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Author Topic: Post Random Maps Here 3.0  (Read 166809 times)
BigVic
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« Reply #1450 on: May 09, 2022, 09:36:15 PM »

2020 but ALL states use the Maine System



What a way to gerrymander the electoral college
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Liminal Trans Girl
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« Reply #1451 on: May 10, 2022, 09:01:31 AM »

2020 but States distribute by State Popular Vote
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Liminal Trans Girl
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« Reply #1452 on: May 10, 2022, 03:29:47 PM »

2016 but ALL states distribute by State Popular Vote(In case of a tie, I prefer whomever received more votes)

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bagelman
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« Reply #1453 on: May 11, 2022, 05:05:04 AM »



Very narrow election in favor of the socially conservative Republican. Democrats regain a considerable portion of the WWC vote and the GOP regains a considerable share of the upper middle class educated vote.
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Liminal Trans Girl
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« Reply #1454 on: May 11, 2022, 10:38:07 AM »

2012 but States distribute by State Popular Vote

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Politician
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« Reply #1455 on: May 11, 2022, 11:17:00 AM »

2020 with reverse trends

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LeonelBrizola
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« Reply #1456 on: May 11, 2022, 11:43:50 AM »

Ed Donnell, US Senator for Virginia runs a campaign supportive of green energy, campaign finance reform, free and fair trade, healthcare reform, and tax cuts.

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Liminal Trans Girl
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« Reply #1457 on: May 12, 2022, 10:08:03 AM »

2000:

2004:

2008:

2012:

2016:

2020:
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LeonelBrizola
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« Reply #1458 on: May 14, 2022, 10:43:54 AM »

Imaginary politician and Paleoconservative governor of Iowa (1981-1989) who later became Senator (2003-)

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Liminal Trans Girl
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« Reply #1459 on: May 17, 2022, 10:43:09 AM »

1924 if it was held today
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LeonelBrizola
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« Reply #1460 on: May 18, 2022, 04:42:50 PM »

Another fictional character, economically centre-left and socially centre-right populist and US Senator for Iowa matched against Charlie Baker
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LeonelBrizola
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« Reply #1461 on: May 18, 2022, 04:43:23 PM »

Edwards won SC
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bagelman
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« Reply #1462 on: May 18, 2022, 05:21:52 PM »



My silly and unserious attempt at this
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LeonelBrizola
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« Reply #1463 on: May 19, 2022, 05:33:38 AM »

Lmao
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Liminal Trans Girl
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« Reply #1464 on: May 19, 2022, 10:41:24 AM »

2008 but Trump is a Dem:
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Boobs
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« Reply #1465 on: May 22, 2022, 03:52:05 PM »



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Boobs
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« Reply #1466 on: May 22, 2022, 07:50:06 PM »

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Kahane's Grave Is A Gender-Neutral Bathroom
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« Reply #1467 on: May 22, 2022, 09:07:55 PM »

2016 United States Presidential Election (Round One):

✓Mr. Donald Trump/Gov. Mike Pence (R): 249 EV/ 20.4% PV
✓Sen. Bernie Sanders/Rep. Tulsi Gabbard (G): 128 EV/ 26.0% PV
Fmr. Sec. Hillary Clinton/Sen. Tim Kaine (D):110 EV/ 34.2% PV
Gov. John Kasich/Gov. Chris Christie (U): 51 EV/ 19.1% PV

2016 United States Presidential Election (Round Two):

✓Mr. Donald Trump/Gov. Mike Pence (R): 273 EV/ 46.2% PV
Sen. Bernie Sanders/Rep. Tulsi Gabbard (G): 264 EV/ 53.8% PV

2020 United States Presidential Election (Round One):

✓Pres. Donald Trump/Vice Pres. Mike Pence (R): 267 EV/ 21.2% PV
✓Mr. Tom Steyer/Sen. Kamala Harris (G): 207 EV/ 39.0% PV
Fmr. Mayor Mike Bloomberg/Sen. Amy Klobuchar (D): 37 EV/ 19.4% PV
Fmr. Gov. Larry Hogan/Fmr. Sen. Jeff Flake (A): 27 EV/ 20.0% PV

2016 United States Presidential Election (Round Two):

✓Mr. Tom Steyer/Sen. Kamala Harris (G): 431 EV/ 67.4% PV
Pres. Donald Trump/Vice Pres. Mike Pence (R): 107 EV/ 32.6% PV

2016:
ROUND ONE: November 1, 2016
-Debate: November 8, 2016
-VP Debate: November 11, 2016
-Debate: November 15, 2016
ROUND TWO: November 22, 2016
Mandatory Recount: November 25-December 2, 2016
Under 1% Recount: December 3, 2016-December 8, 2016
Recount Overturned: December 8, 2016
Appeal Fails: December 9, 2016
Certification Issued: December 14, 2016
Electoral Votes Cast: December 16, 2016
Electoral Votes Certified: January 6, 2017
Inauguration: January 20, 2017

