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Author Topic: Post Random Maps Here 3.0  (Read 166792 times)
bagelman
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« Reply #950 on: December 15, 2020, 04:52:53 PM »
« edited: January 21, 2022, 04:54:30 PM by bagelman »



2020 averaged out with 2008 ending up worse than OTL 2020 despite a larger PV margin for Biden.



2020 averaged with 2004 though is a D+1 PV win, less than half of 2016's margin, and is still a bare win.
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If my soul was made of stone
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« Reply #951 on: December 15, 2020, 07:28:44 PM »

The battle of the big Democratic losers of the late 20th century, as interpreted by Google Trends data since 2004:

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CookieDamage
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« Reply #952 on: December 15, 2020, 10:49:52 PM »

1972 Election



1976 Election


1980 Election

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CookieDamage
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« Reply #953 on: December 15, 2020, 11:13:28 PM »
« Edited: December 16, 2020, 01:03:36 AM by CookieDamage »

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GM Team Member and Senator WB
weatherboy1102
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« Reply #954 on: December 15, 2020, 11:55:46 PM »

When the Civil Rights Act arrived back in the Senate with a big red "VETO" from President Nixon, American politics changed forever.

The ruling Republican-Democrats fell into infighting, which only grew as Nixon was forced to resign, followed by JFK's assassination leaving John McCormack in the white house.

But even among this chaos no one expected Kennedy's brother Robert to switch sides. And yet that he did, becoming the voice of the NPP's social democrats.

Riding a wave of northern anger and southern indifference to the RDs, RFK won big against Utah Senator Bennett (even carrying the Senator's home state narrowly, in a humiliating blow) becoming the first NPP president.





Kennedy took no time to enact his agenda. First passing the Civil Rights Act with help from progressive Republicans, while winning both South Africa and Indonesia. He focused on labor rights next, passing a greater minimum wage as well as repealing right-to-work. Then his gaze turned to the ever-hated treaty ports controlled by Japan, as well as the occupied Aleutians and Hawaii. With a massive oil deal, the Japanese were successfully buttered up enough to engage in talks, which ended in demilitarization of Hawaii and the Panama Canal, while all aforementioned territories were returned to the US. It was a massive victory only 2 months before the election, and carried Kennedy to the first 50 state sweep, carrying many progressive NPP senators along with him, even in the South.

Wallace had to screw it up, though, just to spite Kennedy. Wallace had lost his primary, but he made one last act as a f**k you to the President. Denying him Alabama's electoral votes. It wouldn't matter in the end, but VP Humphrey would later state that "Bobby was pretty damn pissed about it".
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BigVic
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« Reply #955 on: December 16, 2020, 03:29:52 AM »
« Edited: December 16, 2020, 03:37:10 AM by BigVic »



Blue Wall narrowly holds

2020 after four years of Hillary



I can see NV flipping thanks to Hispanic support but Hillary holds on NM and narrowly wins MN
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HomestarSB9
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« Reply #956 on: December 16, 2020, 08:20:37 PM »

1992: Perot Wins



1996: Ross Perot Back Again

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P. Clodius Pulcher did nothing wrong
razze
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« Reply #957 on: December 16, 2020, 10:29:57 PM »
« Edited: December 18, 2020, 11:40:55 PM by P. Clodius Pulcher did nothing wrong »

2036


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P. Clodius Pulcher did nothing wrong
razze
Junior Chimp
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« Reply #958 on: December 16, 2020, 11:42:21 PM »

2000


2004


2008


2012


2016
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BigVic
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« Reply #959 on: December 17, 2020, 05:38:22 AM »
« Edited: December 17, 2020, 09:39:38 AM by BigVic »

2020 - A fractured America


Pres Hillary R. Clinton (D-NY)/VP Tim M. Kaine (D-VA) 163 32.7%
Fmr Gov John R. Kasich Jr (R-OH)/Sen. W. Mitt Romney (R-UT) 144 28.1%
Mr. Donald J. Trump (IR-NY)/Ret. Neurosurgeon Ben Carson (IR-MI) 124 18.3%
Sen. Bernie Sanders (G-VT)/Rep. Tulsi Gabbard (G-HI) 107 21.6%


Who’d the House vote in this scenario

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Chips
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« Reply #960 on: December 17, 2020, 06:03:25 AM »
« Edited: December 17, 2020, 06:07:12 AM by Chips »

How a Hillary Clinton v. John Kasich 2020 would most likely play out if it were only them in a head to head:



A combination of Dem fatigue, COVID and an unpopular presidency allows Kasich to sweep all the swing states. (Aside from arguably NM, which remains Clinton by 3% or so)

I debated on whether to give MN and ME at large to Kasich but both were close enough in the real 2016 election that assuming all of the conditions I gave out were met, Both would probably flip as well.
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BigVic
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« Reply #961 on: December 17, 2020, 06:05:56 AM »

How a Hillary Clinton v. John Kasich 2020 would most likely play out if it were only them in a head to head:



A combination of Dem fatigue, COVID and an unpopular presidency allows Kasich to sweep all the swing states. (Aside from NM, which remains Clinton by 3% or so)

I debated on whether to give MN and ME at large to Kasich but both were close enough in the real 2016 election that assuming all of the conditions I gave out were met, Both would probably flip as well.

NM is also in play too and could flip.
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SingingAnalyst
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« Reply #962 on: December 18, 2020, 06:18:21 AM »

White women in 1984 (my estimate)


Reagan/Bush 62% / 500 EV
Mondale/Ferraro 38% / 38 EV
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SingingAnalyst
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« Reply #963 on: December 18, 2020, 06:27:51 AM »

1972: McGovern vs. Nixon, voters aged 18-29 only

Nixon 51% / 359 EV
McGovern 47% / 179 EV
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P. Clodius Pulcher did nothing wrong
razze
Junior Chimp
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« Reply #964 on: December 18, 2020, 03:48:22 PM »
« Edited: December 18, 2020, 11:40:43 PM by P. Clodius Pulcher did nothing wrong »

2040


2044


2048
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bagelman
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« Reply #965 on: December 20, 2020, 12:28:35 AM »

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bagelman
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« Reply #966 on: December 20, 2020, 11:12:55 AM »
« Edited: January 21, 2022, 04:55:56 PM by bagelman »



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Canis
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« Reply #967 on: December 20, 2020, 01:05:21 PM »


Which Party won each state the most time since 1854 MN RI and WV are exact ties
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OBD
Junior Chimp
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« Reply #968 on: December 20, 2020, 04:01:28 PM »



Enjoy.
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bagelman
Junior Chimp
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« Reply #969 on: December 20, 2020, 04:55:48 PM »
« Edited: January 21, 2022, 04:56:50 PM by bagelman »




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CookieDamage
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« Reply #970 on: December 20, 2020, 06:42:22 PM »

2008 Presidential Election

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CookieDamage
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« Reply #971 on: December 20, 2020, 06:57:22 PM »

1990 Election


1994 Election


1998 Election

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Calthrina950
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« Reply #972 on: December 20, 2020, 08:05:08 PM »


What does this depict?
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OBD
Junior Chimp
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« Reply #973 on: December 20, 2020, 09:37:57 PM »

2020 with quintupled trends lol
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Calthrina950
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« Reply #974 on: December 20, 2020, 09:49:38 PM »


I see. Judging by your map, Biden wins by the margin which we would have expected. He probably carries North Carolina here, in addition to all of the states which he actually did win. Trump certainly wins Florida (and by more than he did in reality), and Texas would be a pure tossup. I'm assuming Alaska would be a tossup as well, given the extent to which Biden improved there over Clinton.
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