Post Random Maps Here 3.0
       |           

Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.
Did you miss your activation email?
March 28, 2024, 05:15:52 PM
News: Election Simulator 2.0 Released. Senate/Gubernatorial maps, proportional electoral votes, and more - Read more

  Talk Elections
  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion
  Election What-ifs? (Moderator: Dereich)
  Post Random Maps Here 3.0
« previous next »
Pages: 1 ... 43 44 45 46 47 [48] 49 50 51 52 53 ... 74
Author Topic: Post Random Maps Here 3.0  (Read 166789 times)
S019
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 18,254
Ukraine


Political Matrix
E: -4.13, S: -1.39

P P P

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #1175 on: April 15, 2021, 09:16:10 PM »

I want to say it has something to do with Gubernatorial Elections.

Vermont is what messes things up, unless there’s something I’m missing. Maybe it’s states by who the governor voted for, though I’d think WV would be red in that case)

Wisconsin too
Logged
BigVic
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,482
Australia


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #1176 on: April 15, 2021, 09:46:12 PM »
« Edited: April 16, 2021, 07:50:06 PM by BigVic »

A 2020 map with HRC against a strong Republican opponent



Fmr Gov John R. Kasich Jr (R-OH)/Sen. W. Mitt Romney (R-UT) 341 (51.3%)
President Hillary Clinton (D-NY)/VP Tim Kaine (D-VA)-inc 197 (46.8%)
Logged
15 Down, 35 To Go
ExtremeRepublican
Moderators
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 11,662


Political Matrix
E: 7.35, S: 5.57


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #1177 on: April 15, 2021, 10:30:02 PM »

I want to say it has something to do with Gubernatorial Elections.

This was probably the most "on the right track" guess.  It's a map (as of April 16th) of which states do and do not have statewide mask mandates, which is obviously influenced by the partisanship of the governors.

I want to say it has something to do with Gubernatorial Elections.

Vermont is what messes things up, unless there’s something I’m missing. Maybe it’s states by who the governor voted for, though I’d think WV would be red in that case)

That's an interesting note too because the handful of Republican governors who are blue are mostly more on the moderate wing.  The two red Democratic governors (WI and KS) had mask mandates overturned by other branches of state government.
Logged
Chips
Those Chips
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,245
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #1178 on: April 16, 2021, 11:08:28 AM »

A 2020 map with HRC against a strong Republican opponent



I think even Colorado might've flipped. I'm skeptical that Minnesota or Maine-AL would've flipped but I agree that Michigan, Wisconsin, New Hampshire, Pennsylvania, Nevada and Virginia would've flipped. I lean toward a 338-200 result for Kasich in this scenario.
Logged
Chips
Those Chips
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,245
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #1179 on: April 16, 2021, 11:16:17 AM »

2020: Cruz wins against incumbent Clinton.



✓ Senator Ted Cruz (R-TX)/Governor Ron DeSantis (R-FL): 308 EV. (49.61%)
President Hillary Clinton (D-NY)/Vice President Tim Kaine (D-VA): 230 EV. (48.33%)
Logged
Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 87,793
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #1180 on: April 16, 2021, 07:38:53 PM »
« Edited: April 16, 2021, 07:47:49 PM by MR. KAYNE WEST »

Gov map BACK2REALITY 52RV 49LV. Biden Approvals




Sen map amended





51/49 Senate
Logged
bagelman
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,602
United States


Political Matrix
E: -4.90, S: -4.17

P P P
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #1181 on: April 16, 2021, 10:39:12 PM »
« Edited: January 21, 2022, 04:41:27 PM by bagelman »

Around the time of the 2012 election I had a dream that this was the map the morning after:



2012 as a realigning election. Obama flips 2 states from McCain, Romney flips 8 states and 2 districts. Without his flips, Obama still would've barely won thanks to holding Florida. Texas was a huge surprise. It along with Arizona and Colorado are viewed as the prime western swing states for the future, and along with Florida pack a huge EV punch. New Hampshire and Wisconsin are also important swing states in the north. Ohio and Iowa seem to be moving to the right, while Romney may just have been a good fit for Connecticut.
Logged
bagelman
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,602
United States


Political Matrix
E: -4.90, S: -4.17

P P P
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #1182 on: April 16, 2021, 10:49:07 PM »
« Edited: January 21, 2022, 04:42:21 PM by bagelman »

A few months ago I had a dream that I was watching the 2016 election results. Romney won Pennsylvania and Wisconsin (making me really nervous), but Hillary won Ohio and Florida, so she won anyway.