2020:
ROUND ONE: October 27, 2020
-Debate: November 3, 2020
-VP Debate: November 6, 2020
-Debate: November 10, 2020
ROUND TWO: November 17, 2020
Recount Request Denied: November 18, 2020
Results Certified: November 24, 2020
Legal Appeals Fail: November 24, 2020-January 8, 2021
Electoral Votes Cast: December 16, 2020
Electoral Votes Certified: January 6, 2021-January 7, 2021
Inauguration: January 20, 2021


2016 POLLING AVERAGES:
Dec. 2015: Clinton 52%, Trump 32% (D+20)
Jan. 2016: Clinton 53%, Trump 32% (D+21)
Feb. 2016: Clinton 50%, Trump 31% (D+19)
Mar. 2016: Clinton 45%, Trump 30%, Sanders 7% (D+15)
Apr. 2016: Clinton 43%, Trump 29%, Sanders 16% (D+14)
May. 2016: Clinton 40%, Trump 30%, Sanders 22% (D+10)
Jun. 2016: Clinton 38%, Trump 31%, Sanders 24% (D+7)
Jul. 2016: Clinton 37%, Trump 31%, Sanders 24% (D+7)
-John Kasich Announces Candidacy
-DNC
-RNC
Aug. 2016: Clinton 42%, Sanders 25%, Trump 19%, Kasich 19% (D+17)
Sep. 7: Clinton 33%, Kasich 28%, Sanders 24%, Trump 18% (D+5)
Sep. 14: Kasich 32%, Clinton 30%, Sanders 20%, Trump 19% (U+2)
Sep. 21: Kasich 39%, Clinton 22%, Sanders 18%, Trump 17% (U+15)
Sep. 27: Kasich 49%, Clinton 14%, Sanders 14%, Trump 11% (U+35)
Oct. 1: Kasich 52%, Clinton 13%, Sanders 12%, Trump 11% (U+39)
-Bridgegate Comes Out
Oct. 7: Kasich 42%, Clinton 20%, Trump 13%, Sanders 12% (U+22)
Oct. 14: Kasich 33%, Clinton 27%, Trump 14%, Sanders 13% (U+6)
-Chris Christie lied about Bridgegate to FBI
Oct. 21: Clinton 30%, Trump 22%, Kasich 19%, Sanders 16% (D+8)
Oct. 28: Clinton 30%, Trump 20%, Sanders 18%, Kasich 18% (D+10)
Oct. 29: Clinton 31%, Sanders 20%, Trump 18%, Kasich 17% (D+11)
Oct. 30: Clinton 31%, Sanders 21%, Kasich 18%, Trump 16% (D+10)
Oct. 31: Clinton 32%, Sanders 21%, Kasich 17%, Trump 17% (D+11)
Nov. 1: Clinton 32%, Sanders 23%, Trump 18%, Kasich 15% (D+9)
RESULTS: Clinton 34%, Sanders 26%, Trump 20%, Kasich 19% (D+8)
Nov. 1: Sanders 43%, Trump 22% (G+21)
Nov. 7: Sanders 46%, Trump 28% (G+18)
Nov. 14: Sanders 47%, Trump 33% (G+14)
Nov. 19: Sanders 47%, Trump 36% (G+11)
Nov. 20: Sanders 48%, Trump 38% (G+10)
Nov. 21: Sanders 50%, Trump 42% (G+8)
Nov. 22: Sanders 51%, Trump 42% (G+9)
RESULTS: Sanders 54%, Trump 46% (G+7)

2020 POLLING AVERAGES:
Nov. 2019: Steyer 20%, Trump 14% (G+6)
Dec. 2019: Steyer 29%, Trump 19% (G+10)
Jan. 2020: Steyer 30%, Bloomberg 20%, Trump 20% (G+10)
Feb. 2020: Bloomberg 28%, Steyer 28%, Trump 19% (TIE)
Mar. 2020: Steyer 29%, Bloomberg 28%, Trump 19% (G+1)
Apr. 2020: Steyer 32%, Bloomberg 25%, Trump 20% (G+7)
May. 2020: Steyer 34%, Bloomberg 24%, Trump 18% (G+10)
Jun. 2020: Steyer 31%, Trump 17%, Bloomberg 17%, Hogan 11% (G+14)
Jul. 2020: Steyer 30%, Trump 19%, Hogan 19%, Bloomberg 18% (G+11)
Aug. 2020: Steyer 33%, Trump 20%, Hogan 18%, Bloomberg 18% (G+13)
Sep. 2020: Steyer 34%, Trump 19%, Bloomberg 19%, Hogan 18% (G+15)
Oct. 1: Steyer 35%, Bloomberg 19%, Trump 18%, Hogan 18% (G+16)
Oct. 7: Steyer 38%, Hogan 20%, Bloomberg 18%, Trump 17% (G+18)
Oct. 14: Steyer 40%, Hogan 19%, Trump 18%, Bloomberg 18% (G+21)
Oct. 21: Steyer 39%, Hogan 19%, Trump 19%, Bloomberg 16% (G+20)
Oct. 25: Steyer 38%, Hogan 19%, Trump 18%, Bloomberg 17% (G+19)
Oct. 26: Steyer 38%, Hogan 20%, Trump 19%, Bloomberg 19% (G+18)
Oct. 27: Steyer 39%, Hogan 20%, Trump 19%, Bloomberg 18% (G+19)
RESULTS: Steyer 39%, Trump 21%, Hogan 20%, Bloomberg 19% (G+18)
Nov. 1: Steyer 52%, Trump 22% (G+30)
Nov. 7: Steyer 60%, Trump 25% (G+35)
Nov. 14: Steyer 69%, Trump 24% (G+45)
Nov. 19: Steyer 70%, Trump 20% (G+50)
Nov. 20: Steyer 72%, Trump 19% (G+53)
Nov. 21: Steyer 73%, Trump 16% (G+57)
Nov. 22: Steyer 73%, Trump 18% (G+55)
RESULTS: Steyer 67%, Trump 33% (G+34)
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West_Midlander
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« Reply #1468 on: May 28, 2022, 05:49:46 PM »
« Edited: May 28, 2022, 06:11:58 PM by West_Midlander »

