)/State Rep. Martina White (I-Pa.)-271 EV/44.5%
Rep. Alexandria Ocasio Cortez (D-N.Y.)/Rep. Mark Pocan (D-Wis.)-144 EV/37.3%
Rep. Jim Jordan (R-OH)/Gov. Kristi Noem (R-S.D.)-123 EV/18.4%

Fossella becomes the first Italian American president elected, and Martina White becomes the second female vice president elected.
Fossella runs on an aggressive law and order strategy, calling for the death penalty on protesters and other groups.

This app makes no sense.

Why? An Independent has a chance to 270 electoral votes by running an effective campaign.

There is no world in which Iowa and Illinois vote more “law and order” than Missouri. There is no world in which Colorado and Oregon vote “law and order,” ever.

Among many other problems.
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Hope For A New Era
EastOfEden
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 4,729


« Reply #11 on: January 25, 2022, 02:34:53 PM »



------------------------------------------------

2016 president



2016 senate



2016 gov



2018 senate



2018 gov



*2017 and 2019 gubernatorial elections are identical to our timeline in terms of winners, all results shifted slightly to the left

2020 president



2020 senate



2020 gov



Results after 2020:

Senate: 53D-47R
28 governorships

Headlines:

"Filibuster removed"

"2020 redistricting has the fairest maps in decades"

"Build Back Better passed, work beginning on Public Option"

etc, etc


So close to the good timeline, yet so far...

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