Note that having Romney winning in 2012 is my innovation, the idea is that he governs as a very anti-populist Republican and Clinton wins old school margins in southeast Ohio. In Florida she loses the north by less and has decent enough hispanic outreach. In Pennsylvania, Romney wins on the back of Philadelphia's suburbs and low turnout from the city and Pittsburgh, causing Ohio's neighbor to vote for 2 straight losers. Hillary may have taken the state for granted. Romney is adored by the WOW counties and Vice President Ryan and Governor Walker are very popular in Wisconsin. Hillary focused mainly on Ohio and Florida which paid off, but also paid attention to the upper midwest. New Hampshire (R), Colorado, and Nevada were also quite close, and Virginia may still be seen as purple.
Logged
P. Clodius Pulcher did nothing wrong
razze
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,072
Cuba


Political Matrix
E: -6.52, S: -4.96


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #1183 on: April 17, 2021, 10:57:32 AM »

That was almost exactly the prediction that high school freshman aged me had for the 2016 election 4 years out. Except Hillary vs. Rubio
Logged
Chips
Those Chips
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,245
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #1184 on: April 17, 2021, 03:04:51 PM »

Romney win without Ohio, Pennsylvania or Florida:



✓ President Mitt Romney (R-MA)/Vice President Paul Ryan (R-WI): 270 EV. (48.31%)
Senator Bill Nelson (D-FL)/Senator Sherrod Brown (D-OH): 268 EV. (50.03%)
Logged
President Johnson
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 28,592
Germany


Political Matrix
E: -3.23, S: -4.70


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #1185 on: April 18, 2021, 04:04:18 PM »

1992 United States presidential election



✓ Senator Albert Arnold Gore (D-TN)/Governor William J. Clinton (D-AR): 351 EV. (52.72%)
President George H.W. Bush (R-TX)/Vice President J. Danforth Quayle (R-IN): 187 EV. (45.39%)


1996 United States presidential election



✓ President Albert Arnold Gore (D-TN)/Vice President William J. Clinton (D-AR): 462 EV. (54.49%)
Commentator Patrick J. Buchanan (R-VA)/Senator Chester Trent Lott (R-MI): 187 EV. (43.81%)


2000 United States presidential election



✓ Vice President William J. Clinton (D-AR)/Senator John F. Kerry (D-MA): 277 EV. (48.75%)
Governor George W. Bush (R-TX)/Former Defense Secretary Richard B. Cheney (R-WY): 261 EV. (47.94%)


2004 United States presidential election



✓ President William J. Clinton (D-AR)/Vice President John F. Kerry (D-MA): 301 EV. (50.66%)
Governor George W. Bush (R-TX)/Former Governor Thomas Ridge (R-PA): 261 EV. (48.21%)
Logged
bagelman
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,602
United States


Political Matrix
E: -4.90, S: -4.17

P P P
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #1186 on: April 18, 2021, 05:14:21 PM »
« Edited: April 18, 2021, 05:29:56 PM by bagelman »

A brief and convergent timeline based on this, as I continue to mine the dream thread:

I had two weird dreams the same night recently.  The first didn’t involve a politician, but another Atlas poster.  RFayette was saying a prayer while slapping me in the face really hard.  It kind of hurt, and I woke up unhappy.

After falling back asleep, I dreamt that my parents were going to host all the living presidents—plus Dick Cheney—at their house.  When I arrived, Bush 43 and Cheney were already there, asleep in front of the TV.  Cheney awakened and went over to see what my mom was cooking.  “Not what I am used to” he grumbled.  Then the former VP glanced at a picture on the wall.  “Is that [Billie] Sutton?,”  he asked.  I told him it was.  “I’m out of here,”  Cheney exclaimed as he stormed out the door.

After that, Trump arrived.  He was, actually, nice.  Then I woke up.

The POD is that President Bush suffers some sort of injury circa 2007. He is still able to preform his duties as President but delegates more responsibility to the Vice President. In the 2008 Democratic primary, Hillary Clinton is supported by a New Jersey upcoming businessman named Daniel Crumpt, but she still loses in roughly the same fashion as OTL. In the GE public sympathy for Bush is countered by dislike of Cheney after Bush chooses to resign in the late summer, and 2008 goes exactly the same for Obama. Cheney is the 44th President, Obama is the 45th and 2012 also goes the same.