2504 US presidential election


2508 US presidential election

Background: Joe "Not Sure" Bauer is eventually able to get his legal name changed back to Joe Bauer but he is still often called by his nickname, "Not Sure." Climate change ravages the country with most of Florida becoming submerged and with the Mississippi River rising significantly. This contributes to falling populations along the Gulf Coast. Sea levels also rise, stifling population growth, along both oceanic coasts.

Refugees from the nuclear disaster in GA/FL pour into AL, mostly around the Birmingham and N. Alabama area. Inland states see a great influx of population and populations remain somewhat stable along the Great Lakes as water levels rise a bit there also. Southern IL/IN/OH is a refuge for many who had lived in major Great Lakes-adjacent cities. The inner and northern part of California becomes more populated, especially along the state's new coastline. Alaska has a temperate climate now and sea levels have damaged Hawaii badly while severe drought afflicts the American Southwest forcing refugees from the region into Colorado.

I imagine the global population stabilized, perhaps around 9B so the US population is around 500M or perhaps a bit higher. The electoral college/House was increased by only 17 EVs/seats by the 2500s. So each representative represents a little over 1M people (around 1.1M people). Some states badly affected by climate change have only a few hundred thousand people (e.g., Hawaii).

President Camacho won in 2504 by a wider margin than in 2500 but his weakest spots remained along the Sunbelt where climate change affected the country badly and where the drought and Dust Bowl remained prominent.

Plains states also suffered severe drought but these states still had a larger population than IOTL due to people being forced inland by turbulent weather (e.g., stronger hurricanes) and rising sea levels. Super tornadoes, however, remain a major problem in the inner part of the country and especially in the devastated Southwest. Still, conditions remained marginally better in the interior compared to the fringes of the nation.

President Bauer lost some populous inland states due to Brawndo being a major employer in those states (and others), employing 1/2 of the adult population altogether. Climate-challenged regions were also resistant to a Bauer presidency but less so than under Camacho. Bauer is on track to win re-election comfortably in 2512.
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BigVic
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« Reply #1469 on: May 28, 2022, 09:19:19 PM »

2020 but ALL states use the Maine System



What a way to gerrymander elections
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weatherboy1102
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« Reply #1470 on: May 29, 2022, 09:24:39 AM »



Donald Trump/John Edwards*: 50.2% 309 EV
John McCain/Tom Ridge: 48.1% 229 EV

*Edwards was replaced by Barack Obama after revelations about an extramarital affair Edwards had, however Edwards remained on the ballot.
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bagelman
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« Reply #1471 on: May 30, 2022, 01:20:45 PM »

Plugging actual results into 538's ye olde election calculator it had for 2020

Trump's undeserved wins:



Biden's wins:

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LeonelBrizola
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« Reply #1472 on: June 01, 2022, 02:37:53 PM »

Fictional governor of New Jersey who supported limited silver coinage, low tariffs on most products, a flat income tax, limited regulation of monopolies, and leaving workers' rights up to the states.

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Politician
Junior Chimp
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« Reply #1473 on: June 01, 2022, 02:51:30 PM »

Plugging actual results into 538's ye olde election calculator it had for 2020

Trump's undeserved wins:



Biden's wins:


They literally gave Biden a higher % chance of winning MS, MO, MT, and SC than they did Trump of winning MI or WI. Keep this in mind when you see election forecasts this cycle.
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bagelman
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« Reply #1474 on: June 02, 2022, 03:25:28 PM »

This one is based on a map posted on AAD by Crumpets showing the performance of Biden and Trump 2020 relative to that state's population density. I then turned it into a Democratic victory by flipping SD, NE, KS, IA, RI, and MI which are all the states in this election that voted right of the nation and for the Democrat at the same time. CT is the closest to the NPV, followed closely by WI. GA and TX are the closest R states. The most Democratic states are VT and AK, the most Republican is WV.



R victory version:

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