In 2015 Daniel Crumpt, formally a Democrat, enters the GOP primary. An outsider candidate, Crumpt wins the nomination and the general election against his formally favored candidate Hillary Clinton. The election is slightly different from OTL:



Daniel Crumpt (R-NJ), as the 46th President, is similar in many ways to Donald Trump (who in this timeline suffers various indictments) but less corrupt. He also learns to be a better adminstrator and person over time. In 2020 he totally changes in personality to lead the country through difficult times, while Joe Biden declines to run for President. Democrats nominate a less effective candidate and lose the popular vote in 2020. Crumpt's second term will expire in 2025.



President Crumpt is more popular than ever, and the dislike towards President Bush is increasingly a thing of the past. President Cheney however remains an outspoken right winger and neoconservative critical of Crumpt, along with his daughter who just like OTL is Wyoming's congresswoman.

Also Billie Sutton won the gubernatorial race in South Dakota, as his opponent was tarred as a radical much further right than the President. He is up for reelection in 2022. The 2018 election in SD was seen as a major defeat for Cheney's wing of the GOP, and Cheney still occasionally makes public criticisms of Governor Sutton.
Logged
CookieDamage
cookiedamage
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 3,996


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #1187 on: April 20, 2021, 01:40:29 PM »

2024


2028


2032


2036


2040


2044


2048


2052

Logged
President Johnson
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 28,592
Germany


Political Matrix
E: -3.23, S: -4.70


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #1188 on: April 20, 2021, 04:06:24 PM »

1992 United States presidential election



✓ Senator Albert Arnold Gore (D-TN)/Governor William J. Clinton (D-AR): 351 EV. (52.72%)
President George H.W. Bush (R-TX)/Vice President J. Danforth Quayle (R-IN): 187 EV. (45.39%)


1996 United States presidential election



✓ President Albert Arnold Gore (D-TN)/Vice President William J. Clinton (D-AR): 462 EV. (54.49%)
Commentator Patrick J. Buchanan (R-VA)/Senator Chester Trent Lott (R-MI): 187 EV. (43.81%)


2000 United States presidential election



✓ Vice President William J. Clinton (D-AR)/Senator John F. Kerry (D-MA): 277 EV. (48.75%)
Governor George W. Bush (R-TX)/Former Defense Secretary Richard B. Cheney (R-WY): 261 EV. (47.94%)


2004 United States presidential election



✓ President William J. Clinton (D-AR)/Vice President John F. Kerry (D-MA): 301 EV. (50.66%)
Governor George W. Bush (R-TX)/Former Governor Thomas Ridge (R-PA): 261 EV. (48.21%)

2008 United States presidential election



✓ Senator Fred Thompson (R-TN)/Senator John S. McCain (R-AZ): 338 EV. (52.19%)
Vice President John F. Kerry (D-MA)/Governor Jennifer Granholm (D-MI): 200 EV. (45.06%)


2012 United States presidential election



✓ President Fred Thompson (R-TN)/Governor Thomas W. Corbett (R-PA): 304 EV. (50.88%)
Senator Hillary Rodham Clinton (D-NY)/Senator Mark Warner (D-VA): 234 EV. (47.21%)

* Vice President McCain declined to seek reelection


2016 United States presidential election



✓ President Thomas W. Corbett (R-PA)/Vice President Margareth Whitman (R-CA): 280 EV. (48.92%)
Former Governor Deval Patrick (D-MA)/Senator Martin Heinrich (D-NM): 258 EV. (49.36%)

* President Thompson died in office in November 2015


2020 United States presidential election



✓ Governor Kathleen Hochul (D-NY)/Representative Robert Francis O'Rourke (D-TX): 321 EV. (52.23%)
President Thomas W. Corbett (R-PA)/Vice President Marageth Whitman (R-CA): 217 EV. (46.18%)
Logged
Canis
canis
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 3,509


Political Matrix
E: -5.03, S: -6.26

P P P

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #1189 on: April 21, 2021, 03:03:21 AM »
« Edited: April 25, 2021, 04:39:33 PM by Canis »

Inspired by these 2 twitter threads of maps


2016 if the popular vote was a 3 way tie between Hillary Clinton Donald Trump And Gary Johnson
Clinton 33% (-15.02) vs Trump 33% (-12.93) vs Johnson (+29.73)

Quite a few states were nearly 3 way ties and Johnson came in second in many states interesting how his coalition compares to Naders and Perots.
One of the coolest results was how Johnson won maine at large despite losing both cds Johnson was a close second in both the first and the second which was enough for him to narrowly carrow the state while losing both CDs. 
Logged
Biden his time
Abdullah
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 4,644
United States


P P P
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #1190 on: April 21, 2021, 11:32:12 AM »
« Edited: April 23, 2021, 09:10:36 AM by Abdullah »

Sherrod Brown vs. J.D. Vance, 2028


Image Link



[D] Sherrod Brown/Jim Hood - 420 Electoral Votes - 52.5% of the popular vote

[R] J.D. Vance/Charlie Baker - 118 Electoral Votes - 44.4% of the popular vote

Brown/Hood overperform with Latinos, Asians, African-Americans, and Working-Class Whites.

Vance/Baker overperform with College-Educated Whites.

Why? Just for fun.



This scenario was made with the FiveThirtyEight tool:

"What would it take to flip states in the 2016 election?".

Make your own.
Logged
darklordoftech
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 12,389
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #1191 on: April 23, 2021, 01:16:07 AM »

1980 if Ford won in 1976:

Logged
BigVic
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,482
Australia


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #1192 on: April 23, 2021, 05:04:28 AM »
« Edited: April 23, 2021, 10:08:39 AM by BigVic »

Alternate 2020 with HRC President
.



Speaker of the House Paul D. Ryan (R-WI)/Fmr Gov. Nikki Haley 269 (45.8%)
President Hillary R. Clinton (D-NY)/Vice President Timothy M. Kaine (D-VA) 269 (49.36%)(I)

Logged
darklordoftech
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 12,389
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #1193 on: April 23, 2021, 08:12:05 PM »

1968 if the Vietnam War didn’t happen:

Logged
P. Clodius Pulcher did nothing wrong
razze
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,072
Cuba


Political Matrix
E: -6.52, S: -4.96


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #1194 on: April 25, 2021, 03:27:11 PM »

1968 if the Vietnam War didn’t happen:

Your map inspired me. Hope it's ok to steal your '68 for this!

Shading represents flips, NYT-style

1968

1972

1976

1980

1984


Logged
P. Clodius Pulcher did nothing wrong
razze
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,072
Cuba


Political Matrix
E: -6.52, S: -4.96


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #1195 on: April 25, 2021, 03:28:04 PM »

Part 2:

1988

1992

1996

2000

2004

2008

2012

2016

2020
Logged
President of the civil service full of trans activists
Peebs
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 15,926
United States



Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #1196 on: April 28, 2021, 08:29:42 PM »



Results of the 24th Census if the House kept growing after 1913.



And the actual EC results.
Logged
Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 87,793
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #1197 on: May 02, 2021, 12:35:19 PM »
« Edited: May 02, 2021, 12:52:59 PM by MR. KAYNE WEST »

Gov map NET 0 GAINS



SEN map 52/48 Net 2



Govs after 2022 27 Rs 23 D




No more hackish maps since TX 06
Logged
BigVic
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,482
Australia


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #1198 on: May 03, 2021, 09:22:25 PM »
« Edited: May 04, 2021, 02:37:00 AM by BigVic »

2020 Hillary vs Mike Pence




Fmr. Gov Michael R. Pence R-IN/Gov. Ron De Santis (R-FL) 305 (46.03%)
President Hillary R. Clinton (D-NY)/VP Timothy M. Kaine (D-NY) 233 (I) (48.39%)
Logged
bagelman
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,602
United States


Political Matrix
E: -4.90, S: -4.17

P P P
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #1199 on: May 04, 2021, 03:06:27 AM »
« Edited: January 21, 2022, 04:42:50 PM by bagelman »

2000 swings doubled for 2004


President Gore, unlike Carter, would be vindicated in the eyes of the average American. Even so, the nation was ready for a change in attitude and leadership. Americans particularly wanted a new direction in foreign policy. McCain steered away from Bush '00 religious right rhetoric and won over moderate Yankee Republicans, winning Vermont.

Closest flips were Pennsylvania and Washington.
Logged
Pages: 1 ... 43 44 45 46 47 [48] 49 50 51 52 53 ... 74  
« previous next »
Jump to:  


Login with username, password and session length

Terms of Service - DMCA Agent and Policy - Privacy Policy and Cookies

Powered by SMF 1.1.21 | SMF © 2015, Simple Machines

Page created in 0.101 seconds with 12 queries.